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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alex Campbell          10    1   11     Gk Ethan Chambers         13    1   14
Sw Filippo Gallo           9    2   11     Sw Francisco Javier Moreno 2    2    4
Df Alfie Yates            14    1   15     Df Douglass Ford          13    0   13
Df Aiden Henderson         8    2   10     Df Corey Akhtar           12    0   12
Df Yanis Neveu             5    2    7     Df Johan Krol             12    1   13
Mf Karim El Karkouri      11    1   12     Mf Henry Pagett           13    0   13
Mf Valeri Golubev         10    1   11     Mf Carlton Bailey         11    0   11
Mf Scott Wright            8    1    9     Mf Marco Costa             8    2   10
Fw Shayne Newton          11    1   12     Fw Owen Milne             16    0   16
Fw Alvarez  López         10    0   10     Fw Diego Mariani           9    1   10
Fw Rhys Sinclair           9    0    9     Fw Lars Bommel             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 11 32 32 31        ROSTER TOTALS      14  4 38 34 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  1  1    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  1  2  4  0    
=======================================================================
      11 11 32 32 38         T O T A L S       15  5 40 39 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alex Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.26 (no red card)

Sw Filippo Gallo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.43 (no red card)

Df Alfie Yates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.4 (no red card)

Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.3 (no red card)

Df Yanis Neveu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.31 (no red card)

Mf Karim El Karkouri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.65 (no red card)

Mf Valeri Golubev: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.4 (no red card)

Mf Scott Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.08 (no red card)

Fw Shayne Newton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.52 (no red card)

Fw Alvarez  López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.1 (no red card)

Fw Rhys Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.79 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 90.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 16.72 (no red card)

Sw Francisco Javier Moreno: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 27.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 69.73 (no red card)

Df Douglass Ford: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 12.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 8.81 (no red card)

Df Corey Akhtar: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 16.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 19.09 (no red card)

Df Johan Krol: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 78.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 51.44 (no red card)

Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 13.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 90.51 (no red card)

Mf Carlton Bailey: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 49.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 8.64 (no red card)

Mf Marco Costa: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 23.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 41.44 (no red card)

Fw Owen Milne: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 89.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 40.88 (no red card)

Fw Diego Mariani: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 85.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 90.41 (no red card)

Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 74.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 47.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Alex Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 55.73 (no injury) 
Sw Filippo Gallo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 4.14 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Filippo Gallo loses 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Filippo Gallo new match skill level =  5
      Filippo Gallo new match total level =  7
Df Alfie Yates: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 22.39 (no injury) 
Df Aiden Henderson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 11.46 (no injury) 
Df Yanis Neveu: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 1.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Yanis Neveu loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Yanis Neveu new match skill level =  3
      Yanis Neveu new match total level =  5
Mf Karim El Karkouri: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 66.55 (no injury) 
Mf Valeri Golubev: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 16.79 (no injury) 
Mf Scott Wright: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 82.43 (no injury) 
Fw Shayne Newton: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 11.57 (no injury) 
Fw Alvarez  López: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 81.85 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys Sinclair: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 55.21 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 24.58 (no injury) 
Sw Francisco Javier Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.82 (no injury) 
Df Douglass Ford: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.58 (no injury) 
Df Corey Akhtar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.76 (no injury) 
Df Johan Krol: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.17 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.98 (no injury) 
Mf Carlton Bailey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.29 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Costa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.57 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Milne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.31 (no injury) 
Fw Diego Mariani: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.33 (no injury) 
Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.82 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Alfie Yates SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Chambers SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Milne SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alex Campbell SL 10

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          11   7  30  32  38
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15   5  40  39  37

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 40)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 37) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15   5  40  39  37
  Swindon Town FC          11   7  30  32  38

Oldham Athletic AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 4 (37 - 30) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((39 - 32) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 1 ((40 - 38) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Johan Krol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Carlton Bailey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 85.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Diego Mariani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 42.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 73.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Lars Bommel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 0  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 2
 
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