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Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

NOTTINGHAM FOREST                          LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Francis Murray          6    2    8     Gk Eduardo Parra          16    2   18
Sw Reece MacKay           15    2   17     Sw Felipe Rocha           13    2   15
Df Arjen Schaffer         12    2   14     Df Emilio Muñoz           13    0   13
Df Mark Daugherty          6    2    8     Df Charles Pearce         13    2   15
Mf Killian Foucher        13    1   14     Df Carlos McGee            6    2    8
Mf Nigel Ruddle           13    0   13     Mf Jed Lindsay            13    2   15
Mf Joan Soler              6    2    8     Mf Rory McLean            10    2   12
Fw Luca Köhler            10    2   12     Fw Luca Milner            15    2   17
Fw Algenon Kennedy         8    2   10     Fw Jared Hubbard          13    2   15
Fw Rodion Semyonov         6    2    8     Fw Alexander Clark        11    2   13
Fw Sameul Dominguez        3    2    5     Fw Sam Murray              6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8 17 22 35 35        ROSTER TOTALS      18 15 36 27 53    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  5  2  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8 22 33 35 35         T O T A L S       19 15 36 27 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.78 (no red card)

Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.76 (no red card)

Df Arjen Schaffer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.91 (no red card)

Df Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.28 (no red card)

Mf Killian Foucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.43 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.86 (no red card)

Mf Joan Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.78 (no red card)

Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.87 (no red card)

Fw Algenon Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.56 (no red card)

Fw Rodion Semyonov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.66 (no red card)

Fw Sameul Dominguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.41 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 35.25 (no red card)

Sw Felipe Rocha: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 66.02 (no red card)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 57.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 46.17 (no red card)

Df Charles Pearce: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 86.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 12.93 (no red card)

Df Carlos McGee: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 43.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 50.5 (no red card)

Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 95.51 (no red card)

Mf Rory McLean: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 94.14 (no red card)

Fw Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 94.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 82.09 (no red card)

Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 21.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 96.25 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Clark: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 50.64 (no red card)

Fw Sam Murray: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 11.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 78.71 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Francis Murray: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 47.02 (no injury) 
Sw Reece MacKay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.29 (no injury) 
Df Arjen Schaffer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.55 (no injury) 
Df Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.19 (no injury) 
Mf Killian Foucher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.51 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Ruddle: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.88 (no injury) 
Mf Joan Soler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.53 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.68 (no injury) 
Fw Algenon Kennedy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.87 (no injury) 
Fw Rodion Semyonov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.25 (no injury) 
Fw Sameul Dominguez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.84 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 76.53 (no injury) 
Sw Felipe Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.38 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.87 (no injury) 
Df Charles Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.47 (no injury) 
Df Carlos McGee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.7 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.4 (no injury) 
Mf Rory McLean: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.06 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.43 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.78 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Clark: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.55 (no injury) 
Fw Sam Murray: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Killian Foucher SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luca Milner SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Francis Murray SL 6

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        8  22  33  35  35
  Lewes FC                 19  15  36  27  53

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 36)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((35 - 27) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Killian Foucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 69.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Nigel Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 71.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19  15  36  27  53
  Nottingham Forest        8  22  33  35  35

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 20 (53 - 33); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 1 ((36 - 35) / 3); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Charles Pearce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 31.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 74 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 86.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Sam Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 73 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 72 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sam Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Sam Murray
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 44.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 74% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0  -  LEWES FC 1
 
Match Notes
Wow with a little luck in those 2 attacks we could have got a draw.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/16 - 9:06 PM
Wow with a little luck in those 2 attacks we could have got a draw.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/16 - 9:06 PM
 
 
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