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Cardiff City FC
Graham Wilkes
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARDIFF CITY FC                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gerry Stephenson        9    2   11     Gk Joseph Wheeler         15    2   17
Sw Juan Palomo Vera       10    0   10     Sw Reece MacKay           15    2   17
Df Jed Jones              10    1   11     Df Joshua Brown           10    2   12
Df William Richman         2    2    4     Df Martín Lugano           3    2    5
Mf Iain Christie           9   -2    7     Mf Mason Mitchell         12    1   13
Mf Archie Thwaite          8    0    8     Mf Nigel Ruddle           13    0   13
Mf Alberto Hidalgo         3    1    4     Mf Joan Soler              6    2    8
Mf Torsten Hofmann         2    2    4     Mf Ollie Hunter            3    2    5
Fw Ahmed Akhrif           11    2   13     Fw Nigel Carter           13    2   15
Fw Mark Charlton           7    2    9     Fw Ben Shepherd           13    0   13
Fw Rob Goodwin             4    2    6     Fw Algenon Kennedy         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 10 15 23 28        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 17 39 38    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  0  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 10 22 23 30         T O T A L S       17 17 17 39 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gerry Stephenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.99 (no red card)

Sw Juan Palomo Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.96 (no red card)

Df Jed Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.98 (no red card)

Df William Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.59 (no red card)

Mf Iain Christie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.33 (no red card)

Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.7 (no red card)

Mf Alberto Hidalgo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.08 (no red card)

Mf Torsten Hofmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.83 (no red card)

Fw Ahmed Akhrif: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.73 (no red card)

Fw Mark Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.02 (no red card)

Fw Rob Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.61 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.7 (no red card)

Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.74 (no red card)

Df Joshua Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.7 (no red card)

Df Martín Lugano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.83 (no red card)

Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.97 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.72 (no red card)

Mf Joan Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.51 (no red card)

Mf Ollie Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.09 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.38 (no red card)

Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.26 (no red card)

Fw Algenon Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gerry Stephenson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.46 (no injury) 
Sw Juan Palomo Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.31 (no injury) 
Df Jed Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.07 (no injury) 
Df William Richman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.28 (no injury) 
Mf Iain Christie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.01 (no injury) 
Mf Archie Thwaite: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.55 (no injury) 
Mf Alberto Hidalgo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.33 (no injury) 
Mf Torsten Hofmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.14 (no injury) 
Fw Ahmed Akhrif: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.18 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.15 (no injury) 
Fw Rob Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.42 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Cardiff City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joseph Wheeler: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 31.38 (no injury) 
Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.5 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.07 (no injury) 
Df Martín Lugano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.25 (no injury) 
Mf Mason Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.81 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.58 (no injury) 
Mf Joan Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.67 (no injury) 
Mf Ollie Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.25 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Carter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.71 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Nigel Carter is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Ben Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.37 (no injury) 
Fw Algenon Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.25 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ahmed Akhrif SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Joseph Wheeler SL 15

     intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nigel Ruddle SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Gerry Stephenson SL 9

     intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 55 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARDIFF CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Cardiff City FC          11  10  22  23  30
  Nottingham Forest        17  17  17  39  38

Cardiff City FC Fw Attacks = 13 (30 - 17); result rounded up
Cardiff City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Cardiff City FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Ahmed Akhrif
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Ahmed Akhrif
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Ahmed Akhrif
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Rob Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Ahmed Akhrif
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Rob Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Mark Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Ahmed Akhrif
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Rob Goodwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ahmed Akhrif
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 93.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        17  17  17  39  38
  Cardiff City FC          11  10  22  23  30

Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 16 (38 - 22); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 8 ((39 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 10.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Ollie Hunter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Joan Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Mason Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 0.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 30.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Algenon Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 76.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 62.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Algenon Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Algenon Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Ben Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Nigel Carter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Algenon Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARDIFF CITY FC 1  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 4
 
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