MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2 TMBL MSWL The Manager
Thursday, January 24th, 2019 - 03:17:29 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① - Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats Tables Teams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Brighton & Hove Albion
Paul Cockayne
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felix Blucher           8    1    9     Gk Hugo Martins           11    2   13
Sw Jamie Sansom            5    2    7     Df George Mason           13    2   15
Df David Kahn             10    0   10     Df Cliff Ellis            12    2   14
Df Lukas Schmidt           7    2    9     Df Sean Tufnel            14    2   16
Mf Robin Schaffer          9    0    9     Df Ross Brennan            9    2   11
Mf Patrick Roberts         6    2    8     Mf Patrick Butcher        13    2   15
Fw Oliver Ruby            12    0   12     Mf Shay  Lindsay          12    2   14
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi        10    1   11     Mf Francis Reynolds        8   -1    7
Fw Victor Bayle            9    2   11     Fw Jamie Collins          15    2   17
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde    8    2   10     Fw Steven Milner          13    2   15
Fw Graham McAdam           6    2    8     Fw Mika Huber              9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  7 19 17 52        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 56 36 43    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  5  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  8    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 19 19 57         T O T A L S       13  0 56 36 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.99 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.15 (no red card)

Df David Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.98 (no red card)

Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.53 (no red card)

Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.16 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.23 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Ruby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.54 (no red card)

Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.97 (no red card)

Fw Victor Bayle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.74 (no red card)

Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.5 (no red card)

Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.34 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.54 (no red card)

Df George Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.07 (no red card)

Df Cliff Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.09 (no red card)

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.22 (no red card)

Df Ross Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.67 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.93 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.83 (no red card)

Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.27 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.55 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.61 (no red card)

Fw Mika Huber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.54 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 51.2 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.94 (no injury) 
Df David Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.03 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.27 (no injury) 
Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.04 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.97 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Ruby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.93 (no injury) 
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.73 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Bayle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.33 (no injury) 
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.68 (no injury) 
Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.46 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.29 (no injury) 
Df George Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.61 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Ellis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.99 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.76 (no injury) 
Df Ross Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.03 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.52 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.6 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.6 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.93 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.66 (no injury) 
Fw Mika Huber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oliver Ruby SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Hugo Martins SL 11

     intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jamie Collins SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 8

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  12  19  19  57
  Swansea City AFC         13   0  56  36  51

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 1 (57 - 56); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swansea City AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         13   0  56  36  51
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  12  19  19  57

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 32 (51 - 19); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 9 ((36 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((56 - 57) / 5;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 41

1: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 70.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 76.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 64.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Patrick Butcher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 32.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 79.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 68.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 75.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 59.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 31.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
37: Attack for Fw Mika Huber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
39: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
40: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
41: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 4
 
Match Notes
Lost six in a row against Swansea....expecting to extend that run
Paul (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/11 - 6:20 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions