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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Mike Mcleod
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felix Eliasson         12    1   13     Gk Felix Blucher           5    2    7
Sw Gabriel Martin          9    2   11     Sw Nicolas  Pérez         10    1   11
Df Jacob Harewood         14    1   15     Df Louie Peters           13    0   13
Df Nigel Clarke           12    2   14     Df Ethan Grand             9    2   11
Df William Gascoigne      11    2   13     Df Raphaël Deshayes        8    1    9
Mf Gaëtan Adam            13    1   14     Mf Noah Evans              9    2   11
Mf Marco Vedder           13    1   14     Mf Gianluca Bruno          9    2   11
Mf Martin Hunt             9    2   11     Fw Zachary Pilkington     12    1   13
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez        19    0   19     Fw Manuel Maldonado       12    1   13
Fw Fernando Neves         14    2   16     Fw Aidan Smith            10    1   11
Fw Victor Jensen           9    2   11     Fw Ollie Morrissey        10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 11 42 39 46        ROSTER TOTALS       7 11 33 22 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  6    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 11 42 39 55         T O T A L S        7 11 33 22 55    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Eliasson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.12 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.92 (no red card)

Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.77 (no red card)

Df Nigel Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.03 (no red card)

Df William Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.12 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.08 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.93 (no second yellow)

Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.22 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.98 (no second yellow)

Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.41 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.62 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.31 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.52 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.42 (no red card)

Df Louie Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.43 (no red card)

Df Ethan Grand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.18 (no red card)

Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.33 (no red card)

Mf Noah Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.17 (no red card)

Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.51 (no red card)

Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.64 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Maldonado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.59 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.89 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.68 (no second yellow)

Fw Ollie Morrissey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felix Eliasson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 13.28 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.32 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.36 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.12 (no injury) 
Df William Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.67 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.98 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.56 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.36 (no injury) 
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.4 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.93 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.71 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.63 (no injury) 
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.9 (no injury) 
Df Louie Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.29 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Grand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.6 (no injury) 
Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.98 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.0 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.35 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Gianluca Bruno loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Gianluca Bruno new match skill level =  5
      Gianluca Bruno new match total level =  7
Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.72 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Maldonado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.64 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.38 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.78 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis  Gutiérrez SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 5

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Louie Peters SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Felix Eliasson SL 12

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  42  39  55
  Brighton & Hove Albion   7  11  33  18  55

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 22 (55 - 33); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((39 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 68.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 69.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 46.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 11.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 6.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 92.53 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 57.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 14.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 91.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 41.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 79.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 14.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   7  11  33  18  55
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  42  39  55

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 13 (55 - 42); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Fw Ollie Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 8.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Ollie Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Aidan Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ollie Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Aidan Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Ollie Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ollie Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 6  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
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