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Wycombe Wanderers
Aires Martins Jr.
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WYCOMBE WANDERERS                          OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rayan Baudin           11    0   11     Gk Matías Abreu           12    2   14
Sw Leonid Bogdanov        12   -1   11     Df Thomas Murray          15    0   15
Df Steven James           11   -2    9     Df Sam Morrissey          13    0   13
Df Stephen King           11   -1   10     Df Susumu Takahashi        9    2   11
Df Lincoln Collins         8    2   10     Df Harvey Charlton         5    1    6
Mf Luca Brakspear         11   -2    9     Mf Greg Pastor            15    0   15
Mf James Quinn             9    0    9     Mf Leo Marino             12    0   12
Mf Christopher McGee       9    0    9     Mf João DaSilva            9    2   11
Mf Concepci?n  Villalobos  8    2   10     Mf Reece Curtis            5    2    7
Fw Mario Orlando          11   -2    9     Fw Lars Bommel            15    0   15
Fw Sam Peverell           10   -1    9     Fw Leo Smith               9   -2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 11 29 37 18        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 45 45 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  1  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  5  2  0    
=======================================================================
      11 11 29 37 27         T O T A L S       15  0 50 48 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rayan Baudin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.13 (no red card)

Sw Leonid Bogdanov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.9 (no red card)

Df Steven James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.15 (no red card)

Df Stephen King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.74 (no red card)

Df Lincoln Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.65 (no red card)

Mf Luca Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.15 (no red card)

Mf James Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.6 (no red card)

Mf Christopher McGee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.38 (no second yellow)

Mf Concepci?n  Villalobos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.75 (no red card)

Fw Mario Orlando: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.33 (no red card)

Fw Sam Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.79 (no second yellow)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matías Abreu: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 92.62 (no red card)

Df Thomas Murray: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 36.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 57.26 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 15.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 83.99 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 82.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 25.87 (no red card)

Df Harvey Charlton: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 64.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 85.96 (no red card)

Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 6.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 27.78 (no second yellow)

Mf Leo Marino: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 68.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 84.76 (no red card)

Mf João DaSilva: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 25.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 50.43 (no red card)

Mf Reece Curtis: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 59.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 64.83 (no red card)

Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 91.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 2.92 (no red card)

Fw Leo Smith: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 1.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.87% | Random number = 17.72 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Rayan Baudin: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 0.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Rayan Baudin is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Rayan Baudin new match skill level =  6
      Rayan Baudin new match total level =  6
Sw Leonid Bogdanov: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 33.51 (no injury) 
Df Steven James: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 41.34 (no injury) 
Df Stephen King: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 80.64 (no injury) 
Df Lincoln Collins: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 44.19 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Brakspear: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 13.32 (no injury) 
Mf James Quinn: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 9.65 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher McGee: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 12.64 (no injury) 
Mf Concepci?n  Villalobos: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 23.9 (no injury) 
Fw Mario Orlando: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 0.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Mario Orlando is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mario Orlando new match skill level =  6
      Mario Orlando new match total level =  4
Fw Sam Peverell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 94.37 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Matías Abreu: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 84.12 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Murray: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.47 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.75 (no injury) 
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.36 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.54 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.61 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Marino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.91 (no injury) 
Mf João DaSilva: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.17 (no injury) 
Mf Reece Curtis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.38 (no injury) 
Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.44 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Steven James SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Matías Abreu SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 70% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Murray SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Rayan Baudin SL 6

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        6  11  29  37  22
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15   0  50  48  23

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 50)
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 48) / 2;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 2 ((29 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Steven James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Lincoln Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 63.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15   0  50  48  23
  Wycombe Wanderers        6  11  29  37  22

Oldham Athletic AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 29)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((48 - 37) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((50 - 22) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 15.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Harvey Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Reece Curtis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Reece Curtis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 88.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WYCOMBE WANDERERS 2  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1
 
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