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Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Chambers         14    2   16     Gk Rhys Murray            16    2   18
Df Douglas Souza          17    0   17     Sw Alvaro Marin            8    2   10
Df Thomas Murray          14    0   14     Df Cristian Abreu          8    2   10
Df Sam Morrissey          13    1   14     Df James Milner            8    2   10
Df Douglass Ford          12    1   13     Mf Arthur Collins         10    1   11
Mf Greg Pastor            15    0   15     Mf Abe Bradley             8    1    9
Mf Marco Costa            15    0   15     Mf John Stewart            4    2    6
Mf Henry Pagett           10    2   12     Fw Mustapha Tazi          11    1   12
Fw Carl Henriksson        14    0   14     Fw Henry Stephens         11    1   12
Fw Lars Bommel            14    0   14     Fw Laurence Johnston       8    2   10
Fw Owen Milne              7    2    9     Fw Jacob Rooney            4   -1    3

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 58 42 37        ROSTER TOTALS      18 10 20 26 37    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  3  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 60 45 42         T O T A L S       18 10 20 26 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.51 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ethan Chambers new match skill level =  7
      Ethan Chambers new match total level =  9

Df Douglas Souza: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 93.31 (no red card)

Df Thomas Murray: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 21.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 46.06 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 68.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 45.11 (no red card)

Df Douglass Ford: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 50.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 19.64 (no red card)

Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 33.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.15 (no red card)

Mf Marco Costa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 42.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 54.74 (no red card)

Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 29.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 94.41 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 32.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 74.7 (no red card)

Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 93.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 18.48 (no red card)

Fw Owen Milne: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 42.37 (no red card)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.8 (no red card)

Sw Alvaro Marin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.76 (no red card)

Df Cristian Abreu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.06 (no red card)

Df James Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.69 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.92 (no red card)

Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.26 (no red card)

Mf John Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.4 (no red card)

Fw Mustapha Tazi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.32 (no red card)

Fw Henry Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.42 (no red card)

Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.3 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 48.41 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Souza: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.61 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Murray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.94 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.01 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Sam Morrissey is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Sam Morrissey new match skill level =  7
      Sam Morrissey new match total level =  8
Df Douglass Ford: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.67 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.3 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Costa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.8 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.54 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.86 (no injury) 
Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.57 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Milne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.84 (no injury) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 3.45 (no injury) 
Sw Alvaro Marin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.98 (no injury) 
Df Cristian Abreu: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.67 (no injury) 
Df James Milner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.21 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Collins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.6 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.29 (no injury) 
Mf John Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.45 (no injury) 
Fw Mustapha Tazi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.41 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Stephens: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.85 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.89 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Rooney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.35 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Douglas Souza SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Rhys Murray SL 16

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mustapha Tazi SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Chambers SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      9   0  54  45  42
  Chesterfield FC          18  10  20  26  37

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 22 (42 - 20); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 10 ((45 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((54 - 37) / 5); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 36

1: Attack for Df Douglass Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Douglass Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Thomas Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Henry Pagett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Henry Pagett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Henry Pagett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 7.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 22.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 20.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          18  10  20  26  37
  Oldham Athletic AFC      9   0  54  45  42

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 54)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 0
 
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