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Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HEREFORD UNITED FC                         OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Valentin Antoine        8    2   10     Gk Archie Harewood         8    2   10
Sw Peter Thompson         11    0   11     Sw Ollie Woods             4    2    6
Df Erlend Andresen        13    2   15     Df Douglass Ford          17    0   17
Df Sam Lester              8    2   10     Df Sam Morrissey           8    0    8
Mf Taylor Cook            15    2   17     Df Susumu Takahashi        4    2    6
Mf Adam Byrne             12    1   13     Mf Marco Costa            14    0   14
Mf Rolando  HernŠndez      8    2   10     Mf Henry Pagett           11    0   11
Fw Louis Lamour           15    2   17     Mf Leo Marino              8   -1    7
Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg       13    0   13     Fw Lars Bommel            14    0   14
Fw Leo Howells            13    1   14     Fw Carl Henriksson         8    2   10
Fw Roger Taylor            8    2   10     Fw Leo Smith               4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 11 25 40 54        ROSTER TOTALS      10  6 31 32 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  1  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  3  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  4  3  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 11 25 40 66         T O T A L S       10 10 35 33 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Valentin Antoine: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.43 (no red card)

Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.97 (no red card)

Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.94 (no red card)

Df Sam Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.62 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.75 (no red card)

Mf Adam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.18 (no red card)

Mf Rolando  HernŠndez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.18 (no red card)

Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.95 (no red card)

Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.99 (no red card)

Fw Leo Howells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.03 (no red card)

Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.62 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.6 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 84.69 (no red card)

Df Douglass Ford: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 7.89 (no second yellow)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 2.47 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 35.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 71.92 (no red card)

Mf Marco Costa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 87.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 55.46 (no red card)

Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 12.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 29.44 (no red card)

Mf Leo Marino: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 90.71 (no red card)

Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 93.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 63.51 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 5.28 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 27.46 (no second yellow)

Fw Leo Smith: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 92.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Valentin Antoine: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 5.84 (no injury) 
Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.84 (no injury) 
Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.03 (no injury) 
Df Sam Lester: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.3 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.19 (no injury) 
Mf Adam Byrne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.33 (no injury) 
Mf Rolando  HernŠndez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.17 (no injury) 
Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.7 (no injury) 
Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.78 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Howells: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 87.46 (no injury) 
Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.84 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 75.29 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.9 (no injury) 
Df Douglass Ford: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.04 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.22 (no injury) 
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.15 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Costa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.45 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.65 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Marino: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 11.15 (no injury) 
Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.55 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.96 (no injury) 
Fw Leo Smith: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 14.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Taylor Cook SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Archie Harewood SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Douglass Ford SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Valentin Antoine SL 8

     intRndPk = 49
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 49 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       10  11  25  40  66
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10  10  35  33  30

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 31 (66 - 35); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((40 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 35

1: Attack for Mf Taylor Cook
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 50.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Rolando  HernŠndez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 16.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Rolando  HernŠndez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Taylor Cook
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 47.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 78.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 85.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 44.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Roger Taylor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 18.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Lucas Kjeldbjerg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 25.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Leo Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 86.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
35: Attack for Fw Louis Lamour
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      10  10  35  33  30
  Hereford United FC       10  11  25  40  66

Oldham Athletic AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 3 (30 - 25) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Leo Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Carl Henriksson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HEREFORD UNITED FC 4  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
 
Match Notes
A nice win.
Mike (Hereford United FC) 05/05 - 7:51 PM
A nice win.
Mike (Hereford United FC) 05/05 - 7:52 PM
 
 
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