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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Darren Smalls          15    1   16     Gk Damien Lefevre         10    2   12
Sw Josh Anderson          12    2   14     Sw Alexander Moore        10    2   12
Df Benjamin Rowbotham     14    0   14     Df Sam Lester             11    2   13
Df Ben Rees               13    0   13     Df Glenn Tufnel           10    2   12
Mf James Thompson         15    1   16     Df Richard Morales         5    2    7
Mf Pedro Fernandes         9    2   11     Mf Thomás Futre           10    2   12
Fw Bailey Ruddle          15    0   15     Mf Adam Byrne              9    2   11
Fw Darren Griffiths       13   -1   12     Mf Juan Gómez              7    2    9
Fw Finley Wilkins         15    0   15     Mf Doron  Avraham          5    2    7
Fw Vincenzo Sanna         11    0   11     Fw Henry Elliott          10    1   11
Fw Charles Harper         11    0   11     Fw Kieran Harewood         5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 27 27 64        ROSTER TOTALS      12 12 32 39 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 27 27 74         T O T A L S       12 12 39 39 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.43 (no second yellow)

Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.82 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.27 (no red card)

Df Ben Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.06 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.62 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.22 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.02 (no red card)

Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.57 (no red card)

Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.73 (no red card)

Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.01 (no red card)

Fw Charles Harper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.83 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Damien Lefevre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.16 (no red card)

Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.68 (no red card)

Df Sam Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.96 (no red card)

Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.21 (no red card)

Df Richard Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.54 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.95 (no red card)

Mf Adam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.84 (no red card)

Mf Juan Gómez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.81 (no second yellow)

Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.05 (no red card)

Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.72 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.22 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.04 (no injury) 
Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.94 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.61 (no injury) 
Df Ben Rees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.62 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.42 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.48 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.4 (no injury) 
Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.77 (no injury) 
Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.29 (no injury) 
Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.85 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Harper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.51 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Damien Lefevre: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 12.17 (no injury) 
Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.83 (no injury) 
Df Sam Lester: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.61 (no injury) 
Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.01 (no injury) 
Df Richard Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.62 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.46 (no injury) 
Mf Adam Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.13 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Gómez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.9 (no injury) 
Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.93 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.78 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.63 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: James Thompson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Damien Lefevre SL 10

     intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sam Lester SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Darren Smalls SL 15

     intRndPk = 56
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     16  14  27  27  74
  Hereford United FC       12  12  39  39  18

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 35 (74 - 39); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 3 ((27 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 38

1: Attack for Df Benjamin Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Benjamin Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Benjamin Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 51.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 47.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 40.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 43.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 3.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 26.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 8.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 77.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
30: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 20.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
36: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 42.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       12  12  39  39  18
  Dagenham & Redbridge     16  14  27  27  74

Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 27)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((39 - 27) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 74) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Doron  Avraham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Adam Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Doron  Avraham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 1  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 0
 
Match Notes
Come on Hereford!
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 10/02 - 6:02 AM
Deserved to be beaten more than this
Mike (Hereford United FC) 10/06 - 6:28 PM
 
 
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