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Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               LEICESTER CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Frank Walker           10    2   12     Gk Corey King              8    2   10
Sw Emilio Rossi           10    2   12     Sw Ivan Pascual           15    1   16
Df William Russell         1    2    3     Df Cooper White           13    0   13
Df Rhys Robinson          11    2   13     Df Tobias Kaiser           9    2   11
Df Owen Thompson           4    2    6     Df Braulio  Salas          4    2    6
Mf Wayne Mitchell         16   -2   14     Mf William Rowbotham      13    0   13
Mf Gonzalo Arias           7    1    8     Mf David Gutierrez        10    2   12
Mf çngel Gabriel García    6    1    7     Mf Nico Walter             9    2   11
Fw Reece McGregor         14    2   16     Fw Leon Dury              15    0   15
Fw Christian Doyle         6    2    8     Fw Nikolai Andresen        9    2   11
Fw Alexander Burns         4    2    6     Fw Larry Chen              4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 12 22 29 30        ROSTER TOTALS      10 16 30 36 32    
       5  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  8  1  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  5  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 17 30 30 30         T O T A L S       12 16 37 36 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Frank Walker: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 79.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.625% | Random number = 67.56 (no red card)

Sw Emilio Rossi: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 94.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 69.85 (no red card)

Df William Russell: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 3.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 47.87 (no second yellow)

Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 14.98 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 54.03 (no second yellow)

Df Owen Thompson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 71.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 73.16 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 10.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 81.29 (no second yellow)

Mf Gonzalo Arias: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 20.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 73.17 (no red card)

Mf çngel Gabriel García: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 96.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 10.55 (no red card)

Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 94.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 64.85 (no red card)

Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 47.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 40.27 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 42.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 66.71 (no red card)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Corey King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.54 (no red card)

Sw Ivan Pascual: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.19 (no red card)

Df Cooper White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.63 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.43 (no red card)

Df Braulio  Salas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.55 (no red card)

Mf William Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.78 (no red card)

Mf David Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.51 (no red card)

Mf Nico Walter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.62 (no red card)

Fw Leon Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.39 (no red card)

Fw Nikolai Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.96 (no red card)

Fw Larry Chen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 5
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Frank Walker: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 82.7 (no injury) 
Sw Emilio Rossi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 82.76 (no injury) 
Df William Russell: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 59.69 (no injury) 
Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 73.51 (no injury) 
Df Owen Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.73 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.67 (no injury) 
Mf Gonzalo Arias: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 26.31 (no injury) 
Mf çngel Gabriel García: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 16.27 (no injury) 
Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 84.49 (no injury) 
Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 44.16 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 11.53 (no injury) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Corey King: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 61.27 (no injury) 
Sw Ivan Pascual: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 85.48 (no injury) 
Df Cooper White: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 57.2 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Kaiser: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 4.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Tobias Kaiser loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Tobias Kaiser new match skill level =  5
      Tobias Kaiser new match total level =  7
Df Braulio  Salas: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 52.45 (no injury) 
Mf William Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 79.6 (no injury) 
Mf David Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 80.81 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Walter: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 54.97 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Dury: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 31.76 (no injury) 
Fw Nikolai Andresen: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 51.78 (no injury) 
Fw Larry Chen: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 37.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wayne Mitchell SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Corey King SL 8

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Leon Dury SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Frank Walker SL 10

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             17  17  30  30  30
  Leicester City FC        12  16  33  36  32

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 33)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 32) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 0


*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        12  16  33  36  32
  Derby County             17  17  30  30  30

Leicester City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 1 (32 - 30) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((36 - 30) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((33 - 30) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Cooper White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf David Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Nico Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Leon Dury
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 0  -  LEICESTER CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Well for my awful team - this is just like a win!
Rob (Derby County) 05/13 - 3:41 AM
 
 
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