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Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

QUEENS PARK RANGERS                        CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mika Schmidt           12    1   13     Gk Billy Rooney           13    2   15
Sw Danny Campbell         15    2   17     Sw Keith Dohm             13    0   13
Df Allan Stephens         10    2   12     Df Angelo Tosato          13    1   14
Df William Michaud         7    2    9     Df Samuel Bogaerts        11    2   13
Mf Gunnar Edvardsen       10    2   12     Df Gary Becker            11    0   11
Mf Leon Ludley             7    2    9     Df Reece Hutchinson        6    2    8
Fw Harvey Shepherd        13    0   13     Mf Finn Brown             12    2   14
Fw Riley Dixon            13    0   13     Mf Freddie Dury           12    0   12
Fw Isak Nyström           13    0   13     Mf Lewis Young             6    2    8
Fw Peter Cruz             10    1   11     Fw Leon Stevens           16    2   18
Fw Carlton Mitchell        7    2    9     Fw Kyle Bruce              6   -1    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 17 21 21 59        ROSTER TOTALS      15 13 46 34 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  1  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 17 22 22 66         T O T A L S       15 13 53 34 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mika Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.22 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.63 (no second yellow)

Sw Danny Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.06 (no red card)

Df Allan Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.61 (no red card)

Df William Michaud: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.24 (no red card)

Mf Gunnar Edvardsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.04 (no red card)

Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.54 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.6 (no red card)

Fw Riley Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.82 (no red card)

Fw Isak Nyström: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.98 (no red card)

Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.89 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.39 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.96 (no red card)

Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.95 (no red card)

Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.0 (no red card)

Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.5 (no red card)

Df Gary Becker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.09 (no red card)

Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.33 (no red card)

Mf Finn Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.82 (no red card)

Mf Freddie Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.17 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.52 (no second yellow)

Mf Lewis Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.1 (no red card)

Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.31 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.24 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mika Schmidt: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.51 (no injury) 
Sw Danny Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.83 (no injury) 
Df Allan Stephens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.46 (no injury) 
Df William Michaud: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.18 (no injury) 
Mf Gunnar Edvardsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.42 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.33 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.12 (no injury) 
Fw Riley Dixon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.62 (no injury) 
Fw Isak Nyström: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.55 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.5 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Peter Cruz is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Peter Cruz new match skill level =  5
      Peter Cruz new match total level =  6
Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.08 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.82 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.4 (no injury) 
Df Angelo Tosato: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.43 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.02 (no injury) 
Df Gary Becker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.12 (no injury) 
Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.71 (no injury) 
Mf Finn Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.58 (no injury) 
Mf Freddie Dury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.63 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Young: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.29 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Stevens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.16 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.15 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Shepherd SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Billy Rooney SL 13

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leon Stevens SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mika Schmidt SL 12

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      13  17  22  22  61
  Carlisle United          15  13  53  34  23

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 8 (61 - 53); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Riley Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Riley Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Riley Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Isak Nyström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Isak Nyström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 61.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Riley Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Isak Nyström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  13  53  34  23
  Queens Park Rangers      13  17  22  22  61

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 1 (23 - 22) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 3 ((34 - 22) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((53 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Freddie Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Finn Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Finn Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
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