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Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PRESTON NORTH END FC                       QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Juan Jose Blanco       13    2   15     Gk Louis Peters            7    2    9
Sw Sean Moore             16    2   18     Sw Danny Campbell          7    2    9
Df Aaron Sutherland       10    2   12     Df Gregg Bunyan           10    2   12
Df Namir  Katz             9    2   11     Df Luke McGregor           7    2    9
Df Emile Wright            7    0    7     Df Karl  Hauge             3    2    5
Mf Louie Cook             13    2   15     Df Aaron Ryan              3    2    5
Mf Theo Barry              3    2    5     Mf Theo Fisher             8    1    9
Fw Rafael Souza           14    1   15     Mf Jonas Maier             7    2    9
Fw Luke White             17    2   19     Mf Ollie Reed              6    2    8
Fw Harvey Cooper          10    2   12     Fw Tomer Azulai            3    2    5
Fw Baron Bate              7    2    9     Fw Sean Clark              3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 18 30 20 55        ROSTER TOTALS       9  9 31 26 10    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 18 30 21 63         T O T A L S        9 14 33 26 10    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.74 (no red card)

Sw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.98 (no red card)

Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.39 (no red card)

Df Namir  Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.26 (no red card)

Df Emile Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.2 (no red card)

Mf Louie Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.76 (no red card)

Mf Theo Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.42 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.29 (no red card)

Fw Luke White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.64 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.93 (no red card)

Fw Baron Bate: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.43 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Louis Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.63 (no red card)

Sw Danny Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.86 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.34 (no second yellow)

Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.33 (no red card)

Df Luke McGregor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.25 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.19 (no second yellow)

Df Karl  Hauge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.83 (no red card)

Df Aaron Ryan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.87 (no red card)

Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.79 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Maier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.26 (no red card)

Mf Ollie Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.23 (no red card)

Fw Tomer Azulai: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.14 (no red card)

Fw Sean Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.56 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Juan Jose Blanco: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.67 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.64 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.24 (no injury) 
Df Namir  Katz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.16 (no injury) 
Df Emile Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.81 (no injury) 
Mf Louie Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.64 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.71 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.41 (no injury) 
Fw Luke White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.33 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.27 (no injury) 
Fw Baron Bate: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.09 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Louis Peters: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.83 (no injury) 
Sw Danny Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.92 (no injury) 
Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.46 (no injury) 
Df Luke McGregor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.03 (no injury) 
Df Karl  Hauge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.24 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Ryan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.52 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.39 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Maier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.21 (no injury) 
Mf Ollie Reed: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.88 (no injury) 
Fw Tomer Azulai: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.43 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luke White SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Louis Peters SL 7

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gregg Bunyan SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Juan Jose Blanco SL 13

     intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     15  18  30  21  63
  Queens Park Rangers      9  14  33  26  10

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 30 (63 - 33); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 7 ((30 - 10) / 3); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 37

1: Attack for Df Emile Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Namir  Katz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Namir  Katz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Aaron Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Namir  Katz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 10.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Aaron Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Aaron Sutherland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 82.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Baron Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 85.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Baron Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Baron Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 51.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Luke White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Baron Bate
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
36: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Harvey Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      9  14  33  26  10
  Preston North End FC     15  18  30  21  63

Queens Park Rangers is Playing For A Draw!
Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 0 (10 - 30)
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 1 ((26 - 21) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Theo Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PRESTON NORTH END FC 4  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
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