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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rhys Murray            16    2   18     Gk Donald Hill            12    1   13
Sw Alvaro Marin           14    2   16     Df Fernando Renteria      15    0   15
Df Patrick Mathis         16    2   18     Df Sean Oliver            12    0   12
Df Gerardo  Segura        13    1   14     Df Aiden Henderson        10    2   12
Df Cristian Abreu         12    2   14     Df çlvaro Duarte          10    2   12
Df Jake Harewood          11    2   13     Mf Jamie Calhoun          11    0   11
Df Glen Birks             13    2   15     Mf Brad Nguyen            10   -1    9
Mf Connor Black           16    2   18     Mf Thomás Gouveia          9    2   11
Mf Abe Bradley            14    0   14     Mf Kristoffer Larsen       8    2   10
Fw Christopher Aitken     14    2   16     Fw Jack Stretch           14    0   14
Fw Laurence Johnston      13    1   14     Fw Alistair Lorimar       10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 74 32 30        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 51 41 24    
       2  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  1  2  2  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 17 77 34 32         T O T A L S       14  1 53 43 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 71.37 (no red card)

Sw Alvaro Marin: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 60.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 76.6 (no red card)

Df Patrick Mathis: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 21.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 17.49 (no red card)

Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 3.01 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 86.11 (no second yellow)

Df Cristian Abreu: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 1.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 82.26 (no second yellow)

Df Jake Harewood: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 87.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 5.4 (no red card)

Df Glen Birks: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 52.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 34.9 (no red card)

Mf Connor Black: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 86.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 68.01 (no red card)

Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 7.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 85.06 (no second yellow)

Fw Christopher Aitken: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 27.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 9.29 (no red card)

Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 83.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 19.25 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Donald Hill: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 24.89 (no red card)

Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 6.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 33.09 (no second yellow)

Df Sean Oliver: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 30.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 24.79 (no red card)

Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 66.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 20.86 (no red card)

Df çlvaro Duarte: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 99.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 9.23 (no red card)

Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 80.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 74.31 (no red card)

Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 0.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 41.62 (no second yellow)

Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 18.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 9.81 (no red card)

Mf Kristoffer Larsen: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 45.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 25.93 (no red card)

Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 47.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 63.98 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 78.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 78.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.87%
Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of injury = 3.87% | Random number = 80.95 (no injury) 
Sw Alvaro Marin: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 9.25 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Mathis: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 4.13 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Patrick Mathis is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Patrick Mathis new match skill level =  8
      Patrick Mathis new match total level =  10
Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 18.87 (no injury) 
Df Cristian Abreu: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 12.24 (no injury) 
Df Jake Harewood: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 12.17 (no injury) 
Df Glen Birks: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 9.43 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Black: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 76.21 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 12.48 (no injury) 
Fw Christopher Aitken: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 76.8 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 67.76 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 6
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Donald Hill: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 52.7 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 7.52 (no injury) 
Df Sean Oliver: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 29.27 (no injury) 
Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 70.35 (no injury) 
Df çlvaro Duarte: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 77.48 (no injury) 
Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 98.83 (no injury) 
Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 66.97 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 50.09 (no injury) 
Mf Kristoffer Larsen: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 76.06 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 29.27 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 16.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Connor Black SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Donald Hill SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 78 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Renteria SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Rhys Murray SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          20  17  69  34  32
  Swindon Town FC          14   0  53  43  24

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 53)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 15 ((69 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Glen Birks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 51.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 83.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Jake Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Cristian Abreu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Df Jake Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Cristian Abreu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 64.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Df Jake Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 58.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Df Patrick Mathis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 23.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Df Jake Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          14   0  53  43  24
  Chesterfield FC          20  17  69  34  32

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 69)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((43 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 5 ((53 - 32) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Aiden Henderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df çlvaro Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Aiden Henderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df çlvaro Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Sean Oliver
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Kristoffer Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jamie Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Jamie Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jamie Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Kristoffer Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 3  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
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