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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tim Beerman            15    0   15     Gk Ryan Thomas            12    2   14
Sw Josh Anderson           8    2   10     Df Zachary Lewis          13    2   15
Df Vicente Castillo       12    2   14     Df Gerald Carpenter       12    2   14
Df Ben Rees                8    2   10     Df Nathan Plant            9    2   11
Mf Louis Oliver           13    1   14     Mf Owen Marsh             14    2   16
Mf Nicola Parisi          11    1   12     Mf Mika Baumann           13    2   15
Mf Danny Moore             8    2   10     Mf Jay Pastor             12    2   14
Fw Charles Harper         15   -2   13     Mf Jared Holland          10    2   12
Fw Liam Osborne           15   -2   13     Mf Joe Brides              9    1   10
Fw Darren Griffiths        8    0    8     Fw Giles Turner           11    2   13
Fw Finley Wilkins          8    0    8     Fw Artyom Morozov          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 10 24 36 42        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 40 67 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 10 24 36 51         T O T A L S       15  0 47 67 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tim Beerman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.27 (no red card)

Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.17 (no red card)

Df Vicente Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.29 (no red card)

Df Ben Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.9 (no red card)

Mf Louis Oliver: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.47 (no red card)

Mf Nicola Parisi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.35 (no red card)

Mf Danny Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.79 (no red card)

Fw Charles Harper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.91 (no red card)

Fw Liam Osborne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.58 (no red card)

Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.85 (no red card)

Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.47 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 21.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 57.79 (no red card)

Df Zachary Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 50.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 5.46 (no red card)

Df Gerald Carpenter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 72.71 (no red card)

Df Nathan Plant: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 67.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 31.64 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 43.33 (no second yellow)

Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 33.98 (no red card)

Mf Jay Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 43.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 35.71 (no red card)

Mf Jared Holland: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 30.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 81.13 (no red card)

Mf Joe Brides: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 75.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 11.0 (no red card)

Fw Giles Turner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 43.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 25.2 (no red card)

Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 63.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 34.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Tim Beerman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 2.25 (no injury) 
Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.24 (no injury) 
Df Vicente Castillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.95 (no injury) 
Df Ben Rees: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.53 (no injury) 
Mf Louis Oliver: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.5 (no injury) 
Mf Nicola Parisi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.24 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.59 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Harper: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.94 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Osborne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.17 (no injury) 
Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.64 (no injury) 
Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.75 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Thomas: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 87.89 (no injury) 
Df Zachary Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.21 (no injury) 
Df Gerald Carpenter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.24 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Plant: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.1 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.6 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.67 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.75 (no injury) 
Mf Jared Holland: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.98 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Brides: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.25 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Turner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.74 (no injury) 
Fw Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Charles Harper SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Thomas SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Marsh SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Tim Beerman SL 15

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     15  10  24  36  51
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15   0  47  67  23

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 2 (51 - 47) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 67) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 1 ((24 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Ben Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 99.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Liam Osborne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15   0  47  67  23
  Dagenham & Redbridge     15  10  24  36  51

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 24)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((67 - 36) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 51) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jared Holland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 1  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 1
 
Match Notes
We thought lady luck had deserted us in this game until Jared cme up with the goods just before the final whistle.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/13 - 6:48 PM
 
 
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