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Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEICESTER CITY FC                          CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bryan Mason            10    2   12     Gk Luke Marshall          14    2   16
Sw Ariel Cohen            15   -1   14     Sw Gabriel Martin         15    2   17
Df Braulio  Salas         15    1   16     Df Carl Berg              14    2   16
Df Allan Black            10    2   12     Df Thomas Charlton        12    2   14
Mf Nico Walter            14    1   15     Df Kian Ferguson          11    2   13
Mf Oren Ben-David         10    0   10     Df Fernando  Rojas        10    2   12
Fw Larry Chen             15    0   15     Mf Martin Hunt            13    2   15
Fw Nikolai Andresen       15   -1   14     Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez      12    1   13
Fw Ryan Durman            12   -2   10     Mf Gaëtan Adam            11    2   13
Fw Hassan Cherkaoui       14    0   14     Fw Fernando Neves         14    1   15
Fw Shing Huáng            10    2   12     Fw Erling Hauge           10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 14 28 25 65        ROSTER TOTALS      16 17 55 41 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 14 28 25 74         T O T A L S       16 22 57 41 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bryan Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.27 (no second yellow)

Sw Ariel Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.36 (no red card)

Df Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.39 (no red card)

Df Allan Black: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.11 (no red card)

Mf Nico Walter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.75 (no red card)

Mf Oren Ben-David: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.94 (no red card)

Fw Larry Chen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.25 (no red card)

Fw Nikolai Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.67 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Durman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.97 (no red card)

Fw Hassan Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.64 (no red card)

Fw Shing Huáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.52 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.7 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.64 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.74 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.47 (no red card)

Df Kian Ferguson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.93 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.68 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.17 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.53 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.84 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.59 (no red card)

Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.97 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Bryan Mason: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 8.56 (no injury) 
Sw Ariel Cohen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.22 (no injury) 
Df Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.33 (no injury) 
Df Allan Black: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.15 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Walter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.3 (no injury) 
Mf Oren Ben-David: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.94 (no injury) 
Fw Larry Chen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.17 (no injury) 
Fw Nikolai Andresen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.22 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Durman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.14 (no injury) 
Fw Hassan Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.99 (no injury) 
Fw Shing Huáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.69 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 96.88 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.29 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.84 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.47 (no injury) 
Df Kian Ferguson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.31 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.08 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.26 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.56 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.69 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.44 (no injury) 
Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.18 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Braulio  Salas SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Luke Marshall SL 14

     intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carl Berg SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Bryan Mason SL 10

     intRndPk = 20
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        12  14  28  25  74
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16  22  57  41  27

Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 17 (74 - 57); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 41) / 2;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((28 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Braulio  Salas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Hassan Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 56.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Hassan Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 3.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Nikolai Andresen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Hassan Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Larry Chen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ryan Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Larry Chen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Shing Huáng
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Hassan Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 69.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ryan Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Nikolai Andresen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Shing Huáng
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ryan Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ryan Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 61.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Larry Chen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Hassan Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Ryan Durman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 63.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16  22  57  41  27
  Leicester City FC        12  14  28  25  74

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 28)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((41 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 74) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 30.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEICESTER CITY FC 0  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
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