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Brighton & Hove Albion
Mike Mcleod
 
Wycombe Wanderers
David Blair
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     WYCOMBE WANDERERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andy Cockham           12    0   12     Gk Victor Silva           10    2   12
Sw Nicolas  Pérez         12    1   13     Sw Diego Souza             4    2    6
Df Louie Peters           12    2   14     Df Tal Moshe              10    0   10
Df Nigel Russel           13    0   13     Df Shay  Akhtar            8    0    8
Df Raphaël Deshayes        5    0    5     Df Pedro Costa             8    2   10
Df Ethan Grand             4    2    6     Df Mark Wright             6    1    7
Mf Noah Evans              5    2    7     Mf Daniel Dias            10    2   12
Mf Kai Mitchell            4    2    6     Mf Joshua Eton-Hogg        6    2    8
Mf Murray McCallum         3    2    5     Mf Christopher McGee       5    2    7
Fw Ollie Morrissey        14    1   15     Fw Bailey Dunn             7    2    9
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde    4    2    6     Fw Leif  Engen             4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 13 38 18 21        ROSTER TOTALS      12  6 35 27 15    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  9    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 13 38 18 30         T O T A L S       12  6 35 27 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andy Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.08 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.45 (no red card)

Df Louie Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.07 (no red card)

Df Nigel Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.56 (no red card)

Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.92 (no red card)

Df Ethan Grand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.25 (no second yellow)

Mf Noah Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.46 (no red card)

Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.21 (no red card)

Mf Murray McCallum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.7 (no red card)

Fw Ollie Morrissey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.59 (no red card)

Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.81 (no red card)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Victor Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.02 (no red card)

Sw Diego Souza: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 40.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 76.4 (no red card)

Df Tal Moshe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 61.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 20.45 (no red card)

Df Shay  Akhtar: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 15.18 (no red card)

Df Pedro Costa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 85.11 (no red card)

Df Mark Wright: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 22.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 82.45 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Dias: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 10.96 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Eton-Hogg: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 9.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 5.84 (no red card)

Mf Christopher McGee: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 80.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 59.73 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Dunn: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 55.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 1.41 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Bailey Dunn new match skill level =  4
      Bailey Dunn new match total level =  6

Fw Leif  Engen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 47.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Andy Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 81.5 (no injury) 
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.52 (no injury) 
Df Louie Peters: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 69.63 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Russel: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.6 (no injury) 
Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.29 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Grand: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 12.87 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Evans: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.19 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 93.28 (no injury) 
Mf Murray McCallum: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.4 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie Morrissey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.37 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Ollie Morrissey is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ollie Morrissey new match skill level =  7
      Ollie Morrissey new match total level =  8
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.76 (no injury) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 2
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Victor Silva: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 13.99 (no injury) 
Sw Diego Souza: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.08 (no injury) 
Df Tal Moshe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.59 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Akhtar: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 88.91 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Costa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.36 (no injury) 
Df Mark Wright: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.72 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Dias: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 5.03 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Eton-Hogg: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.02 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher McGee: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 53.81 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.0 (no injury) 
Fw Leif  Engen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Nigel Russel SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Victor Silva SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tal Moshe SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Andy Cockham SL 12

     intRndPk = 57
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12  13  38  18  23
  Wycombe Wanderers        12   6  35  27  23

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 35)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 5 ((38 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Nigel Russel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Louie Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 9.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Nigel Russel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Louie Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Ethan Grand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        12   6  35  27  23
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12  13  38  18  23

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 38)
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 5 ((27 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 4 ((35 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Tal Moshe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Pedro Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Shay  Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Tal Moshe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Christopher McGee
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Joshua Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Daniel Dias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Joshua Eton-Hogg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Daniel Dias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 53.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1  -  WYCOMBE WANDERERS 0
 
Match Notes
Disappointed as we thought we could win this one. Had a 9-5 shots advantage too!
David (Wycombe Wanderers) 01/20 - 7:28 PM
 
 
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