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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felix Eliasson         12    1   13     Gk Kian Trickelbank        9    2   11
Sw Gabriel Martin          9    2   11     Sw Finlay Harvey          15    2   17
Df Jacob Harewood         14    1   15     Df Alessio Costa          13    2   15
Df Fernando  Rojas         5    2    7     Df Michele Testa           9    2   11
Df Carl Berg               5    2    7     Df Harrison Porter         5    2    7
Mf Gaëtan Adam            13    1   14     Mf Owen Marsh             16    2   18
Mf Marco Vedder           13    1   14     Mf Carleton Thomas         9    2   11
Mf Martin Hunt             9    2   11     Fw Artyom Morozov         14    2   16
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez       5    2    7     Fw Edinson Castillo       16    2   18
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez        19    0   19     Fw Sebastian Clarke        9    2   11
Fw Victor Jensen           9    2   11     Fw Jules Baudet            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 11 29 46 30        ROSTER TOTALS      11 17 33 29 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  4  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 11 38 46 30         T O T A L S       16 18 33 29 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Eliasson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.65 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.1 (no red card)

Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.24 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.85 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.23 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.52 (no red card)

Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.73 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.01 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.16 (no red card)

Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.14 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.3 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 88.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 56.96 (no red card)

Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 77.16 (no red card)

Df Alessio Costa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 76.23 (no red card)

Df Michele Testa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 67.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 36.13 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 76.37 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 30.47 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 46.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 65.35 (no red card)

Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 85.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 35.68 (no red card)

Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 29.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 4.8 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 5.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 63.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 62.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 81.45 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Felix Eliasson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 35.28 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.93 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.1 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.56 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.42 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.11 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.27 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.43 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.66 (no injury) 
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.57 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.83 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 54.1 (no injury) 
Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.4 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Costa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 18.83 (no injury) 
Df Michele Testa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.25 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.03 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.37 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.16 (no injury) 
Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.68 (no injury) 
Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.73 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 42.93 (no injury) 
Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.25 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis  Gutiérrez SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Marsh SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Felix Eliasson SL 12

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  38  46  30
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16  18  33  29  52

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 33)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((46 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 57.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    16  18  33  29  52
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  38  46  30

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 14 (52 - 38); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 46) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((33 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Michele Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 45.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jules Baudet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 17.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jules Baudet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 4.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sebastian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 63.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Sebastian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Is this the venue for Edinson to reach a goalscoring milestone?
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 05/14 - 9:12 AM
 
 
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