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Brighton & Hove Albion
Paul Cockayne
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andy Cockham            6    2    8     Gk Donald Hill            12    0   12
Sw Jamie Sansom            4    2    6     Sw Mark Bryant             9    2   11
Df Lukas Schmidt           6    2    8     Df Fernando Renteria      15    0   15
Df Harry Lennon            4    2    6     Df Sean Oliver            12    0   12
Mf Robin Schaffer          8    0    8     Df Aiden Henderson        10    2   12
Mf Patrick Roberts         5    2    7     Mf Brad Nguyen            10   -1    9
Fw Oliver Ruby            12   -1   11     Mf Jamie Calhoun          10    0   10
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde    8    2   10     Mf Kristoffer Larsen       8    2   10
Fw Manuel Maldonado        8    2   10     Mf Thomás Gouveia          8    2   10
Fw Zachary Pilkington      8    2   10     Fw Jack Stretch           13    0   13
Fw Graham McAdam           5    2    7     Fw Alistair Lorimar       10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  6 14 15 48        ROSTER TOTALS      12 11 39 39 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  0  1  1  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  5  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 11 17 17 50         T O T A L S       14 11 40 40 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andy Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.19 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.34 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.36 (no second yellow)

Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.39 (no red card)

Df Harry Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.92 (no red card)

Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.66 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.67 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Ruby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.4 (no red card)

Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.0 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Maldonado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.49 (no red card)

Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.49 (no second yellow)

Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.12 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Donald Hill: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 83.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 34.0 (no red card)

Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 37.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 74.86 (no red card)

Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 34.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 72.6 (no red card)

Df Sean Oliver: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 15.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 92.66 (no red card)

Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 74.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 16.57 (no red card)

Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 75.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 13.86 (no red card)

Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 8.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 69.1 (no second yellow)

Mf Kristoffer Larsen: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 99.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 62.61 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 13.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 78.64 (no second yellow)

Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 59.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 17.6 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 20.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 50.01 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Andy Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.16 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Sansom: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 9.41 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 56.19 (no injury) 
Df Harry Lennon: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 21.89 (no injury) 
Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 71.94 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 29.89 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Ruby: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 22.06 (no injury) 
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 27.77 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Maldonado: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 45.97 (no injury) 
Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 48.85 (no injury) 
Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 56.82 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 4
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Donald Hill: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 7.75 (no injury) 
Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.58 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.14 (no injury) 
Df Sean Oliver: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.32 (no injury) 
Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.59 (no injury) 
Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.31 (no injury) 
Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.5 (no injury) 
Mf Kristoffer Larsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.44 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.03 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 58.14 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 52.16 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Oliver Ruby SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Donald Hill SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 52 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Renteria SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Andy Cockham SL 6

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13  11  17  17  50
  Swindon Town FC          14  11  40  40  23

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 10 (50 - 40); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((17 - 23) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Concepci?n  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 73.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Oliver Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 43.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Concepci?n  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 67.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Oliver Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          14  11  40  40  23
  Brighton & Hove Albion   13  11  17  17  50

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (23 - 17); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 12 ((40 - 17) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Thomás Gouveia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 95.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Jamie Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jamie Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Kristoffer Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 38.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Kristoffer Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Jamie Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomás Gouveia
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 67.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Jamie Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 10.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Jamie Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jamie Calhoun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Brad Nguyen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Kristoffer Larsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Alistair Lorimar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 30.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Jack Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jack Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Alistair Lorimar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Alistair Lorimar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jack Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 32.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 2  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Might Swindon be a side we can draw against?
Paul (Brighton & Hove Albion) 12/28 - 12:19 PM
A point! A point! A point!
Paul (Brighton & Hove Albion) 12/29 - 6:29 PM
 
 
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