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Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Chambers         14    2   16     Gk Donald Hill            14    0   14
Sw Ollie Woods             8    2   10     Sw Mark Bryant            12   -1   11
Df Douglas Souza          16    0   16     Df Aiden Henderson        13   -1   12
Df Sam Morrissey          13    1   14     Df Fernando Renteria      13    0   13
Df Susumu Takahashi        8    2   10     Df Sean Oliver             6    0    6
Mf Greg Pastor            15    0   15     Df Mika Weiss              4    2    6
Mf Marco Costa            14    0   14     Mf Brad Nguyen            12    0   12
Mf Joćo DaSilva            8    2   10     Mf Kristoffer Larsen      10    0   10
Mf Reece Curtis            4    2    6     Mf Jamie Calhoun           6    1    7
Fw Carl Henriksson        13    0   13     Fw Alistair Lorimar       11    0   11
Fw Leo Smith               8   -2    6     Fw Jack Stretch            8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 10 40 45 19        ROSTER TOTALS      14 11 37 29 19    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 10 40 45 29         T O T A L S       14 11 37 29 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.3 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 66.68 (no red card)

Df Douglas Souza: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 27.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 8.32 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 70.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 40.04 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 70.96 (no red card)

Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 79.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 20.8 (no red card)

Mf Marco Costa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 89.98 (no red card)

Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 43.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 39.94 (no red card)

Mf Reece Curtis: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 45.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 68.11 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 22.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 25.98 (no red card)

Fw Leo Smith: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.9 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 9.38 (no second yellow)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Donald Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.39 (no red card)

Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.99 (no red card)

Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.27 (no red card)

Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.12 (no red card)

Df Sean Oliver: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.5 (no red card)

Df Mika Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.3 (no red card)

Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.49 (no red card)

Mf Kristoffer Larsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.32 (no red card)

Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.37 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.35 (no red card)

Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.94 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 10.9 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.17 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Souza: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.8 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.6 (no injury) 
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.07 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.98 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Costa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.12 (no injury) 
Mf Joćo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.3 (no injury) 
Mf Reece Curtis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.66 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.14 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Smith: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.97 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Donald Hill: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 30.41 (no injury) 
Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.06 (no injury) 
Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.93 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.59 (no injury) 
Df Sean Oliver: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.63 (no injury) 
Df Mika Weiss: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.42 (no injury) 
Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.5 (no injury) 
Mf Kristoffer Larsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.07 (no injury) 
Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.76 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.8 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Douglas Souza SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Donald Hill SL 14

     intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 56 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aiden Henderson SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Chambers SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      16  10  40  45  29
  Swindon Town FC          14  11  37  29  19

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 37)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((45 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 7 ((40 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Susumu Takahashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Douglas Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Douglas Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Susumu Takahashi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Douglas Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Sam Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 24.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 88.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 54.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Joćo DaSilva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 16.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 30.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          14  11  37  29  19
  Oldham Athletic AFC      16  10  40  45  29

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 40)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((37 - 29) / 3); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Fernando Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 60.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Aiden Henderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Fernando Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 2  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
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