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Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Francis Carter         14    0   14     Gk Nigel Cole             13    1   14
Df Gabriel Bateman         6    2    8     Sw Alexander Moore        11    2   13
Sw Jimmy Park             13    2   15     Df Glenn Tufnel           11    1   12
Df Connor East            12    2   14     Df Richard Morales         8    2   10
Mf Jonathan Grandjean      2    2    4     Mf Thomás Futre           15    2   17
Df Gabriel Pritchard       2    2    4     Mf Pedro Xavier           11    2   13
Mf Wayne Mitchell         19    2   21     Mf Doron  Avraham          8    2   10
Mf Pedro Rodrigues         8    2   10     Fw Henry Elliott          15    1   16
Fw Alexander Burns        12    2   14     Fw Roger Taylor           15    0   15
Fw Reece McGregor         12    2   14     Fw Louis Lamour           10    0   10
Fw Jake McBrayne           8    2   10     Fw Kieran Harewood         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 26 35 38        ROSTER TOTALS      14 13 22 40 51    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 15 26 35 47         T O T A L S       14 13 22 40 51    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.64 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.67 (no red card)

Sw Jimmy Park: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.46 (no red card)

Df Connor East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.79 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Grandjean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.14 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Pritchard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.36 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.69 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.0 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.4 (no red card)

Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.51 (no red card)

Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.33 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.04 (no red card)

Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.88 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.36 (no second yellow)

Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.63 (no red card)

Df Richard Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.73 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.88 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Xavier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.03 (no red card)

Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.14 (no red card)

Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.19 (no red card)

Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.97 (no red card)

Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.91 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.11 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 57.02 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Bateman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.77 (no injury) 
Sw Jimmy Park: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.58 (no injury) 
Df Connor East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.14 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Grandjean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.69 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Pritchard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.81 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.67 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.76 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.55 (no injury) 
Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.83 (no injury) 
Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.96 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 7.36 (no injury) 
Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.69 (no injury) 
Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.54 (no injury) 
Df Richard Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.56 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.71 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Xavier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.62 (no injury) 
Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.45 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.28 (no injury) 
Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.17 (no injury) 
Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.7 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.97 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wayne Mitchell SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Cole SL 13

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomás Futre SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Francis Carter SL 14

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             19  15  26  35  47
  Hereford United FC       14  13  22  40  51

Derby County Fw Attacks = 25 (47 - 22); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 90.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 59.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 44.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 22.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 77.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 89.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       14  13  22  40  51
  Derby County             19  15  26  35  47

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 25 (51 - 26); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((40 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Thomás Futre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Thomás Futre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 15.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Pedro Xavier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 96.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 89.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 82.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 26.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 33.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 34.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Kieran Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Henry Elliott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 3  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 3
 
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