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Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Nigel Cole              9    2   11     Gk Frank Walker           10    2   12
Sw Peter Thompson         12    0   12     Mf Francis Carter          0    2    0
Df Erlend Andresen        13    2   15     Sw Emilio Rossi           10    2   12
Df Sam Lester              9    2   11     Df Saburo Kato            12    2   14
Mf Taylor Cook            15    2   17     Df Jimmy Park              7    2    9
Mf Adam Byrne             12    1   13     Df Connor East             4    2    6
Mf Rolando  Hernández      9    2   11     Df Noah Craig              4    2    6
Fw Louis Lamour           15    2   17     Mf çngel Gabriel García    6    1    7
Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg       13    0   13     Mf Douglas Araújo          4    2    6
Fw Damien Prat            12    2   14     Fw Reece McGregor         14    2   16
Fw Roger Taylor            9    2   11     Fw Christian Doyle         6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 12 26 41 55        ROSTER TOTALS      12 12 35 13 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          5  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 12 26 41 64         T O T A L S       17 17 37 13 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.36 (no red card)

Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.71 (no red card)

Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.07 (no red card)

Df Sam Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.71 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.44 (no red card)

Mf Adam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.48 (no red card)

Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.73 (no red card)

Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.08 (no red card)

Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.66 (no red card)

Fw Damien Prat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.55 (no second yellow)

Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.53 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Frank Walker: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 20.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.625% | Random number = 67.88 (no red card)

Mf Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 74.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 52.61 (no red card)

Sw Emilio Rossi: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 28.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 8.02 (no red card)

Df Saburo Kato: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 44.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 44.65 (no red card)

Df Jimmy Park: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 56.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 73.98 (no red card)

Df Connor East: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 24.57 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.74 (no second yellow)

Df Noah Craig: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 37.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 87.55 (no red card)

Mf çngel Gabriel García: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 13.73 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.49 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      çngel Gabriel García new match skill level =  3
      çngel Gabriel García new match total level =  4

Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 90.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 86.58 (no red card)

Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 23.6 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.4 (no second yellow)

Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 58.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 65.99 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 76.95 (no injury) 
Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 26.56 (no injury) 
Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 82.15 (no injury) 
Df Sam Lester: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 38.48 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 4.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Taylor Cook is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Taylor Cook new match skill level =  8
      Taylor Cook new match total level =  10
Mf Adam Byrne: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 7.48 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Adam Byrne is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 49.44 (no injury) 
Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 9.53 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Louis Lamour is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Louis Lamour new match skill level =  8
      Louis Lamour new match total level =  10
Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 84.12 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Prat: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 43.87 (no injury) 
Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 25.69 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Frank Walker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.85 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 75.96 (no injury) 
Sw Emilio Rossi: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 79.72 (no injury) 
Df Saburo Kato: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 55.95 (no injury) 
Df Jimmy Park: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 1.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Jimmy Park is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jimmy Park new match skill level =  4
      Jimmy Park new match total level =  6
Df Connor East: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 11.6 (no injury) 
Df Noah Craig: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 83.87 (no injury) 
Mf çngel Gabriel García: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 82.07 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 59.39 (no injury) 
Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 6.33 (no injury) 
Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 12.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Erlend Andresen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Frank Walker SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Reece McGregor SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Cole SL 9

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       11  12  26  34  57
  Derby County             17  17  34  10  29

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 23 (57 - 34); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((34 - 10) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 35

1: Attack for Mf Adam Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Adam Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Taylor Cook
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Rolando  Hernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Taylor Cook
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Rolando  Hernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Taylor Cook
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Rolando  Hernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Rolando  Hernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Adam Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Adam Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Adam Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Damien Prat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Damien Prat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Damien Prat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Damien Prat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Damien Prat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Damien Prat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Damien Prat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Damien Prat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 74.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             17  17  34  10  29
  Hereford United FC       11  12  26  34  57

Derby County is Playing For A Draw!
Derby County Fw Attacks = 2 (29 - 26) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((10 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Christian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 36.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 16.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 0  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
Match Notes
Come off it! Ridiculous result!
Mike (Hereford United FC) 05/12 - 8:17 PM
Shame on Abe, Al and Mike for having no faith in my squad. Thank you, Roy, for the vote of overconfidence and good job to Dave and Ellis who somehow thought I'd have something up my shortsleeve.
Rob (Derby County) 05/13 - 3:48 AM
Mike => C-Ball
Disclaimer: I would not have picked me either.
Rob (Derby County) 05/13 - 3:49 AM
 
 
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