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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
AP Cup Group (3)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Lewis Alexander         5    2    7     Gk Kapolcs Simon           5    2    7
Sw Josh Anderson           9    0    9     Sw Peter Thompson          8    1    9
Df Benjamin Rowbotham     12    0   12     Df Erlend Andresen        10    0   10
Df Nico König              5    2    7     Df Richard Morales         5    2    7
Mf Jørgen  Nguyen         10    0   10     Df Ryan Simpson            2    2    4
Mf Danny Moore            10    0   10     Mf Taylor Cook            10   -1    9
Mf Liam Stevenson          5    2    7     Mf Doron  Avraham          5    2    7
Fw Vincenzo Sanna         10    0   10     Mf Daniel Jackson          2    2    4
Fw Finley Wilkins         10    0   10     Fw Damien Prat             9    0    9
Fw Darren Griffiths       10    0   10     Fw Kieran Harewood         5    2    7
Fw Joe Santiago            5    2    7     Fw Sebastian Cockham       2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  9 19 27 37        ROSTER TOTALS       7  9 21 20 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
       7  9 19 27 37         T O T A L S        7  9 21 27 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.48 (no red card)

Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.35 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.4 (no red card)

Df Nico König: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.24 (no red card)

Mf Jørgen  Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.4 (no red card)

Mf Danny Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.95 (no red card)

Mf Liam Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.65 (no red card)

Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.88 (no red card)

Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.77 (no red card)

Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.25 (no red card)

Fw Joe Santiago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.1 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kapolcs Simon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.4 (no red card)

Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.78 (no red card)

Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.72 (no red card)

Df Richard Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.12 (no red card)

Df Ryan Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.75 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.65 (no red card)

Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.74 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.1 (no red card)

Fw Damien Prat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.45 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.34 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.97 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.04 (no injury) 
Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.03 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.29 (no injury) 
Df Nico König: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.59 (no injury) 
Mf Jørgen  Nguyen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.32 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.9 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.7 (no injury) 
Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.72 (no injury) 
Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.08 (no injury) 
Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.92 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Santiago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.06 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kapolcs Simon: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 73.99 (no injury) 
Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.29 (no injury) 
Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.97 (no injury) 
Df Richard Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.55 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.64 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.71 (no injury) 
Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.19 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Prat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.46 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.48 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Benjamin Rowbotham SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Kapolcs Simon SL 5

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Erlend Andresen SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Alexander SL 5

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     7   9  19  27  37
  Hereford United FC       7   9  21  27  20

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 16 (37 - 21); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 20) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Joe Santiago
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 62.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Joe Santiago
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 84.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Joe Santiago
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Joe Santiago
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 0.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 68.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       7   9  21  27  20
  Dagenham & Redbridge     7   9  19  27  37

Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 1 (20 - 19) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 83.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 3  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 1
 
Match Notes
I got closer than I deserved.
Mike (Hereford United FC) 11/17 - 6:28 PM
 
 
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