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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luke Marshall          16    0   16     Gk Lewis Alexander        15    0   15
Sw Tim Baumann            14    2   16     Sw Christian Lehmann       8    1    9
Df Ignacio Gomez          11    2   13     Df Gareth O'Brien          8    2   10
Df Louie Lampton          10    2   12     Df Freddie Spencer         4    2    6
Df Fernando  Rojas         8    2   10     Mf Liam Stevenson         14    0   14
Mf Jacob Clark            11    2   13     Mf Pedro Fernandes        13    0   13
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez      10    1   11     Mf Alessandro Barone       4    2    6
Mf Martin Hunt            10    1   11     Fw Joe Santiago           15    0   15
Mf Gaëtan Adam             7    2    9     Fw Niall Hayes            15   -2   13
Fw Victor Jensen          14    0   14     Fw Logan Flinders          8    2   10
Fw Fernando Neves         10    0   10     Fw Samuel Britt            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 16 35 44 24        ROSTER TOTALS      15  9 16 33 44    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  5  2  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 21 46 44 24         T O T A L S       15  9 16 33 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.95 (no red card)

Sw Tim Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.41 (no second yellow)

Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.4 (no red card)

Df Louie Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.97 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.09 (no red card)

Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.95 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.53 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.2 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.49 (no second yellow)

Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.38 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.06 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.4 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.37 (no red card)

Sw Christian Lehmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.01 (no red card)

Df Gareth O'Brien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.43 (no red card)

Df Freddie Spencer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.25 (no red card)

Mf Liam Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.6 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.47 (no red card)

Mf Alessandro Barone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.05 (no red card)

Fw Joe Santiago: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.26 (no red card)

Fw Niall Hayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.88 (no red card)

Fw Logan Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.42 (no red card)

Fw Samuel Britt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.79 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.83 (no injury) 
Sw Tim Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.31 (no injury) 
Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.85 (no injury) 
Df Louie Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.74 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.72 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.66 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.08 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.64 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.9 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.95 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.15 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Lewis Alexander: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 40.62 (no injury) 
Sw Christian Lehmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.82 (no injury) 
Df Gareth O'Brien: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.93 (no injury) 
Df Freddie Spencer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.71 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.28 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.86 (no injury) 
Mf Alessandro Barone: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.8 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Santiago: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.79 (no injury) 
Fw Niall Hayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.87 (no injury) 
Fw Logan Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.05 (no injury) 
Fw Samuel Britt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.21 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Victor Jensen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Lewis Alexander SL 15

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Santiago SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Luke Marshall SL 16

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16  21  46  44  24
  Dagenham & Redbridge     15   9  16  33  44

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 4 (24 - 16) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((44 - 33) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 1 ((46 - 44) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Ignacio Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Jacob Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 31.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Jacob Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jacob Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 50.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     15   9  16  33  44
  Crewe Alexandra FC       16  21  46  44  24

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (44 - 46)
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 24) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 0
 
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