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Wycombe Wanderers
David Blair
 
Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WYCOMBE WANDERERS                          CARDIFF CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Tenhoor           5    2    7     Gk Gerry McDermott         9    2   11
Sw Diego Souza             4    2    6     Sw Fabio Donati           14    2   16
Df Tal Moshe              10    0   10     Df Malte Lundberg         14    2   16
Df Shay  Akhtar            9    0    9     Df Lewis McBrayne          9    2   11
Df Pedro Costa             9    2   11     Mf Jack Norman            18    0   18
Df Lincoln Collins         4    2    6     Mf David Robinet          15    2   17
Mf Daniel Dias            10    2   12     Fw Jed Butler             16    2   18
Mf Joshua Eton-Hogg        6    2    8     Fw Bailey Lampton         15    2   17
Mf Percy Griffiths         6    2    8     Fw David Dowson            9    2   11
Fw Luis Herrmann          11    0   11     Fw Noah Green              9    2   11
Fw Patrick Durman          6    0    6     Fw Mark Charlton           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  6 36 28 17        ROSTER TOTALS      11 16 27 35 68    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  5  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  6 36 28 24         T O T A L S       16 16 27 35 68    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Frank Tenhoor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.08 (no red card)

Sw Diego Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.04 (no second yellow)

Df Tal Moshe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.11 (no red card)

Df Shay  Akhtar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.47 (no red card)

Df Pedro Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.49 (no red card)

Df Lincoln Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.84 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Dias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.09 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.39 (no red card)

Mf Percy Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.54 (no red card)

Fw Luis Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.63 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Durman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.87 (no red card)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.81 (no red card)

Sw Fabio Donati: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.64 (no red card)

Df Malte Lundberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.64 (no red card)

Df Lewis McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.61 (no red card)

Mf Jack Norman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.39 (no red card)

Mf David Robinet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.22 (no red card)

Fw Jed Butler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.19 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.57 (no red card)

Fw David Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.89 (no red card)

Fw Noah Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.96 (no red card)

Fw Mark Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Frank Tenhoor: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 0.74 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Frank Tenhoor loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Frank Tenhoor new match skill level =  3
      Frank Tenhoor new match total level =  5
Sw Diego Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.48 (no injury) 
Df Tal Moshe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.01 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Akhtar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.15 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Shay  Akhtar loses 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Shay  Akhtar new match skill level =  5
      Shay  Akhtar new match total level =  5
Df Pedro Costa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.92 (no injury) 
Df Lincoln Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.73 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Dias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.68 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.97 (no injury) 
Mf Percy Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.61 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.77 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Durman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.36 (no injury) 

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gerry McDermott: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.74 (no injury) 
Sw Fabio Donati: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.35 (no injury) 
Df Malte Lundberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.74 (no injury) 
Df Lewis McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.96 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Norman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.8 (no injury) 
Mf David Robinet: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.44 (no injury) 
Fw Jed Butler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.67 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.46 (no injury) 
Fw David Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.99 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      David Dowson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      David Dowson new match skill level =  5
      David Dowson new match total level =  7
Fw Noah Green: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.15 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.86 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Herrmann SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Gerry McDermott SL 9

     intRndPk = 57
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jack Norman SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Frank Tenhoor SL 3

     intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        5   6  32  28  24
  Cardiff City FC          16  16  27  35  64

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 27)
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 0


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          16  16  27  35  64
  Wycombe Wanderers        5   6  32  28  24

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 32 (64 - 32); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((35 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Df Lewis McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf David Robinet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jack Norman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf David Robinet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 23.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf David Robinet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 29.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Noah Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 40.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 13.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 9.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Bailey Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 71.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw David Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 25.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 56.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Noah Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 21.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Bailey Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw David Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 50.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Noah Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 68.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Noah Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Bailey Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 53.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Bailey Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 56.95 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
28: Attack for Fw Noah Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Bailey Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Noah Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 46.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 51.25% | Random number = 11.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Bailey Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Bailey Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Jed Butler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Bailey Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Bailey Lampton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WYCOMBE WANDERERS 0  -  CARDIFF CITY FC 5
 
Match Notes
14 game losing streak v Cardiff - make it 15 :-)
David (Wycombe Wanderers) 01/26 - 7:48 PM
Ah well - at least the prediction was right - no chance of upsetting City.
David (Wycombe Wanderers) 01/28 - 8:54 AM
 
 
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