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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Hereford United FC
David Blair
 
 
FA Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Titouan Raoul          13    0   13     Gk Ben Clapinson           5    2    7
Sw Matthew Webster        12    0   12     Sw Christopher Charlton    9    0    9
Df Gareth Chapman         15    0   15     Df Richard Morales        11    0   11
Df Mark Dohm              10    0   10     Df Ryan Simpson           10    0   10
Df Hayden Dunn             2    2    4     Df Ye W                   5    2    7
Mf Jake Griffiths         12    0   12     Mf Doron  Avraham         13    0   13
Mf Rafael  Torres         10    0   10     Mf Pedro Xavier           10    0   10
Mf Noah Muir               5    2    7     Mf Isaac Nicholls          5    2    7
Fw Ben Frings             12    0   12     Mf Jose Luis Pastor        2    2    4
Fw Lennard Fischer        10    0   10     Fw Kieran Harewood        15    0   15
Fw Jay Oakes               5    2    7     Fw Martinus Svendsen       5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 12 29 29 29        ROSTER TOTALS       7  9 28 34 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      13 12 38 29 29         T O T A L S        7  9 28 41 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.83 (no red card)

Sw Matthew Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.68 (no red card)

Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.63 (no red card)

Df Mark Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.47 (no red card)

Df Hayden Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.39 (no red card)

Mf Jake Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.16 (no red card)

Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.7 (no red card)

Mf Noah Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.47 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.37 (no red card)

Fw Lennard Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.99 (no red card)

Fw Jay Oakes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.04 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ben Clapinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.29 (no red card)

Sw Christopher Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.46 (no red card)

Df Richard Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.26 (no red card)

Df Ryan Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.89 (no red card)

Df Ye W: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.33 (no red card)

Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.15 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.32 (no red card)

Mf Isaac Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.32 (no red card)

Mf Jose Luis Pastor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.25 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.85 (no red card)

Fw Martinus Svendsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teams hardness * .25) + (opponents hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 28.47 (no injury) 
Sw Matthew Webster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.58 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.26 (no injury) 
Df Mark Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.51 (no injury) 
Df Hayden Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.56 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.59 (no injury) 
Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.34 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Muir: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.58 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.12 (no injury) 
Fw Lennard Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.63 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Oakes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.92 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ben Clapinson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.72 (no injury) 
Sw Christopher Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.57 (no injury) 
Df Richard Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.19 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.35 (no injury) 
Df Ye W: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.23 (no injury) 
Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.33 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.18 (no injury) 
Mf Isaac Nicholls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.89 (no injury) 
Mf Jose Luis Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.44 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.0 (no injury) 
Fw Martinus Svendsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.49 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gareth Chapman SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ben Clapinson SL 5

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kieran Harewood SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 13

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          13  12  38  29  29
  Hereford United FC       7   9  28  41  22

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 1 (29 - 28); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 6 ((38 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Mark Dohm
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Gareth Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Gareth Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Mark Dohm
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Gareth Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Gareth Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ben Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 41.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       7   9  28  41  22
  Bristol City FC          13  12  38  29  29

Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 38)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((41 - 29) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Pedro Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Doron  Avraham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 75.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Pedro Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 93.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 0  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 2
 
Match Notes
Would like to better last year's progress in the FA Cup. A home draw is a big bonus for the traditionally fraught first tie. Let's not blow it!
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 06/03 - 3:54 AM
Ellis, you blow it if you wish - don't listen to anybody (except me..) :-) Have a good game and may the better team win...
David (Hereford United FC) 06/06 - 7:01 AM
Wow, 2 goals from 3 shots (all from MF) - definitely got the breaks here...
David (Hereford United FC) 06/09 - 9:09 AM
Mugged by Olmec.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 06/09 - 7:11 PM
Guess it will need to be the Shield this year!
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 06/10 - 3:13 AM
 
 
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