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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Donald Hill            14    0   14     Gk Darren Smalls          15    1   16
Sw Mark Bryant            12   -1   11     Sw Josh Anderson          12    2   14
Df Fernando Renteria      13    0   13     Df Benjamin Rowbotham     13   -1   12
Df Sean Oliver             6    0    6     Df Ben Rees               12    0   12
Df Murray Blair            4    2    6     Df Finlay McAdam           8    2   10
Mf Brad Nguyen            12    0   12     Mf Danny Moore            13   -1   12
Mf Kristoffer Larsen      10    0   10     Mf James Thompson         12    1   13
Mf Jamie Calhoun           6    1    7     Mf Louis Oliver           10    2   12
Fw Alistair Lorimar       11    0   11     Mf Pedro Fernandes         8    2   10
Fw Jack Stretch            8    0    8     Fw Charles Harper         11    0   11
Fw Greg Charlton           8    1    9     Fw Vincenzo Sanna          8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 11 25 29 28        ROSTER TOTALS      16 14 34 47 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  4  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 11 25 29 41         T O T A L S       16 14 34 47 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Donald Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.9 (no red card)

Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.03 (no red card)

Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.34 (no red card)

Df Sean Oliver: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.85 (no red card)

Df Murray Blair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.94 (no red card)

Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.95 (no red card)

Mf Kristoffer Larsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.01 (no red card)

Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.56 (no red card)

Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.93 (no red card)

Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.27 (no second yellow)

Fw Greg Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.12 (no red card)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.5 (no red card)

Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.7 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.78 (no second yellow)

Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.94 (no red card)

Df Ben Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.06 (no red card)

Df Finlay McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.33 (no red card)

Mf Danny Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.55 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.69 (no red card)

Mf Louis Oliver: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.38 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.38 (no red card)

Fw Charles Harper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.05 (no red card)

Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.24 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Donald Hill: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 89.98 (no injury) 
Sw Mark Bryant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.92 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.87 (no injury) 
Df Sean Oliver: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.09 (no injury) 
Df Murray Blair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.06 (no injury) 
Mf Brad Nguyen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.61 (no injury) 
Mf Kristoffer Larsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.32 (no injury) 
Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.73 (no injury) 
Fw Alistair Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.93 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.28 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.27 (no injury) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 41.78 (no injury) 
Sw Josh Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.61 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.64 (no injury) 
Df Ben Rees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.41 (no injury) 
Df Finlay McAdam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.92 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.18 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.18 (no injury) 
Mf Louis Oliver: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.84 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Fernandes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.19 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Harper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.61 (no injury) 
Fw Vincenzo Sanna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.69 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Renteria SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Darren Smalls SL 15

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Benjamin Rowbotham SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Donald Hill SL 14

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          14  11  25  29  41
  Dagenham & Redbridge     16  14  34  47  19

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (41 - 34); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((25 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Murray Blair
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Fernando Renteria
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 54.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Alistair Lorimar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jack Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Greg Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Alistair Lorimar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 85.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Jack Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Greg Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Alistair Lorimar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 6.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     16  14  34  47  19
  Swindon Town FC          14  11  25  29  41

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 25)
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 9 ((47 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Louis Oliver
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Danny Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf James Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 3.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Danny Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Pedro Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 86.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf James Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 71.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Pedro Fernandes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Louis Oliver
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Danny Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1  -  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 2
 
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