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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Wycombe Wanderers
David Blair
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      WYCOMBE WANDERERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Thomas            12    2   14     Gk Frank Tenhoor           5    2    7
Sw Zachary Lewis          16    2   18     Sw Cong Yáng               3    2    5
Df Harold Jenkins         16    2   18     Df Tal Moshe              10    0   10
Df Harley Stephenson      15    2   17     Df Shay  Akhtar            9    0    9
Df Gerald Carpenter       12    2   14     Df Pedro Costa             9    2   11
Mf Owen Marsh             15    2   17     Df Aaron O'Donnell         4    1    5
Mf Mika Baumann           13    2   15     Mf Daniel Dias            10    2   12
Mf Jay Pastor             12    2   14     Mf Percy Griffiths         6    2    8
Fw Edinson Castillo       19    1   20     Mf Christopher McGee       5    2    7
Fw Anton Ekström          15    2   17     Fw Luis Herrmann          11    0   11
Fw Giles Turner           11    2   13     Fw Leif  Engen             4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 18 49 46 50        ROSTER TOTALS       7  5 35 27 17    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 18 49 46 59         T O T A L S        7  5 42 27 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 96.0 (no red card)

Sw Zachary Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 90.06 (no second yellow)

Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 83.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 73.18 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 66.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 15.87 (no red card)

Df Gerald Carpenter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 5.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 74.08 (no second yellow)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 28.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 46.28 (no red card)

Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 12.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.87 (no red card)

Mf Jay Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 94.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 4.14 (no red card)

Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 27.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 24.11 (no red card)

Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 96.89 (no red card)

Fw Giles Turner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 17.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 67.52 (no red card)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Tenhoor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.69 (no red card)

Sw Cong Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.5 (no red card)

Df Tal Moshe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.08 (no red card)

Df Shay  Akhtar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.52 (no red card)

Df Pedro Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.54 (no red card)

Df Aaron O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.21 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Dias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.63 (no red card)

Mf Percy Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.38 (no red card)

Mf Christopher McGee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.21 (no red card)

Fw Luis Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.19 (no red card)

Fw Leif  Engen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.86 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Thomas: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 44.69 (no injury) 
Sw Zachary Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.91 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Zachary Lewis is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Zachary Lewis new match skill level =  8
      Zachary Lewis new match total level =  10
Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.72 (no injury) 
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.8 (no injury) 
Df Gerald Carpenter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.71 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.09 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Owen Marsh is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.75 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.15 (no injury) 
Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.79 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Edinson Castillo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Edinson Castillo new match skill level =  10
      Edinson Castillo new match total level =  11
Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.56 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Turner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.19 (no injury) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Frank Tenhoor: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 83.2 (no injury) 
Sw Cong Yáng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 29.92 (no injury) 
Df Tal Moshe: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.94 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Akhtar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.39 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Costa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.25 (no injury) 
Df Aaron O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.69 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Dias: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.38 (no injury) 
Mf Percy Griffiths: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.29 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher McGee: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.2 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Herrmann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.92 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Luis Herrmann loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Luis Herrmann new match skill level =  6
      Luis Herrmann new match total level =  6
Fw Leif  Engen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.55 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harold Jenkins SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Frank Tenhoor SL 5

     intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tal Moshe SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Thomas SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15  10  49  46  50
  Wycombe Wanderers        7   5  42  27  12

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 8 (50 - 42); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 10 ((46 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 13 ((49 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Gerald Carpenter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 55.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 55.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 51.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 76.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Df Gerald Carpenter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 42 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 56.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 53.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 94.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Giles Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Giles Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        7   5  42  27  12
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15  10  49  46  50

Wycombe Wanderers is Playing For A Draw!
Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 49)
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 46) / 2;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 5  -  WYCOMBE WANDERERS 0
 
Match Notes
We might sneak something here but am not holding my breath for it. :-)
David (Wycombe Wanderers) 01/26 - 7:49 PM
luckily Daveyou did not have to hold your breath for too long.....
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/27 - 6:56 PM
Yes, you took this game very seriously. Me? I was just trying to get my APPS and SBYs up to a next level if possible. Another thumping - they don't hurt these days... :-)
David (Wycombe Wanderers) 01/28 - 8:56 AM
 
 
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