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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            TRANMERE ROVERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Billy Lampard          16    0   16     Gk Archie Harewood        16    2   18
Sw Taylor Graham          13    2   15     Sw Francisco Jose Navarro 15    2   17
Df Tomaj Bodnár           13    0   13     Df Emiliano Pérez         13    2   15
Df Riley Russel           13    0   13     Df Leon Palmer             7    2    9
Df Riley Duncan           12    1   13     Mf Theo Barmby            10    2   12
Mf Ryan Lennon            10    2   12     Mf Carrington Mills        7    2    9
Mf Thomas Farrell          6    2    8     Fw Juan Manuel Castro     16    2   18
Fw Abe Austin             18    0   18     Fw Brian Walsh            10    2   12
Fw Rory McLachlan         12    0   12     Fw Leo Bentinck           10    1   11
Fw Zombor Biró            10    0   10     Fw Gabriel Harrison        9    1   10
Fw Alistair Ellis          6    2    8     Fw Paul Schmid             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 39 20 48        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 24 21 60    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 48 20 48         T O T A L S       19 17 24 21 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.7 (no red card)

Sw Taylor Graham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.8 (no second yellow)

Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.04 (no red card)

Df Riley Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.6 (no red card)

Df Riley Duncan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.54 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.29 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.61 (no red card)

Fw Abe Austin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.68 (no second yellow)

Fw Rory McLachlan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.26 (no red card)

Fw Zombor Biró: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.77 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.1 (no red card)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 5.07 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.125% | Random number = 65.28 (no second yellow)

Sw Francisco Jose Navarro: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 72.33 (no red card)

Df Emiliano Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 37.85 (no red card)

Df Leon Palmer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 7.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.65 (no red card)

Mf Theo Barmby: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 67.81 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Mills: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.63 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Carrington Mills new match skill level =  4
      Carrington Mills new match total level =  6

Fw Juan Manuel Castro: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 0.92 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Juan Manuel Castro new match skill level =  8
      Juan Manuel Castro new match total level =  10

Fw Brian Walsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 45.93 (no red card)

Fw Leo Bentinck: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 19.76 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Harrison: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 33.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 4.95 (no red card)

Fw Paul Schmid: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 30.08 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 5.84 (no injury) 
Sw Taylor Graham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.1 (no injury) 
Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.02 (no injury) 
Df Riley Russel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.7 (no injury) 
Df Riley Duncan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.61 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.67 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Farrell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.7 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Austin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.06 (no injury) 
Fw Rory McLachlan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.56 (no injury) 
Fw Zombor Biró: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.16 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Ellis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.53 (no injury) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 27.24 (no injury) 
Sw Francisco Jose Navarro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 92.71 (no injury) 
Df Emiliano Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.79 (no injury) 
Df Leon Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.56 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.83 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Mills: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.06 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Manuel Castro: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.84 (no injury) 
Fw Brian Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.93 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Bentinck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.41 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.74 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.37 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abe Austin SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Archie Harewood SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Emiliano Pérez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Billy Lampard SL 16

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          16  15  48  20  48
  Tranmere Rovers          19  17  24  18  52

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 24 (48 - 24); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((20 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Mf Ryan Lennon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Zombor Biró
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Zombor Biró
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 73.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Zombor Biró
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Alistair Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Zombor Biró
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Zombor Biró
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 3.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Alistair Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Zombor Biró
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Zombor Biró
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 8.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 72.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 21.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Zombor Biró
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Zombor Biró
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 70.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          19  17  24  18  52
  Lincoln City FC          16  15  48  20  48

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 4 (52 - 48); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 20) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Leo Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Brian Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Leo Bentinck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 59.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Paul Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 0  -  TRANMERE ROVERS 0
 
Match Notes
This one should be a win for LIN. Mike is hard to beat this season.
Abe (Leeds United) 03/12 - 12:54 PM
We just "improved" our career record vs TRA to 4-6-24 in the Shield last session. Consecutive wins seems unfathomable.
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 03/16 - 3:02 PM
 
 
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