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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alex Campbell          10    1   11     Gk Ofer Chen               3    2    5
Sw Mark Bryant             7    2    9     Df Kai Thomson             9    0    9
Df Alfie Yates            14    1   15     Df Brandon Pagett          7    1    8
Df Aiden Henderson         8    2   10     Df Jimmy Park              3    2    5
Df Arturo Ortega           4    1    5     Mf Gonzalo Arias           6    2    8
Mf Marvin Vogel           13    1   14     Mf Glen Hill               3    2    5
Mf Karim El Karkouri      11    1   12     Mf çngel Gabriel García    3    2    5
Mf Scott Wright            9    1   10     Fw Kieran Beckham          9    0    9
Fw Shayne Newton          11    1   12     Fw Christian Doyle         5    1    6
Fw Alvarez  López         10    0   10     Fw Glenn Anderson          5    2    7
Fw Rhys Sinclair           9    0    9     Fw Louie Dawson            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  9 30 36 31        ROSTER TOTALS       5  0 22 18 27    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          5  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  4  3  0    
=======================================================================
      11  9 30 36 38         T O T A L S       10  0 26 21 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alex Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.34 (no red card)

Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.43 (no red card)

Df Alfie Yates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.66 (no red card)

Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.29 (no red card)

Df Arturo Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.87 (no red card)

Mf Marvin Vogel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.49 (no red card)

Mf Karim El Karkouri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.09 (no red card)

Mf Scott Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.72 (no red card)

Fw Shayne Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.33 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Shayne Newton new match skill level =  6
      Shayne Newton new match total level =  7

Fw Alvarez  López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.8 (no red card)

Fw Rhys Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.08 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Ofer Chen: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 45.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.625% | Random number = 45.65 (no red card)

Df Kai Thomson: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 47.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 8.65 (no red card)

Df Brandon Pagett: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 34.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 82.23 (no red card)

Df Jimmy Park: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 59.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 1.67 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Jimmy Park new match skill level =  2
      Jimmy Park new match total level =  4

Mf Gonzalo Arias: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 6.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.45 (no second yellow)

Mf Glen Hill: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 63.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 66.26 (no red card)

Mf çngel Gabriel García: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 60.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 73.97 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Beckham: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 55.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 76.57 (no red card)

Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 72.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 64.26 (no red card)

Fw Glenn Anderson: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 74.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 68.69 (no red card)

Fw Louie Dawson: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 37.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 0.88 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Louie Dawson new match skill level =  2
      Louie Dawson new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Alex Campbell: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 1.92 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Alex Campbell loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Alex Campbell new match skill level =  5
      Alex Campbell new match total level =  6
Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 32.66 (no injury) 
Df Alfie Yates: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 31.48 (no injury) 
Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 16.42 (no injury) 
Df Arturo Ortega: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 0.33 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Arturo Ortega loses 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Arturo Ortega new match skill level =  2
      Arturo Ortega new match total level =  3
Mf Marvin Vogel: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 67.75 (no injury) 
Mf Karim El Karkouri: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 26.94 (no injury) 
Mf Scott Wright: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 48.85 (no injury) 
Fw Shayne Newton: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 99.31 (no injury) 
Fw Alvarez  López: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 29.78 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys Sinclair: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 17.7 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Ofer Chen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.76 (no injury) 
Df Kai Thomson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 71.97 (no injury) 
Df Brandon Pagett: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 66.28 (no injury) 
Df Jimmy Park: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 0.06 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Jimmy Park loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jimmy Park new match skill level =  1
      Jimmy Park new match total level =  3
Mf Gonzalo Arias: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 99.69 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Hill: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 59.99 (no injury) 
Mf çngel Gabriel García: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 60.33 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Beckham: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 98.06 (no injury) 
Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 49.68 (no injury) 
Fw Glenn Anderson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 8.75 (no injury) 
Fw Louie Dawson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 43.9 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Alfie Yates SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ofer Chen SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kai Thomson SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Alex Campbell SL 5

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          6   9  28  36  33
  Derby County             10   0  24  21  31

Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (33 - 24) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((36 - 21) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 31) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Scott Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Marvin Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 40.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Karim El Karkouri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Scott Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 55.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Marvin Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 63.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Karim El Karkouri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 64.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Scott Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 19.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Karim El Karkouri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 66.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Scott Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Marvin Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 4.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Karim El Karkouri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Scott Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Karim El Karkouri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 67.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Marvin Vogel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Karim El Karkouri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 52 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Shayne Newton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 10.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Rhys Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 31.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Rhys Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Rhys Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 89.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Rhys Sinclair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 75.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             10   0  24  21  31
  Swindon Town FC          6   9  28  36  33

Derby County is Playing For A Draw!
Derby County Fw Attacks = 2 (31 - 28) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 33) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Kieran Beckham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 77.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Glenn Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 24.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 7  -  DERBY COUNTY 1
 
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