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Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kapolcs Simon           9    2   11     Gk Felix Blucher           8    1    9
Sw Alexander Moore        13    2   15     Sw Jamie Sansom            5    2    7
Df Glenn Tufnel           11    2   13     Df Ethan Grand             8   -1    7
Df Richard Morales         9    2   11     Df Lukas Schmidt           7    2    9
Mf Thomás Futre           15    2   17     Df Raphaël Deshayes        7    0    7
Mf Pedro Xavier           13    2   15     Df Harry Lennon            5    2    7
Mf Doron  Avraham          9    2   11     Df Tomas Moe               3    2    5
Mf Daniel Jackson          5    2    7     Mf Robin Schaffer          8    0    8
Fw Henry Elliott          15    2   17     Mf Patrick Roberts         6    2    8
Fw Roger Taylor           15    0   15     Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi        10    1   11
Fw Kieran Harewood         9    2   11     Mf Graham McAdam           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 15 24 50 43        ROSTER TOTALS       9  7 35 21 11    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 15 24 50 52         T O T A L S       10 12 37 21 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kapolcs Simon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.76 (no red card)

Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.59 (no red card)

Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.75 (no red card)

Df Richard Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.52 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.45 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.24 (no red card)

Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.79 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.5 (no red card)

Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.7 (no red card)

Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.74 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.06 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.59 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.52 (no red card)

Df Ethan Grand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.22 (no red card)

Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.51 (no red card)

Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.77 (no red card)

Df Harry Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.71 (no red card)

Df Tomas Moe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.41 (no red card)

Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.98 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.19 (no red card)

Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.4 (no red card)

Mf Graham McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kapolcs Simon: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 1.11 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Kapolcs Simon is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.3 (no injury) 
Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.57 (no injury) 
Df Richard Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.55 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.66 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.66 (no injury) 
Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.57 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.69 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.18 (no injury) 
Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.27 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.3 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 84.09 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.4 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Grand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.86 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.49 (no injury) 
Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.8 (no injury) 
Df Harry Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.23 (no injury) 
Df Tomas Moe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.95 (no injury) 
Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.54 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.4 (no injury) 
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.72 (no injury) 
Mf Graham McAdam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomás Futre SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 8

     intRndPk = 59
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kiyoshi Hayashi SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Kapolcs Simon SL 9

     intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       11  15  24  50  52
  Brighton & Hove Albion   10  12  37  21  11

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 15 (52 - 37); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((50 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 5 ((24 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 35

1: Attack for Df Richard Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Richard Morales
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Glenn Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 16.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Glenn Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Glenn Tufnel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Thomás Futre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 27.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Doron  Avraham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Thomás Futre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Pedro Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Thomás Futre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Thomás Futre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Thomás Futre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 32.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Pedro Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Pedro Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Pedro Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 22.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Pedro Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Thomás Futre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Pedro Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Daniel Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Doron  Avraham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 24.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 85.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 41.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
29: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 44.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   10  12  37  21  11
  Hereford United FC       11  15  24  50  52

Brighton & Hove Albion is Playing For A Draw!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 24)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 50) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 1  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
Match Notes
Brighton & Hove Albion haven't won a league match at Edgar Street since season 8....well, no..
Paul (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/04 - 6:17 AM
Only 1-0, wow...we are using up so much luck...!
Paul (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/05 - 6:47 PM
 
 
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