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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Mike Mcleod
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kian Trickelbank        9    2   11     Gk Felix Blucher           4    2    6
Sw Finlay Harvey          15    2   17     Sw Nicolas  Pérez         10    1   11
Df Alessio Costa          13    2   15     Df Nigel Russel            8    0    8
Df Michele Testa           9    2   11     Df Xavier Martin           6    1    7
Df Harrison Porter         4    2    6     Df David Kahn              4    2    6
Mf Joe Brides             10    2   12     Df Santiago Martínez       4    2    6
Mf Carleton Thomas         9    2   11     Mf Noah Evans              8    2   10
Fw Anton Ekström          16    1   17     Mf Gianluca Bruno          8    2   10
Fw Edinson Castillo       16    2   18     Mf Kai Mitchell            7    1    8
Fw Sebastian Clarke        9    2   11     Fw Concepci?n  Valverde    6    1    7
Fw Jules Baudet            4    2    6     Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi         6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 17 32 23 52        ROSTER TOTALS       6 11 27 28 15    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 17 32 23 61         T O T A L S        6 11 27 28 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 42.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 82.02 (no red card)

Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 47.77 (no red card)

Df Alessio Costa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 32.99 (no red card)

Df Michele Testa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 19.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 12.32 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 19.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 23.44 (no red card)

Mf Joe Brides: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 13.14 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 35.99 (no red card)

Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 8.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 21.86 (no red card)

Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 68.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 41.49 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 32.37 (no red card)

Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 7.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 22.18 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.74 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.33 (no red card)

Df Nigel Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.74 (no red card)

Df Xavier Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.29 (no red card)

Df David Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.45 (no red card)

Df Santiago Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.22 (no red card)

Mf Noah Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.15 (no red card)

Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.35 (no red card)

Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.84 (no red card)

Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.3 (no red card)

Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 95.15 (no injury) 
Sw Finlay Harvey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.86 (no injury) 
Df Alessio Costa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.38 (no injury) 
Df Michele Testa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.18 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.07 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Brides: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.89 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 56.16 (no injury) 
Fw Anton Ekström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.51 (no injury) 
Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.29 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.9 (no injury) 
Fw Jules Baudet: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.74 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 20.07 (no injury) 
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.62 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Russel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.21 (no injury) 
Df Xavier Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.3 (no injury) 
Df David Kahn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.87 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Martínez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.97 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.01 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.81 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.89 (no injury) 
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.75 (no injury) 
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 54.62 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Anton Ekström SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 4

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nigel Russel SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    12  17  32  23  61
  Brighton & Hove Albion   6  11  27  28  15

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 34 (61 - 27); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((32 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 40

1: Attack for Df Michele Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Alessio Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 41.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Michele Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 3.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Harrison Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Alessio Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Harrison Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 41.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Sebastian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 19.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Sebastian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sebastian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 31.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 47.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Sebastian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Jules Baudet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 42.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 92.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
32: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 87.69 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
34: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 6.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 20.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
39: Attack for Fw Sebastian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 14.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
40: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 38.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   6  11  27  28  15
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    12  17  32  23  61

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 32)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 3 ((28 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Noah Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gianluca Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 25.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Noah Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
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