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Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Tim Batth
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE                       OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Darren Smalls           7    2    9     Gk Archie Harewood         7    2    9
Sw Júlio Almeida          10    1   11     Sw Ollie Woods             3    2    5
Df Vicente Castillo       12   -1   11     Df Tommaso Villa          11    0   11
Df Ben Rees               11    1   12     Df Sam Morrissey           7    0    7
Df Benjamin Rowbotham      7    2    9     Df Susumu Takahashi        3    2    5
Mf Danny Moore            11    0   11     Mf Henry Pagett           11    0   11
Mf James Thompson          7    2    9     Mf Leo Marino              7    2    9
Fw Darren Griffiths       13   -1   12     Mf Gil  Friedman           6    2    8
Fw Charles Harper         13   -2   11     Mf Joăo DaSilva            3    2    5
Fw Finley Wilkins         11   -1   10     Fw Carl Henriksson         7    2    9
Fw Bailey Ruddle           7    2    9     Fw Nathan Bossard          2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 11 32 20 42        ROSTER TOTALS       9  5 23 33 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  1  1    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
       9 11 32 20 51         T O T A L S        9  5 30 34 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.7 (no red card)

Sw Júlio Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.01 (no red card)

Df Vicente Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.09 (no red card)

Df Ben Rees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.0 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.41 (no red card)

Mf Danny Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.31 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.4 (no red card)

Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.87 (no red card)

Fw Charles Harper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.15 (no red card)

Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.22 (no red card)

Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.91 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.38 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Archie Harewood new match skill level =  4
      Archie Harewood new match total level =  6

Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 83.78 (no red card)

Df Tommaso Villa: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 46.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 5.97 (no red card)

Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 71.32 (no red card)

Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 98.4 (no red card)

Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 40.96 (no red card)

Mf Leo Marino: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 37.57 (no red card)

Mf Gil  Friedman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 42.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 59.07 (no red card)

Mf Joăo DaSilva: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 44.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 66.89 (no red card)

Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 77.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 2.61 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Bossard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 99.64 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Darren Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 31.84 (no injury) 
Sw Júlio Almeida: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.42 (no injury) 
Df Vicente Castillo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.84 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Vicente Castillo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Vicente Castillo new match skill level =  6
      Vicente Castillo new match total level =  5
Df Ben Rees: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.1 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.01 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Moore: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.45 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.24 (no injury) 
Fw Darren Griffiths: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.36 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Harper: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.38 (no injury) 
Fw Finley Wilkins: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.74 (no injury) 
Fw Bailey Ruddle: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.84 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 2
   - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 47.79 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Woods: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.06 (no injury) 
Df Tommaso Villa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 71.34 (no injury) 
Df Sam Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 31.91 (no injury) 
Df Susumu Takahashi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.14 (no injury) 
Mf Henry Pagett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.81 (no injury) 
Mf Leo Marino: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.48 (no injury) 
Mf Gil  Friedman: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.52 (no injury) 
Mf Joăo DaSilva: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 40.37 (no injury) 
Fw Carl Henriksson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.09 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Bossard: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 69.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Darren Griffiths SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Archie Harewood SL 4

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tommaso Villa SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Darren Smalls SL 7

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dagenham & Redbridge     9  11  26  20  51
  Oldham Athletic AFC      6   5  30  34  14

Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 21 (51 - 30); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 4 ((26 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Df Benjamin Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 42.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Vicente Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Benjamin Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Ben Rees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 10.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 74.67 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 78.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 10.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 74.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Darren Griffiths
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Bailey Ruddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Finley Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Charles Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      6   5  30  34  14
  Dagenham & Redbridge     9  11  26  20  51

Oldham Athletic AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 26)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 4 ((34 - 20) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 51) / 3;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Gil  Friedman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Henry Pagett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 35.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Leo Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 75.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Leo Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 15.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 3  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1
 
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