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Brighton & Hove Albion
Mike Mcleod
 
Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felix Blucher           4    2    6     Gk Valentin Antoine        8    2   10
Sw Nicolas  Pérez         10    1   11     Sw Peter Thompson         12    0   12
Df Louie Peters           13    0   13     Df Erlend Andresen        13    2   15
Df Ethan Grand             8    2   10     Df Joe St.Hubbins         13    0   13
Df Nigel Russel            8    0    8     Df Sam Lester              9    2   11
Df Raphaël Deshayes        7    1    8     Df Glenn Tufnel            4    2    6
Mf Noah Evans              8    2   10     Mf Juan Gómez             11    2   13
Mf Gianluca Bruno          8    2   10     Mf Rolando  Hernández      9    2   11
Mf Kai Mitchell            7    1    8     Mf Thomás Futre            4    2    6
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde    6    1    7     Fw Roger Taylor            9    2   11
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi         6    2    8     Fw Henry Elliott           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       6 11 39 28 15        ROSTER TOTALS      10 12 45 30 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  6  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
       6 11 39 28 30         T O T A L S       10 12 45 37 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.16 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.2 (no red card)

Df Louie Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.43 (no red card)

Df Ethan Grand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.68 (no red card)

Df Nigel Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.56 (no red card)

Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.1 (no red card)

Mf Noah Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.72 (no red card)

Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.5 (no red card)

Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.31 (no red card)

Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.77 (no red card)

Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.95 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Antoine: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.97 (no red card)

Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.12 (no red card)

Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.97 (no red card)

Df Joe St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.37 (no red card)

Df Sam Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.62 (no red card)

Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.66 (no red card)

Mf Juan Gómez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.17 (no red card)

Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.35 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.47 (no red card)

Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.94 (no red card)

Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.47 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.62 (no injury) 
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.74 (no injury) 
Df Louie Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.12 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Grand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.83 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Russel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.34 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Nigel Russel loses 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Nigel Russel new match skill level =  4
      Nigel Russel new match total level =  4
Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.47 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.67 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.0 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.69 (no injury) 
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.37 (no injury) 
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.59 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Kiyoshi Hayashi loses 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kiyoshi Hayashi new match skill level =  3
      Kiyoshi Hayashi new match total level =  5

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Valentin Antoine: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 73.51 (no injury) 
Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.16 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Peter Thompson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.55 (no injury) 
Df Joe St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.18 (no injury) 
Df Sam Lester: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.49 (no injury) 
Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.42 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Gómez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.13 (no injury) 
Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.08 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.88 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Thomás Futre is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Thomás Futre new match skill level =  2
      Thomás Futre new match total level =  4
Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.2 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.34 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Louie Peters SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Antoine SL 8

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Erlend Andresen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 4

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   6  11  35  28  27
  Hereford United FC       10  12  45  35  17

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 45)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 6 ((35 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Nigel Russel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 34.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Ethan Grand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Louie Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Ethan Grand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Louie Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Louie Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       10  12  45  35  17
  Brighton & Hove Albion   6  11  35  28  27

Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 35)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((35 - 28) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 3 ((45 - 27) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Erlend Andresen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Joe St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 65.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Erlend Andresen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Rolando  Hernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Rolando  Hernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 1
 
Match Notes
Happy with this one!
Mike (Hereford United FC) 05/12 - 8:15 PM
 
 
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