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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kian Trickelbank        7    2    9     Gk Luke Marshall           3    2    5
Df Harold Jenkins         13    2   15     Sw Gabriel Martin          7    2    9
Df Michele Testa           7    2    9     Df Jermaine Monkhouse      8    2   10
Df Harrison Porter         3    2    5     Df Carl Berg               3    2    5
Mf Owen Marsh             14    2   16     Df Kian Hamilton           3    2    5
Mf Mika Baumann           10    2   12     Df Fernando  Rojas         3    2    5
Mf Carleton Thomas         7    2    9     Mf Mark Cockham            8    2   10
Mf Anton Ekström          12    2   14     Mf Martin Hunt             7    2    9
Mf Artyom Morozov         10    2   12     Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez       3    2    5
Fw Rodrigo Alves          12    2   14     Fw Ben Read                9    2   11
Fw Sebastian Clarke        7    2    9     Fw Victor Jensen           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9  0 29 63 23        ROSTER TOTALS       5  9 25 24 20    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  2  2  0    
       0  0  1  7  1       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10  0 30 70 24         T O T A L S        6 14 29 26 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.125% | Random number = 43.43 (no second yellow)

Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 51.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 63.15 (no red card)

Df Michele Testa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 2.89 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 92.37 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 23.38 (no red card)

Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 36.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 21.92 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 55.46 (no red card)

Mf Anton Ekström: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 93.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 12.16 (no red card)

Mf Artyom Morozov: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 91.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 73.67 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Alves: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 27.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 19.93 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 81.12 (no second yellow)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 24.39 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 26.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 77.1 (no red card)

Df Jermaine Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 67.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 33.07 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 86.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 43.28 (no red card)

Df Kian Hamilton: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 85.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 47.71 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 16.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 29.05 (no red card)

Mf Mark Cockham: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 81.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 9.01 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 78.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 57.92 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 64.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 56.24 (no red card)

Fw Ben Read: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 45.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 39.08 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 38.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 70.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.25%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.34 (no injury) 
Df Harold Jenkins: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 26.57 (no injury) 
Df Michele Testa: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 47.13 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 62.66 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 67.57 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 77.66 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 6.89 (no injury) 
Mf Anton Ekström: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 56.44 (no injury) 
Mf Artyom Morozov: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 1.88 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Artyom Morozov is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Artyom Morozov new match skill level =  5
      Artyom Morozov new match total level =  7
Fw Rodrigo Alves: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 82.86 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of injury = 6.5% | Random number = 36.15 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 5
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.25%
Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.25% | Random number = 37.56 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 71.82 (no injury) 
Df Jermaine Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 34.54 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 53.83 (no injury) 
Df Kian Hamilton: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 93.03 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 88.69 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 94.2 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 10.72 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 75.94 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Read: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 2.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ben Read is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 4.5% | Random number = 20.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Owen Marsh SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Luke Marshall SL 3

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 92 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Read SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    10   0  30  65  24
  Crewe Alexandra FC       6  14  29  26  20

Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 29)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 20 ((65 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((30 - 20) / 5); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Df Harold Jenkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Michele Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 17.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 79.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 61.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 12.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Artyom Morozov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Mf Anton Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       6  14  29  26  20
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    10   0  30  65  24

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 30)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 65) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 1 ((29 - 24) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Jermaine Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 2  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
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