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Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Calum Hughes           14    2   16     Gk Matty Ruby              7    2    9
Sw John Dunn              12    2   14     Df Ofer Chen               0    2    0
Df Tony Barmby            11    1   12     Df Brandon Pagett          7    1    8
Df Finley Cockayne        10    1   11     Mf Gonzalo Arias           7    2    9
Mf Tiago Quaresma         10    1   11     Mf Glen Hill               3    2    5
Mf Jannick Herrmann        9    1   10     Mf John Paul Jones         3    2    5
Mf Davide Caruso           9    2   11     Fw Ryan Martin             8    2   10
Fw Nuri  Peretz           15    2   17     Fw Bailey Gerrard          8    2   10
Fw David Campbell         14    1   15     Df Lok Zhang               3    2    5
Fw Jack Harrison          13    2   15     Fw Christian Doyle         5    1    6
Fw Tom Ellis              12    2   14     Fw Glenn Anderson          5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 23 32 61        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 13 19 33    
       0  0  2  0  3          HARDNESS          5  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  6  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 25 32 73         T O T A L S       14  0 19 19 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.76 (no red card)

Sw John Dunn: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 93.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 13.32 (no red card)

Df Tony Barmby: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 1.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 97.41 (no second yellow)

Df Finley Cockayne: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 36.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 0.65 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Finley Cockayne new match skill level =  5
      Finley Cockayne new match total level =  6

Mf Tiago Quaresma: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 33.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 61.93 (no red card)

Mf Jannick Herrmann: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 18.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 6.24 (no red card)

Mf Davide Caruso: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 89.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 57.79 (no red card)

Fw Nuri  Peretz: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 96.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 70.16 (no red card)

Fw David Campbell: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 77.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 37.46 (no red card)

Fw Jack Harrison: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 28.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 88.93 (no red card)

Fw Tom Ellis: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 87.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 83.59 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Matty Ruby: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 69.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.625% | Random number = 98.07 (no red card)

Df Ofer Chen: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 56.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 77.25 (no red card)

Df Brandon Pagett: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 82.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 3.52 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Brandon Pagett new match skill level =  4
      Brandon Pagett new match total level =  5

Mf Gonzalo Arias: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 20.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.33 (no second yellow)

Mf Glen Hill: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 75.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 37.6 (no red card)

Mf John Paul Jones: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 33.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 79.56 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Martin: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 50.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 37.51 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Gerrard: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 28.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 61.64 (no red card)

Df Lok Zhang: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 92.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 2.7 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Lok Zhang new match skill level =  2
      Lok Zhang new match total level =  4

Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 79.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 91.56 (no red card)

Fw Glenn Anderson: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 74.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 62.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 11.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.62%
Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of injury = 5.62% | Random number = 36.05 (no injury) 
Sw John Dunn: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 12.04 (no injury) 
Df Tony Barmby: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 94.61 (no injury) 
Df Finley Cockayne: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 90.22 (no injury) 
Mf Tiago Quaresma: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 48.84 (no injury) 
Mf Jannick Herrmann: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 9.54 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Jannick Herrmann is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Jannick Herrmann new match skill level =  5
      Jannick Herrmann new match total level =  6
Mf Davide Caruso: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 12.62 (no injury) 
Fw Nuri  Peretz: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 12.08 (no injury) 
Fw David Campbell: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 64.41 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Harrison: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 46.03 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Ellis: Chance of injury = 11.25% | Random number = 93.93 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 8.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 4.37%
Gk Matty Ruby: Chance of injury = 4.37% | Random number = 65.47 (no injury) 
Df Ofer Chen: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 99.69 (no injury) 
Df Brandon Pagett: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 74.3 (no injury) 
Mf Gonzalo Arias: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 30.4 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Hill: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 49.17 (no injury) 
Mf John Paul Jones: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 99.14 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Martin: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 60.35 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Gerrard: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 66.8 (no injury) 
Df Lok Zhang: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 43.52 (no injury) 
Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 15.98 (no injury) 
Fw Glenn Anderson: Chance of injury = 8.75% | Random number = 73.32 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Nuri  Peretz SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Matty Ruby SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 51 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Martin SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Calum Hughes SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 98 (pk blocked)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          16  14  20  28  73
  Derby County             14   0  15  19  38

Southend United Fw Attacks = 58 (73 - 15); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 5 ((28 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 63

1: Attack for Mf Davide Caruso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 56.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Jannick Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Tiago Quaresma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 39.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Davide Caruso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Tiago Quaresma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 2.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 93.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 56.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 55 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 13.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
36: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 32.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
38: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
39: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
40: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 44.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
41: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 93.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
42: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
43: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 38.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
44: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 59.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
45: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
46: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
47: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
48: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 75.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
49: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 70.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
50: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
51: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
52: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 65 (Shot Off Target) 
53: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 64 (Shot Off Target) 
54: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 68 (Shot Off Target) 
55: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
56: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
57: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
58: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 7.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
59: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
60: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
61: Attack for Fw Jack Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
62: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 52 (Shot Off Target) 
63: Attack for Fw Tom Ellis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             14   0  15  19  38
  Southend United          16  14  20  28  73

Derby County is Playing For A Draw!
Derby County Fw Attacks = 9 (38 - 20) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((15 - 73) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Christian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Christian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Bailey Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Bailey Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Bailey Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Glenn Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 40.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Bailey Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Glenn Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Ryan Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 8  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
Match Notes
This match was close...NOT! (Borat voice)
Rob (Derby County) 01/23 - 8:39 AM
 
 
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