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Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
Wycombe Wanderers
David Blair
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        WYCOMBE WANDERERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez   14    1   15     Gk Matthew Mendez          3    1    4
Sw Marius Antoine          9    0    9     Sw Cong Yáng               2    2    4
Df Douglass Ford          13    0   13     Df Pedro Costa             6    0    6
Df Corey Akhtar           12    0   12     Df Charles Simmons         5    0    5
Df Tommaso Villa          12    0   12     Df Julian  Rojas           4    2    6
Df Johan Krol             12    1   13     Df Aaron O'Donnell         2    2    4
Mf Henry Pagett           12    0   12     Mf Thomas Sansom           4    1    5
Mf Ethan Collins          12    0   12     Mf Ellis Cox               3    2    5
Mf Gil  Friedman           9    2   11     Fw Bailey Dunn             6    0    6
Fw Owen Milne             16    0   16     Fw Leif  Engen             3    2    5
Fw Diego Mariani           9    1   10     Fw Zak Ward                3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  9 50 35 26        ROSTER TOTALS       4  4 21 10 16    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 10 50 40 30         T O T A L S        6  4 21 10 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.87 (no red card)

Sw Marius Antoine: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 40.5 (no red card)

Df Douglass Ford: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 4.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 29.0 (no second yellow)

Df Corey Akhtar: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.05 (no red card)

Df Tommaso Villa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 15.72 (no red card)

Df Johan Krol: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 64.76 (no red card)

Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 18.54 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Collins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 89.62 (no red card)

Mf Gil  Friedman: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 92.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 85.02 (no red card)

Fw Owen Milne: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 4.03 (no red card)

Fw Diego Mariani: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 24.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 89.38 (no red card)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Matthew Mendez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.23 (no red card)

Sw Cong Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.33 (no red card)

Df Pedro Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.04 (no red card)

Df Charles Simmons: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.17 (no red card)

Df Julian  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.23 (no red card)

Df Aaron O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.8 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.61 (no red card)

Mf Ellis Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.31 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.15 (no red card)

Fw Leif  Engen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.98 (no red card)

Fw Zak Ward: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.12 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Luis Ángel Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 95.17 (no injury) 
Sw Marius Antoine: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.91 (no injury) 
Df Douglass Ford: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.08 (no injury) 
Df Corey Akhtar: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.06 (no injury) 
Df Tommaso Villa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.57 (no injury) 
Df Johan Krol: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.28 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.13 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Collins: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.39 (no injury) 
Mf Gil  Friedman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.88 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Gil  Friedman is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Gil  Friedman new match skill level =  5
      Gil  Friedman new match total level =  7
Fw Owen Milne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.49 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Owen Milne is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Diego Mariani: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.94 (no injury) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Matthew Mendez: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 92.32 (no injury) 
Sw Cong Yáng: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.16 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Costa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.5 (no injury) 
Df Charles Simmons: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.47 (no injury) 
Df Julian  Rojas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.72 (no injury) 
Df Aaron O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.06 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.22 (no injury) 
Mf Ellis Cox: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.08 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.48 (no injury) 
Fw Leif  Engen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.52 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Leif  Engen loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Leif  Engen new match skill level =  2
      Leif  Engen new match total level =  4
Fw Zak Ward: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Milne SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Matthew Mendez SL 3

     intRndPk = 57
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pedro Costa SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Luis Ángel Rodríguez SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15  10  50  36  30
  Wycombe Wanderers        6   4  21  10  15

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 9 (30 - 21); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 13 ((36 - 10) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 12 ((50 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df Corey Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 3.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Douglass Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 69.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Corey Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Corey Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Douglass Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Douglass Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 1.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Corey Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 17.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Johan Krol
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Douglass Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 71.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Df Corey Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 52.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Df Douglass Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 29.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Df Tommaso Villa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 40 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 20.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Henry Pagett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Henry Pagett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Ethan Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Ethan Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 99.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Mf Henry Pagett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 74.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Mf Ethan Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 43.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf Ethan Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Henry Pagett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Henry Pagett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 89.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Mf Ethan Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Mf Gil  Friedman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Mf Ethan Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Mf Ethan Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 37.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Diego Mariani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 62.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Diego Mariani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 51 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 56 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Diego Mariani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Owen Milne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        6   4  21  10  15
  Oldham Athletic AFC      15  10  50  36  30

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 50)
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 0 ((10 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 30) / 3;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 6  -  WYCOMBE WANDERERS 0
 
Match Notes
We have a L-O-N-G way to go to score, far less win. But the lads enjoyed the post - match meal, so not a total loss...
David (Wycombe Wanderers) 01/01 - 11:37 AM
 
 
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