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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Darren Smalls           9    2   11     Gk Felix Eliasson         12    1   13
Sw Josh Anderson          14    0   14     Sw Gabriel Martin          9    2   11
Df Ben Rees               12    1   13     Df Thomas Charlton        13    1   14
Df Benjamin Rowbotham      9    2   11     Df Jacob Harewood         13    1   14
Mf Danny Moore            13    0   13     Df William Gascoigne      11    2   13
Mf James Thompson          9    2   11     Mf Marco Vedder           12    1   13
Fw Finley Wilkins         13    0   13     Mf Martin Hunt             9    2   11
Fw Liam Osborne           10    0   10     Mf Gregg Baldwin           9    2   11
Fw Pablo  Calderón        10    0   10     Fw Erling Hauge           16    0   16
Fw Bailey Ruddle           9    2   11     Fw Luis  Gutiérrez        19    0   19
Fw Leif  Tveit             8    2   10     Fw Victor Jensen           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 14 24 24 54        ROSTER TOTALS      13 11 41 35 46    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 14 24 24 63         T O T A L S       13 11 41 35 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.78 (no red card)

Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.44 (no red card)

Df Ben Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.28 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.81 (no red card)

Mf Danny Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.57 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.36 (no red card)

Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.89 (no red card)

Fw Liam Osborne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.02 (no red card)

Fw Pablo  Calderón: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.63 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.16 (no red card)

Fw Leif  Tveit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.31 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Eliasson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.64 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.04 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.66 (no red card)

Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.97 (no red card)

Df William Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.42 (no red card)

Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.64 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.4 (no red card)

Mf Gregg Baldwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.44 (no red card)

Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.84 (no red card)

Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.04 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 53.29 (no injury) 
Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.1 (no injury) 
Df Ben Rees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.76 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.57 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.91 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.44 (no injury) 
Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.87 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Osborne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.36 (no injury) 
Fw Pablo  Calderón: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.02 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.59 (no injury) 
Fw Leif  Tveit: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.52 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felix Eliasson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.21 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.22 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.1 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.13 (no injury) 
Df William Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.62 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.69 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.89 (no injury) 
Mf Gregg Baldwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.08 (no injury) 
Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.28 (no injury) 
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.22 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.82 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Danny Moore SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Felix Eliasson SL 12

     intRndPk = 54
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis  Gutiérrez SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Darren Smalls SL 9

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     11  14  24  24  63
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  41  35  46

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 22 (63 - 41); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Pablo  Calderón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Leif  Tveit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Leif  Tveit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Leif  Tveit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Liam Osborne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Pablo  Calderón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Liam Osborne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Liam Osborne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Pablo  Calderón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Pablo  Calderón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Liam Osborne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 40.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Liam Osborne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 30.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Leif  Tveit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 58.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Pablo  Calderón
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 28.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Liam Osborne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  11  41  35  46
  Dagenham & Redbridge     11  14  24  24  63

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 22 (46 - 24); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((35 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gregg Baldwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Marco Vedder
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Gregg Baldwin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 10.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 75.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 60.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 8.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Erling Hauge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 72.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 3
 
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