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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Thomas            12    2   14     Gk Calum Hughes           14    2   16
Df Harold Jenkins         16    2   18     Sw John Dunn              12    2   14
Df Harley Stephenson      14    2   16     Df Tony Barmby            11    1   12
Df Nathan Plant            9    2   11     Df Riccardo Lombardi      10    2   12
Df Geoffrey Berry          8    2   10     Df Edward Sansom           9    2   11
Mf Mika Baumann           13    2   15     Mf Tiago Quaresma         10    1   11
Mf Jay Pastor             12    2   14     Mf Jannick Herrmann        9    1   10
Mf Jared Holland          10    2   12     Mf Davide Caruso           9    2   11
Mf Joe Brides              9    2   11     Fw Nuri  Peretz           15    2   17
Fw Artyom Morozov          9    2   11     Fw Jack Harrison          13    2   15
Fw William Murray          8    2   10     Fw Oren Yosef              8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 55 52 21        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 35 32 42    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  5  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 55 61 21         T O T A L S       16 14 35 37 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 93.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 78.32 (no red card)

Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 49.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 96.51 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 16.14 (no red card)

Df Nathan Plant: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 49.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 88.55 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Berry: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 60.91 (no red card)

Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 12.36 (no red card)

Mf Jay Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 48.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 31.82 (no red card)

Mf Jared Holland: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 70.05 (no red card)

Mf Joe Brides: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 50.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 83.85 (no red card)

Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 65.97 (no red card)

Fw William Murray: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 8.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 58.43 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.49 (no red card)

Sw John Dunn: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 48.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 76.46 (no red card)

Df Tony Barmby: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 40.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 75.78 (no red card)

Df Riccardo Lombardi: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 59.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 75.11 (no red card)

Df Edward Sansom: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 84.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 51.23 (no red card)

Mf Tiago Quaresma: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 2.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 90.27 (no second yellow)

Mf Jannick Herrmann: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 14.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 34.17 (no second yellow)

Mf Davide Caruso: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 28.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 83.74 (no red card)

Fw Nuri  Peretz: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 55.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 4.64 (no red card)

Fw Jack Harrison: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 81.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 83.27 (no red card)

Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 6.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 71.62 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.25%
Gk Ryan Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.72 (no injury) 
Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 38.43 (no injury) 
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 82.24 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Plant: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 4.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Nathan Plant is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Nathan Plant new match skill level =  5
      Nathan Plant new match total level =  7
Df Geoffrey Berry: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 74.93 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 7.16 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Pastor: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 34.04 (no injury) 
Mf Jared Holland: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 34.36 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Brides: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 38.95 (no injury) 
Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 31.71 (no injury) 
Fw William Murray: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 70.26 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 96.88 (no injury) 
Sw John Dunn: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 46.03 (no injury) 
Df Tony Barmby: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 34.53 (no injury) 
Df Riccardo Lombardi: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 31.69 (no injury) 
Df Edward Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 67.6 (no injury) 
Mf Tiago Quaresma: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 16.24 (no injury) 
Mf Jannick Herrmann: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 32.93 (no injury) 
Mf Davide Caruso: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 75.6 (no injury) 
Fw Nuri  Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 79.86 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Harrison: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 10.45 (no injury) 
Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 83.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Harold Jenkins SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Calum Hughes SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nuri  Peretz SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Thomas SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 41 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15   0  51  61  21
  Southend United          16  14  35  37  42

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 35)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 12 ((61 - 37) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((51 - 42) / 5); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Geoffrey Berry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 97.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Jared Holland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 37.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Jared Holland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Joe Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 39.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 4.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          16  14  35  37  42
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15   0  51  61  21

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 51)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 61) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 5 ((35 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Tony Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Riccardo Lombardi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 47.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Edward Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Tony Barmby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Edward Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 2
 
Match Notes
Another must win promotion battle
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/18 - 1:03 PM
 
 
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