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Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

QUEENS PARK RANGERS                        CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Warre Michiels         16    2   18     Gk Kuan-Yin Sun           12    2   14
Sw Kwan  Jeon             16    2   18     Sw Sean Peverell          13    2   15
Df Diego Mazza            11    1   12     Df Reece Hutchinson       12    1   13
Df Luke McGregor           7    2    9     Df Mohamed Cherkaoui      11    2   13
Mf Matheo Lemaitre        11    1   12     Df Benjamin Bell           6    2    8
Mf Jonas Maier             7    2    9     Mf Emile Bateman          11    2   13
Fw Carlton Mitchell       13    0   13     Mf Mohamed Durieux         6    2    8
Fw Peter Cruz             16    0   16     Fw Filippo Negri          13    1   14
Fw Dewei Zhou             11    1   12     Fw Kyle Bruce             15    2   17
Fw Louie Owen              8    1    9     Fw Noah Carroll           12    2   14
Fw Aarron Bunyan           7    2    9     Fw Harley Morrissey        6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 21 21 59        ROSTER TOTALS      14 15 34 21 53    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  0    
       0  0  1  1  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  2  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 22 22 66         T O T A L S       14 15 34 24 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.86 (no red card)

Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.46 (no red card)

Df Diego Mazza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.62 (no red card)

Df Luke McGregor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.02 (no red card)

Mf Matheo Lemaitre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.52 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Maier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.93 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.79 (no red card)

Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.11 (no red card)

Fw Dewei Zhou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.56 (no red card)

Fw Louie Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.14 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.17 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.67 (no red card)

Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 17.23 (no second yellow)

Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 5.42 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 16.46 (no second yellow)

Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 31.83 (no red card)

Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 27.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 15.81 (no red card)

Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 91.05 (no red card)

Fw Filippo Negri: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 80.37 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 97.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 27.47 (no red card)

Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 24.16 (no red card)

Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 74.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 6.67 (no injury) 
Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.13 (no injury) 
Df Diego Mazza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.56 (no injury) 
Df Luke McGregor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.61 (no injury) 
Mf Matheo Lemaitre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.95 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Maier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.7 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.06 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.08 (no injury) 
Fw Dewei Zhou: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.9 (no injury) 
Fw Louie Owen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.9 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Bunyan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.97 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 99.14 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.63 (no injury) 
Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.98 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.35 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.97 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.28 (no injury) 
Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.53 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Negri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.77 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.59 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Kyle Bruce is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Kyle Bruce new match skill level =  8
      Kyle Bruce new match total level =  10
Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.86 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.88 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Peter Cruz SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kuan-Yin Sun SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 37 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Filippo Negri SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Warre Michiels SL 16

     intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  18  22  22  66
  Carlisle United          14  15  34  24  46

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 32 (66 - 34); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Louie Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Louie Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Louie Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Dewei Zhou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Louie Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          14  15  34  24  46
  Queens Park Rangers      18  18  22  22  66

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 24 (46 - 22); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Mohamed Durieux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Harley Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
QUEENS PARK RANGERS 3  -  CARLISLE UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
The second away game this week. We're not expecting much.
Dave (Carlisle United) 12/01 - 10:46 AM
 
 
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