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Brighton & Hove Albion
Mike Mcleod
 
Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
 
League Round 15
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felix Blucher          10    2   12     Gk Francis Carter          9    2   11
Sw Nicolas  Pérez          8    0    8     Df Rhys Robinson          15    2   17
Df Ethan Grand            11    1   12     Df Connor East             9    0    9
Df Raphaël Deshayes       10    0   10     Df Owen Thompson           8   -1    7
Df David Kahn              7    2    9     Df Noah Craig              8    2   10
Mf Noah Evans             10    1   11     Mf Wayne Mitchell         19    2   21
Mf Gianluca Bruno         10    1   11     Mf Douglas Araújo          9    2   11
Fw Oliver Ruby            12    0   12     Mf Pedro Rodrigues         5    2    7
Fw Manuel Maldonado       11    0   11     Fw Reece McGregor         15    2   17
Fw Zachary Pilkington     11    0   11     Fw Alexander Burns         9    2   11
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi        10    0   10     Fw Jake McBrayne           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  8 31 22 44        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 43 39 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  8 31 22 51         T O T A L S       11  0 43 39 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.16 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.64 (no red card)

Df Ethan Grand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.0 (no red card)

Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.01 (no red card)

Df David Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.35 (no red card)

Mf Noah Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.92 (no second yellow)

Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.86 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.28 (no second yellow)

Fw Oliver Ruby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.57 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Maldonado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.27 (no red card)

Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.79 (no red card)

Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.5 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.73 (no red card)

Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.26 (no red card)

Df Connor East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.85 (no red card)

Df Owen Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.52 (no red card)

Df Noah Craig: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.84 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.71 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.09 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.86 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.51 (no second yellow)

Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.83 (no second yellow)

Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.01 (no red card)

Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.29 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 17.81 (no injury) 
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.62 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Nicolas  Pérez is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Nicolas  Pérez new match skill level =  4
      Nicolas  Pérez new match total level =  4
Df Ethan Grand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.22 (no injury) 
Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.33 (no injury) 
Df David Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.68 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.22 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.28 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Ruby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.2 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Maldonado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.73 (no injury) 
Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.36 (no injury) 
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.78 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.27 (no injury) 
Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.18 (no injury) 
Df Connor East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.4 (no injury) 
Df Owen Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.67 (no injury) 
Df Noah Craig: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.39 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.88 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.29 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.46 (no injury) 
Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.8 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.77 (no injury) 
Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oliver Ruby SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Francis Carter SL 9

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wayne Mitchell SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 10

     intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12   4  31  22  51
  Derby County             11   0  43  39  35

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 8 (51 - 43); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 57.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Oliver Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Oliver Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 33.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 67.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 3.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             11   0  43  39  35
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12   4  31  22  51

Derby County Fw Attacks = 4 (35 - 31); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 9 ((39 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 27.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Douglas Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Pedro Rodrigues
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Pedro Rodrigues
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Douglas Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Douglas Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 55.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Douglas Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 32.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
Match Notes
Not terrible considering I forgot to finish my lineup and played 7 youth
Rob (Derby County) 09/30 - 4:38 PM
 
 
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