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Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Nigel Cole             13    0   13     Gk Eduardo Parra          16    2   18
Sw Alexander Moore        11    0   11     Df Ethan Barry            11    2   13
Df Glenn Tufnel           11    0   11     Df Charles Pearce         13    2   15
Df Adam Neville           10    0   10     Df Emilio Muñoz           10    2   12
Df Sam Lester             10    0   10     Mf Donald Wilson          10    2   12
Mf Rolando  Hernández     12    0   12     Mf Luís Alves              9    2   11
Mf Thomás Futre           11    0   11     Mf Rory McLean             6    2    8
Mf Taylor Cook            10    0   10     Fw Agostino Barbieri      13    2   15
Fw Roger Taylor           15    0   15     Fw Aarron Brudenell       16    2   18
Fw Henry Elliott          11    0   11     Fw Luca Milner            11    2   13
Fw Louis Lamour           10    0   10     Fw Scott Thomson          11    1   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 11 31 33 36        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 40 31 58    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  4  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 11 31 33 45         T O T A L S       23  0 40 31 58    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.83 (no red card)

Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.1 (no red card)

Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.13 (no red card)

Df Adam Neville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.15 (no red card)

Df Sam Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.62 (no red card)

Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.82 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.16 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.57 (no red card)

Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.39 (no red card)

Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.57 (no red card)

Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.03 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 78.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 34.13 (no red card)

Df Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 8.0 (no red card)

Df Charles Pearce: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 41.06 (no red card)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 97.39 (no red card)

Mf Donald Wilson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 92.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 21.71 (no red card)

Mf Luís Alves: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 10.45 (no red card)

Mf Rory McLean: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 65.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.2 (no red card)

Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 54.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 15.33 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 20.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.61 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Aarron Brudenell new match skill level =  8
      Aarron Brudenell new match total level =  10

Fw Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 70.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.03 (no red card)

Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 89.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 61.88 (no injury) 
Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.62 (no injury) 
Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.56 (no injury) 
Df Adam Neville: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.77 (no injury) 
Df Sam Lester: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.32 (no injury) 
Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.88 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.08 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 70.5 (no injury) 
Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.43 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.75 (no injury) 
Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.32 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 8.17 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.99 (no injury) 
Df Charles Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.76 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.52 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.27 (no injury) 
Mf Luís Alves: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.03 (no injury) 
Mf Rory McLean: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.11 (no injury) 
Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.91 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.68 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.31 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.89 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Roger Taylor SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Charles Pearce SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Cole SL 13

     intRndPk = 38
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       13  11  31  33  45
  Lewes FC                 23   0  40  31  50

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 3 (45 - 40) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((33 - 31) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Taylor Cook
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Thomás Futre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 5.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 9.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 91.75% | Random number = 0.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 23   0  40  31  50
  Hereford United FC       13  11  31  33  45

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 19 (50 - 31); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 11.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 65.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 34.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 48.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Scott Thomson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 0  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
Well played Dave. I got closer than I thought I would.
Mike (Hereford United FC) 11/24 - 6:21 PM
 
 
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