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Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Francis Carter          8    2   10     Gk Ethan Chambers         14    2   16
Sw William Russell         8    2   10     Sw Ollie Woods             9    2   11
Df Rhys Robinson          15    2   17     Df Douglas Souza          17    0   17
Df Noah Craig              8    2   10     Df Sam Morrissey          13    1   14
Df Connor East             8   -1    7     Df Susumu Takahashi        9    2   11
Fw Wayne Mitchell         17    2   19     Mf Greg Pastor            15    0   15
Fw Harrison Dixon         13    1   14     Mf Marco Costa            15    0   15
Mf Douglas Araśjo          8    2   10     Mf Joćo DaSilva            9    2   11
Mf ēngel Gabriel Garcķa    7    2    9     Fw Carl Henriksson        14    0   14
Fw Alexander Burns         8    2   10     Fw Lars Bommel            14    0   14
Fw Glenn Anderson          5    2    7     Fw Leo Smith               9   -2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 10 34 19 50        ROSTER TOTALS      16 11 42 41 35    
       5  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  1  0    
       0  0  4  0  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 10 38 19 55         T O T A L S       16 11 43 42 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 95.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.625% | Random number = 17.22 (no red card)

Sw William Russell: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 46.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 28.07 (no red card)

Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 3.51 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 92.48 (no second yellow)

Df Noah Craig: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 12.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 62.28 (no second yellow)

Df Connor East: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 74.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 16.49 (no red card)

Fw Wayne Mitchell: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 75.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 94.44 (no red card)

Fw Harrison Dixon: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 35.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 2.46 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Harrison Dixon new match skill level =  7
      Harrison Dixon new match total level =  8

Mf Douglas Araśjo: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 61.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 50.5 (no red card)

Mf ēngel Gabriel Garcķa: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 35.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 24.74 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 89.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 60.94 (no red card)

Fw Glenn Anderson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 2.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 91.17 (no second yellow)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.57 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 1.66 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.26 (no second yellow)

Df Douglas Souza: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 77.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 93.26 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 77.15 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 78.19 (no red card)

Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 40.04 (no red card)

Mf Marco Costa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 72.31 (no red card)

Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 22.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 73.97 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 46.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 43.66 (no red card)

Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 61.12 (no red card)

Fw Leo Smith: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 18.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 5
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.62%
Gk Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 2.62% | Random number = 45.95 (no injury) 
Sw William Russell: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 96.77 (no injury) 
Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 50.7 (no injury) 
Df Noah Craig: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 69.73 (no injury) 
Df Connor East: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 87.84 (no injury) 
Fw Wayne Mitchell: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 74.39 (no injury) 
Fw Harrison Dixon: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 78.01 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Araśjo: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 66.89 (no injury) 
Mf ēngel Gabriel Garcķa: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 29.58 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 77.37 (no injury) 
Fw Glenn Anderson: Chance of injury = 5.25% | Random number = 87.79 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.37%
Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of injury = 3.37% | Random number = 62.39 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 60.5 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Souza: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 16.01 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 19.83 (no injury) 
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 42.28 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 88.57 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Costa: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 50.78 (no injury) 
Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 54.95 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 10.09 (no injury) 
Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 36.28 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Smith: Chance of injury = 6.75% | Random number = 46.56 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Wayne Mitchell SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Chambers SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Douglas Souza SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Francis Carter SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             15  10  38  19  49
  Oldham Athletic AFC      16  11  43  42  35

Derby County Fw Attacks = 6 (49 - 43); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 1 ((38 - 35) / 3); result rounded up
Derby County Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Rhys Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Glenn Anderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Harrison Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 66.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      16  11  43  42  35
  Derby County             15  10  38  19  49

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 38)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 12 ((42 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Joćo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Joćo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Joćo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 43.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 0  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1
 
Match Notes
92nd minute - geesh
Rob (Derby County) 09/22 - 7:45 PM
 
 
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