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Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON TOWN FC                            SWANSEA CITY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Paul Birks             12    0   12     Gk Sean Honeybun          11    1   12
Df Murray Blair           11    0   11     Sw Fabio Boga              5    2    7
Df Sean Oliver            10    0   10     Df Ross Brennan           11    2   13
Df Fernando Renteria      10    0   10     Df George Mason           13    2   15
Df Samuel Clark            6    2    8     Df Bobby Burton            5    2    7
Mf Thomás Gouveia         13    0   13     Mf Shay  Lindsay          11    2   13
Mf Jamie Calhoun           9    0    9     Mf Francis Reynolds        9    2   11
Mf Eoin McGuire            6    2    8     Mf Sean Burns              5    2    7
Fw Jack Stretch           12    0   12     Fw Jamie Collins          15    1   16
Fw Marty Pearce           10    0   10     Fw Steven Milner          11    2   13
Fw Florian Neuville        6    2    8     Fw Solt Novák              5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 39 30 30        ROSTER TOTALS      12  7 35 31 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 39 30 39         T O T A L S       12  7 35 31 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Paul Birks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.4 (no red card)

Df Murray Blair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.95 (no red card)

Df Sean Oliver: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.1 (no red card)

Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.52 (no red card)

Df Samuel Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.77 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.66 (no red card)

Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.56 (no red card)

Mf Eoin McGuire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.77 (no red card)

Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.16 (no red card)

Fw Marty Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.54 (no red card)

Fw Florian Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.46 (no red card)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sean Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.53 (no red card)

Sw Fabio Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.57 (no red card)

Df Ross Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.17 (no red card)

Df George Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.43 (no red card)

Df Bobby Burton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.37 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.5 (no red card)

Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.51 (no red card)

Mf Sean Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.12 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.02 (no second yellow)

Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.24 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.82 (no red card)

Fw Solt Novák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Paul Birks: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 21.88 (no injury) 
Df Murray Blair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.67 (no injury) 
Df Sean Oliver: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.69 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Renteria: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.53 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.76 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Gouveia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.83 (no injury) 
Mf Jamie Calhoun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.51 (no injury) 
Mf Eoin McGuire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.55 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Stretch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.56 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.77 (no injury) 
Fw Florian Neuville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.01 (no injury) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sean Honeybun: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 86.85 (no injury) 
Sw Fabio Boga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.45 (no injury) 
Df Ross Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.83 (no injury) 
Df George Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.69 (no injury) 
Df Bobby Burton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.57 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.57 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Reynolds: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.13 (no injury) 
Mf Sean Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.74 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.39 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.47 (no injury) 
Fw Solt Novák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.23 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomás Gouveia SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Sean Honeybun SL 11

     intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jamie Collins SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Paul Birks SL 12

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 56 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  39  30  39
  Swansea City AFC         12   7  35  31  36

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 4 (39 - 35); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((39 - 36) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Samuel Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 65.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Florian Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 42.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Marty Pearce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 87.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Jack Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Marty Pearce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 60.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         12   7  35  31  36
  Swindon Town FC          12   0  39  30  39

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 39)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((31 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Francis Reynolds
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON TOWN FC 1  -  SWANSEA CITY AFC 1
 
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