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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Noah Godart            16    2   18     Gk Donald Hill            14    0   14
Sw Jaron  Biton           15    2   17     Df Fernando Renteria      15    0   15
Df Matteo Maggioni        14    2   16     Df Aiden Henderson        13    0   13
Df Oliver Hills           13    2   15     Df Sean Oliver             8    0    8
Mf Carrington Kennedy     14    2   16     Df çlvaro Duarte           7   -1    6
Mf Alistair Barnes        14    2   16     Df Mika Weiss              4    2    6
Mf Joe Hopkins            13    2   15     Mf Brad Nguyen            12    0   12
Fw Aaron Allan            14    2   16     Mf Jamie Calhoun           7    1    8
Fw Lennon Stewart         16    1   17     Mf Thomás Gouveia          4    2    6
Fw Daniel Yitzchak        10    2   12     Fw Alistair Lorimar       12    0   12
Fw Mason Singh             9    2   11     Fw Jack Stretch            9   -2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 31 47 56        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 48 26 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  5  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 22 31 56 56         T O T A L S       14  0 48 26 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Godart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.06 (no red card)

Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.76 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.09 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.91 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.95 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.0 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.06 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.02 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.39 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.94 (no red card)

Fw Mason Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.44 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Donald Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.39 (no red card)

Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.83 (no red card)

Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.82 (no red card)

Df Sean Oliver: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.14 (no red card)

Df çlvaro Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.36 (no second yellow)

Df Mika Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.24 (no red card)

Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.47 (no red card)

Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.7 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.78 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.53 (no red card)

Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.65 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Godart: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.8 (no injury) 
Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.79 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.07 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.17 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.62 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.03 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.33 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.45 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.73 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.53 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Singh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.65 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Donald Hill: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.28 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.33 (no injury) 
Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.0 (no injury) 
Df Sean Oliver: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.26 (no injury) 
Df çlvaro Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.51 (no injury) 
Df Mika Weiss: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.95 (no injury) 
Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.01 (no injury) 
Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.15 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.73 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.7 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lennon Stewart SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Donald Hill SL 14

     intRndPk = 98
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Renteria SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Noah Godart SL 16

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          18  22  31  56  56
  Swindon Town FC          14   0  48  26  19

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 8 (56 - 48); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((56 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 4 ((31 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Matteo Maggioni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Oliver Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Oliver Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Matteo Maggioni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 24.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 75.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 48.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 48.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 6.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          14   0  48  26  19
  Bristol City FC          18  22  31  56  56

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 31)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 56) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((48 - 56) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 4  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Win = title. Got to be favorites, but go to get it right.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 09/29 - 9:08 PM
Ladies and gentlemen, may I present the Division Three Champions!
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 10/06 - 6:28 PM
Thought we would see the OST, and made the right call. Well done, lads.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 10/06 - 6:29 PM
 
 
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