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Brighton & Hove Albion
Paul Cockayne
 
Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felix Blucher           8    1    9     Gk Francis Carter         15    1   16
Sw Jamie Sansom            5    2    7     Df Gabriel Bateman         7    2    9
Df Ethan Grand             8   -1    7     Sw Jimmy Park             13    2   15
Df Lukas Schmidt           7    2    9     Df Jonathan Grandjean      4    2    6
Df RaphaŽl Deshayes        7    0    7     Fw Wayne Mitchell         17    2   19
Df Harry Lennon            5    2    7     Mf Douglas Araķjo         13    2   15
Df Jayden Walker           3    2    5     Mf Pedro Rodrigues         9    2   11
Mf Robin Schaffer          8    0    8     Fw Alexander Burns        13    2   15
Mf Patrick Roberts         6    2    8     Fw Jake McBrayne           9    2   11
Mf Kiyoshi Hayashi         8    1    9     Fw Joseph Cockayne         5    2    7
Fw Graham McAdam           5    2    7     Fw Baptiste Lemmens        4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  7 35 25  7        ROSTER TOTALS      16 15 15 26 58    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          5  2  1  0  2    
       0  0  2  2  3       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  1  3  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  4  0  0    
       0  5  2  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 40 30 10         T O T A L S       21 17 20 26 60    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.56 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.29 (no red card)

Df Ethan Grand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.46 (no red card)

Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.43 (no red card)

Df RaphaŽl Deshayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.84 (no red card)

Df Harry Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.05 (no red card)

Df Jayden Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.6 (no red card)

Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.13 (no second yellow)

Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.41 (no red card)

Mf Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.31 (no red card)

Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.49 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 75.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.625% | Random number = 44.5 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Bateman: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 37.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 85.13 (no red card)

Sw Jimmy Park: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 40.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 34.71 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Grandjean: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 0.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.44 (no second yellow)

Fw Wayne Mitchell: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 51.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 92.98 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Araķjo: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 65.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 76.44 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 76.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 31.61 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 96.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 76.65 (no red card)

Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 54.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 61.28 (no red card)

Fw Joseph Cockayne: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 21.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.55 (no second yellow)

Fw Baptiste Lemmens: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 68.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 17.86 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 8.92 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 97.21 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Grand: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 78.52 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 81.27 (no injury) 
Df RaphaŽl Deshayes: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 18.0 (no injury) 
Df Harry Lennon: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 26.28 (no injury) 
Df Jayden Walker: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 83.22 (no injury) 
Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 96.65 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 76.96 (no injury) 
Mf Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 18.11 (no injury) 
Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 1.92 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Graham McAdam is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Graham McAdam new match skill level =  3
      Graham McAdam new match total level =  5

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.04 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Bateman: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 83.59 (no injury) 
Sw Jimmy Park: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 76.09 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Grandjean: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 22.51 (no injury) 
Fw Wayne Mitchell: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 87.65 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Araķjo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 20.8 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 21.59 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 93.98 (no injury) 
Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 93.05 (no injury) 
Fw Joseph Cockayne: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 11.35 (no injury) 
Fw Baptiste Lemmens: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 63.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ethan Grand SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Francis Carter SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 14 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wayne Mitchell SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 8

     intRndPk = 62
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  12  40  30   8
  Derby County             21  17  20  26  60

Brighton & Hove Albion is Playing For A Draw!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (8 - 20)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Robin Schaffer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             21  17  20  26  60
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  12  40  30   8

Derby County Fw Attacks = 20 (60 - 40); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 4 ((20 - 8) / 3); result rounded up
Derby County Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Jonathan Grandjean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Gabriel Bateman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Gabriel Bateman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Jonathan Grandjean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 54.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 49.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 17.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 45.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Baptiste Lemmens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Joseph Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Joseph Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Baptiste Lemmens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Baptiste Lemmens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Baptiste Lemmens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
Match Notes
Derby County haven't won a league match at Withdean Stadium since season 7...hmmm....
Paul (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/04 - 6:16 AM
This is just a miraculous result...apologies to Derby!
Paul (Brighton & Hove Albion) 01/05 - 6:42 PM
 
 
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