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Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
Sheffield United
Christer Kallin
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            SHEFFIELD UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Calum Hughes           14    2   16     Gk Billy Robson           15    2   17
Sw John Dunn              13    2   15     Sw Dylan Shea             15    1   16
Df Tony Barmby            11    2   13     Df Barry Neville          15    2   17
Df Riccardo Lombardi      10    2   12     Df John Campbell          13    2   15
Df Julio  Rojas            9    2   11     Df Harvey Barrett         11    1   12
Mf Jannick Herrmann        9    2   11     Mf Simon Fischer          15    2   17
Mf Davide Caruso           9    2   11     Mf Nicolas Alonso         13    2   15
Fw Nuri  Peretz           15    2   17     Mf Adam Lefebvre           9   -1    8
Fw David Campbell         14    1   15     Fw Richard Kennedy        12    2   14
Fw Jack Harrison          14    2   16     Fw Hector  Valverde        9   -1    8
Fw Tom Ellis              12    2   14     Fw Freddie Compton         5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 36 22 62        ROSTER TOTALS      17 16 44 40 29    
       0  0  0  6  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  1  0  3  3  3    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 36 28 71         T O T A L S       18 16 47 43 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.65 (no red card)

Sw John Dunn: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 7.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 31.45 (no second yellow)

Df Tony Barmby: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 26.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 82.55 (no red card)

Df Riccardo Lombardi: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 16.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 56.7 (no second yellow)

Df Julio  Rojas: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 62.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 65.28 (no red card)

Mf Jannick Herrmann: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 47.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 59.18 (no red card)

Mf Davide Caruso: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 11.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 82.93 (no second yellow)

Fw Nuri  Peretz: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 34.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 88.9 (no red card)

Fw David Campbell: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 97.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 7.8 (no red card)

Fw Jack Harrison: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 17.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 51.3 (no second yellow)

Fw Tom Ellis: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 89.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 61.67 (no red card)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Robson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.56 (no red card)

Sw Dylan Shea: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.04 (no red card)

Df Barry Neville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.62 (no second yellow)

Df John Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.2 (no red card)

Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.52 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.47 (no red card)

Mf Nicolas Alonso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.69 (no red card)

Mf Adam Lefebvre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.29 (no red card)

Fw Richard Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.44 (no red card)

Fw Hector  Valverde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.11 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 6
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 83.49 (no injury) 
Sw John Dunn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.53 (no injury) 
Df Tony Barmby: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.2 (no injury) 
Df Riccardo Lombardi: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.52 (no injury) 
Df Julio  Rojas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.33 (no injury) 
Mf Jannick Herrmann: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 8.1 (no injury) 
Mf Davide Caruso: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.94 (no injury) 
Fw Nuri  Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.71 (no injury) 
Fw David Campbell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.64 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Harrison: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.81 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Ellis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.56 (no injury) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Billy Robson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.73 (no injury) 
Sw Dylan Shea: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 36.14 (no injury) 
Df Barry Neville: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 37.82 (no injury) 
Df John Campbell: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 18.08 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 30.4 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 98.78 (no injury) 
Mf Nicolas Alonso: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 53.31 (no injury) 
Mf Adam Lefebvre: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 91.83 (no injury) 
Fw Richard Kennedy: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 3.04 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Richard Kennedy is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Richard Kennedy new match skill level =  6
      Richard Kennedy new match total level =  8
Fw Hector  Valverde: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 4.42 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Hector  Valverde is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Freddie Compton: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 16.51 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nuri  Peretz SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Billy Robson SL 15

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Barry Neville SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Calum Hughes SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          16  15  36  28  71
  Sheffield United         18  16  47  43  26

Southend United Fw Attacks = 24 (71 - 47); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 4 ((36 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Tony Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Tony Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Riccardo Lombardi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Tony Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 18.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 39.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 95.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 59.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         18  16  47  43  26
  Southend United          16  15  36  28  71

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 36)
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 8 ((43 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 71) / 3;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Nicolas Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Nicolas Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Nicolas Alonso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Adam Lefebvre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 2  -  SHEFFIELD UNITED 0
 
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