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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      PORT VALE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez   12    0   12     Gk Gareth Newton          13    0   13
Sw Zachary Lewis          12    0   12     Sw Ye Huáng               13    0   13
Df Harley Stephenson      13    0   13     Df Thomas Burgess         13    0   13
Df Harold Jenkins         13    0   13     Df Anthony Matthews       10    0   10
Df Alessio Costa          10    0   10     Df Jay Thomson             9    0    9
Df Michele Testa           5    2    7     Mf Logan Price            11    0   11
Mf Owen Marsh             14    0   14     Mf Jake Cooke             10    0   10
Mf Joe Brides             10    0   10     Fw Julian Guerrero        13    0   13
Fw Anton Ekström          13    0   13     Fw Connor Jones           16    0   16
Fw Edinson Castillo       16    0   16     Fw Jack Williams          12    0   12
Fw Artyom Morozov         10    0   10     Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg        7    0    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 12 43 24 39        ROSTER TOTALS      13 13 32 21 48    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 12 43 24 39         T O T A L S       13 13 32 21 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 52.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 59.47 (no red card)

Sw Zachary Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 5.67 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 95.45 (no second yellow)

Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 75.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 94.64 (no red card)

Df Alessio Costa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 30.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.11 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Alessio Costa new match skill level =  5
      Alessio Costa new match total level =  5

Df Michele Testa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 73.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 71.96 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 5.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 37.36 (no second yellow)

Mf Joe Brides: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 29.84 (no red card)

Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 55.23 (no red card)

Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 70.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 29.91 (no red card)

Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 77.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 47.9 (no red card)

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.8 (no red card)

Sw Ye Huáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.24 (no red card)

Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.83 (no red card)

Df Anthony Matthews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.28 (no red card)

Df Jay Thomson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.81 (no red card)

Mf Logan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.61 (no red card)

Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.19 (no red card)

Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.42 (no second yellow)

Fw Connor Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.82 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.89 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 50.29 (no injury) 
Sw Zachary Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.25 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Zachary Lewis is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Zachary Lewis new match skill level =  6
      Zachary Lewis new match total level =  6
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.54 (no injury) 
Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.66 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Costa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.51 (no injury) 
Df Michele Testa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.0 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.26 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Brides: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.1 (no injury) 
Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.18 (no injury) 
Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.17 (no injury) 
Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.62 (no injury) 

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gareth Newton: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 66.79 (no injury) 
Sw Ye Huáng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.82 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Burgess: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.22 (no injury) 
Df Anthony Matthews: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Anthony Matthews is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Jay Thomson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.03 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Price: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.67 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Cooke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.96 (no injury) 
Fw Julian Guerrero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.57 (no injury) 
Fw Connor Jones: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.42 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.69 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.55 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edinson Castillo SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Newton SL 13

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Connor Jones SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Luis Ángel Rodríguez SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13   6  38  24  39
  Port Vale FC             13  13  32  21  48

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 7 (39 - 32); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 30.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             13  13  32  21  48
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    13   6  38  24  39

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 10 (48 - 38); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 16.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Connor Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 81.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Julian Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Thomas Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2  -  PORT VALE FC 1
 
Match Notes
With the earlier loss to Plymouth we really needed to win this one. Thankfully it went our way this time.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/25 - 10:23 PM
 
 
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