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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eduardo Parra          16    2   18     Gk Juan Jose Blanco       16    2   18
Sw Felipe Rocha           13    2   15     Sw Andrés Cordoba         11    2   13
Df Mark White              5    2    7     Df Aaron Sutherland       13    2   15
Df Charles Pearce         13    2   15     Df Artur Vorobyov          8    2   10
Df Carlos McGee            6    2    8     Df Bailey Khan             3    2    5
Mf Rory McLean            10    2   12     Mf Louie Cook             13    2   15
Mf Bernd Lehmann           6    1    7     Mf Sam McCallum           10    2   12
Fw Luca Milner            15    2   17     Fw Luke White             17    2   19
Fw Alexander Clark        11    2   13     Fw Mark Scott             10    2   12
Fw Sam Murray              6    2    8     Fw Rafael Souza           10    2   12
Fw Jordan Moreno           6    2    8     Fw Shaun Davidson          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 30 19 46        ROSTER TOTALS      18 13 30 27 52    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 30 19 55         T O T A L S       18 13 30 27 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 40.55 (no red card)

Sw Felipe Rocha: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 39.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 69.96 (no red card)

Df Mark White: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 86.81 (no red card)

Df Charles Pearce: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 74.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 77.37 (no red card)

Df Carlos McGee: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 62.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 21.23 (no red card)

Mf Rory McLean: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 34.96 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lehmann: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 46.24 (no red card)

Fw Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 33.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 94.81 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Clark: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 84.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 60.4 (no red card)

Fw Sam Murray: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 6.37 (no red card)

Fw Jordan Moreno: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 2.75 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.32 (no red card)

Sw Andrés Cordoba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.7 (no red card)

Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.79 (no red card)

Df Artur Vorobyov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.22 (no red card)

Df Bailey Khan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.26 (no red card)

Mf Louie Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.7 (no red card)

Mf Sam McCallum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.44 (no red card)

Fw Luke White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.83 (no red card)

Fw Mark Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.12 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.05 (no red card)

Fw Shaun Davidson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 17.81 (no injury) 
Sw Felipe Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.6 (no injury) 
Df Mark White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.64 (no injury) 
Df Charles Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.46 (no injury) 
Df Carlos McGee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.57 (no injury) 
Mf Rory McLean: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.17 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.6 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.74 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Clark: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.71 (no injury) 
Fw Sam Murray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.3 (no injury) 
Fw Jordan Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.51 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 69.73 (no injury) 
Sw Andrés Cordoba: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.8 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.05 (no injury) 
Df Artur Vorobyov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.64 (no injury) 
Df Bailey Khan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.34 (no injury) 
Mf Louie Cook: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.39 (no injury) 
Mf Sam McCallum: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.96 (no injury) 
Fw Luke White: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.41 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Scott: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.41 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.8 (no injury) 
Fw Shaun Davidson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luca Milner SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Juan Jose Blanco SL 16

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luke White SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 69 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19  15  30  19  55
  Preston North End FC     18  13  30  27  52

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 25 (55 - 30); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Sam Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Sam Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jordan Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 42.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Sam Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 40.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Jordan Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Sam Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jordan Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 75.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Jordan Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Sam Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 70.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Sam Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Jordan Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     18  13  30  27  52
  Lewes FC                 19  15  30  19  55

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 22 (52 - 30); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((27 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Mf Louie Cook
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 69.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Sam McCallum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 90.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Sam McCallum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Louie Cook
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 40.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 80.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Shaun Davidson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 6.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 23.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Mark Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 44.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 1  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 2
 
Match Notes
BS penalty is the difference
Dave (Lewes FC) 03/16 - 6:39 PM
 
 
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