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Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC                        HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ethan Chambers         14    2   16     Gk Nigel Cole             15    2   17
Df Douglas Souza          16    0   16     Sw Peter Thompson         11   -1   10
Df Thomas Murray          13   -1   12     Df Erlend Andresen        13    1   14
Df Sam Morrissey          13    1   14     Df Sam Lester             10    2   12
Df Douglass Ford          12    0   12     Df Joe St.Hubbins         10    2   12
Mf Greg Pastor            14    0   14     Mf Taylor Cook            13   -1   12
Mf Marco Costa            14    0   14     Mf Rolando  Hernández     11    2   13
Mf Carlton Bailey          9    2   11     Mf Thomás Futre            8    2   10
Mf Henry Pagett            9    2   11     Fw Roger Taylor           13    2   15
Fw Lars Bommel            14   -1   13     Fw Louis Lamour           13    0   13
Fw Carl Henriksson        13    0   13     Fw Henry Elliott           8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 54 50 26        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 38 35 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  4  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       4  0  0  1  5  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 55 55 35         T O T A L S       17 10 38 42 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.34 (no red card)

Df Douglas Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.29 (no red card)

Df Thomas Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.15 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.36 (no red card)

Df Douglass Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.56 (no red card)

Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.43 (no red card)

Mf Marco Costa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.86 (no red card)

Mf Carlton Bailey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.38 (no red card)

Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.79 (no red card)

Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.71 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.37 (no second yellow)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.83 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.5 (no red card)

Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.75 (no red card)

Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.97 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.73 (no second yellow)

Df Sam Lester: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.95 (no red card)

Df Joe St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.18 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.75 (no red card)

Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.85 (no second yellow)

Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.81 (no red card)

Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.31 (no red card)

Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.77 (no red card)

Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ethan Chambers: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.37 (no injury) 
Df Douglas Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.94 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Murray: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.04 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.23 (no injury) 
Df Douglass Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.17 (no injury) 
Mf Greg Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.43 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Costa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.72 (no injury) 
Mf Carlton Bailey: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.43 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.02 (no injury) 
Fw Lars Bommel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.43 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.22 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.71 (no injury) 
Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.41 (no injury) 
Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.89 (no injury) 
Df Sam Lester: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.71 (no injury) 
Df Joe St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.69 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.48 (no injury) 
Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.78 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.5 (no injury) 
Fw Roger Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.37 (no injury) 
Fw Louis Lamour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.2 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Douglas Souza SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Cole SL 15

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Erlend Andresen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Chambers SL 14

     intRndPk = 97
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      20   0  55  55  35
  Hereford United FC       17  10  38  42  36

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 38)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 7 ((55 - 42) / 2) ; result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((55 - 36) / 5); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Douglas Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Douglass Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Douglas Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Douglass Ford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 23.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Greg Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 70.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Marco Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       17  10  38  42  36
  Oldham Athletic AFC      20   0  55  55  35

Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 55)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((42 - 55) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((38 - 35) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Sam Lester
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 12.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 0
 
Match Notes
Fair result. Well played Tim.
Mike (Hereford United FC) 09/08 - 6:42 PM
 
 
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