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Brighton & Hove Albion
Mike Mcleod
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felix Blucher          10    2   12     Gk Donald Hill            14    0   14
Sw Nicolas  Pérez          8    0    8     Sw Mark Bryant            12   -1   11
Df Ethan Grand            11    1   12     Df Fernando Renteria      14    0   14
Df Raphaël Deshayes        9    0    9     Df Arturo Ortega          10    2   12
Df Louie Peters           12    0   12     Df Sean Oliver             7    0    7
Mf Noah Evans             10    0   10     Df Murray Blair            4    2    6
Mf Gianluca Bruno         10    0   10     Mf Brad Nguyen            12    0   12
Fw Oliver Ruby            12    0   12     Mf Jamie Calhoun           6    1    7
Fw Manuel Maldonado       11    0   11     Mf Thomás Gouveia          4    2    6
Fw Zachary Pilkington     11    0   11     Fw Alistair Lorimar       11    0   11
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi        10    0   10     Fw Marty Pearce            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  8 33 20 44        ROSTER TOTALS      14 11 39 25 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  8 33 20 51         T O T A L S       14 11 39 25 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.74 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.58 (no red card)

Df Ethan Grand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.8 (no red card)

Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.99 (no red card)

Df Louie Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.37 (no red card)

Mf Noah Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.8 (no red card)

Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.87 (no red card)

Fw Oliver Ruby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.66 (no red card)

Fw Manuel Maldonado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.25 (no red card)

Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.62 (no red card)

Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.47 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Donald Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.59 (no red card)

Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.12 (no red card)

Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.51 (no red card)

Df Arturo Ortega: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.17 (no red card)

Df Sean Oliver: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.29 (no red card)

Df Murray Blair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.85 (no red card)

Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.48 (no red card)

Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.17 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.73 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.27 (no red card)

Fw Marty Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.5 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 93.84 (no injury) 
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.68 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Grand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.66 (no injury) 
Df Raphaël Deshayes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.73 (no injury) 
Df Louie Peters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.82 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.22 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.43 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Ruby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.38 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Maldonado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.3 (no injury) 
Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.15 (no injury) 
Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.6 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Donald Hill: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.5 (no injury) 
Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.33 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.65 (no injury) 
Df Arturo Ortega: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.09 (no injury) 
Df Sean Oliver: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.25 (no injury) 
Df Murray Blair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.05 (no injury) 
Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.13 (no injury) 
Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.35 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.75 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.25 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.2 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Louie Peters SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Donald Hill SL 14

     intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Renteria SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 10

     intRndPk = 53
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12   8  33  20  51
  Swindon Town FC          14  11  39  25  17

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 12 (51 - 39); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 25) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 6 ((33 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Ethan Grand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Raphaël Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Louie Peters
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 75.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Ethan Grand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 77.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Raphaël Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Raphaël Deshayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Oliver Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 42.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 81.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Oliver Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Manuel Maldonado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Zachary Pilkington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 93.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Kiyoshi Hayashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Oliver Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          14  11  39  25  17
  Brighton & Hove Albion   12   8  33  20  51

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 33)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((25 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Brad Nguyen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Brad Nguyen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Brad Nguyen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 4  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
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