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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Mike Mcleod
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Thomas            12    2   14     Gk Andy Cockham           12    2   14
Sw Zachary Lewis          15    2   17     Sw Nicolas  Pérez         11    1   12
Df Harold Jenkins         16    2   18     Df Louie Peters           11    2   13
Df Harley Stephenson      14    2   16     Df Nigel Russel           13    0   13
Df Geoffrey Berry          8    2   10     Df Raphaël Deshayes        5    0    5
Mf Owen Marsh             14    2   16     Df Ethan Grand             4    2    6
Mf Mika Baumann           13    2   15     Mf Noah Evans              4    2    6
Mf Jay Pastor             12    2   14     Mf Gianluca Bruno          4    2    6
Fw Edinson Castillo       18    2   20     Mf Kai Mitchell            4    2    6
Fw Giles Turner           11    2   13     Fw Ollie Morrissey        14    1   15
Fw Alistair Mason         11    2   13     Fw Zachary Pilkington      5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 17 44 45 46        ROSTER TOTALS      14 12 37 18 22    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 17 44 45 55         T O T A L S       14 12 37 18 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 33.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 95.83 (no red card)

Sw Zachary Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 86.27 (no red card)

Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 15.0 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 75.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 62.69 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Berry: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 20.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 26.23 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 93.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 70.06 (no red card)

Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 9.85 (no red card)

Mf Jay Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 52.75 (no red card)

Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 29.31 (no red card)

Fw Giles Turner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.31 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 40.21 (no second yellow)

Fw Alistair Mason: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 4.81 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andy Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.36 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.67 (no red card)

Df Louie Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.51 (no red card)

Df Nigel Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.21 (no red card)

Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.87 (no red card)

Df Ethan Grand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.82 (no red card)

Mf Noah Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.19 (no red card)

Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.02 (no red card)

Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.81 (no red card)

Fw Ollie Morrissey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.85 (no red card)

Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.58 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Thomas: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 77.69 (no injury) 
Sw Zachary Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.61 (no injury) 
Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.5 (no injury) 
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.0 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Berry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.66 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 62.95 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.14 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.0 (no injury) 
Fw Edinson Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.79 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Turner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.7 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Mason: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.32 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Andy Cockham: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 1.28 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Andy Cockham is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.93 (no injury) 
Df Louie Peters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.47 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Russel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.17 (no injury) 
Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.68 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Grand: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.8 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Evans: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.06 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 1.56 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Gianluca Bruno is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Gianluca Bruno new match skill level =  2
      Gianluca Bruno new match total level =  4
Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.79 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.02 (no injury) 
Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Edinson Castillo SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Andy Cockham SL 12

     intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ollie Morrissey SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Thomas SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15  17  44  45  55
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  12  37  16  22

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 18 (55 - 37); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 15 ((45 - 16) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 8 ((44 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 41

1: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 83.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 21.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Geoffrey Berry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Harley Stephenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 62.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 90.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 63.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Mf Jay Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Alistair Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 64.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 65.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Alistair Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Giles Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Alistair Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Alistair Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Giles Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
40: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
41: Attack for Fw Edinson Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   14  12  37  16  22
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15  17  44  45  55

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 44)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((16 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 55) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
Match Notes
nice to see so much support
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/10 - 6:33 PM
and nice to get the game wrapped up in the first minute
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 01/13 - 6:43 PM
 
 
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