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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Harrison Holland       11    2   13     Gk Kapolcs Simon           6    2    8
Sw Gabriel Martin         14    1   15     Sw Peter Thompson          8    2   10
Df Thomas Charlton        12    0   12     Df Glenn Tufnel           11   -1   10
Df Fernando  Rojas        10    1   11     Df Adam Neville           10   -1    9
Df Ignacio Gomez           6    2    8     Df Richard Morales         6    2    8
Mf Martin Hunt            13    0   13     Df Ryan Simpson            3    2    5
Mf GaŽtan Adam            11    0   11     Mf Rolando  HernŠndez     12   -1   11
Mf Jacob Clark             6    2    8     Mf Doron  Avraham          6    2    8
Fw Victor Jensen          16    0   16     Mf Daniel Jackson          3    2    5
Fw Fernando Neves         14    1   15     Fw Kieran Harewood         6    2    8
Fw Noel Ivarsson           6    2    8     Fw Sebastian Cockham       3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 15 31 32 39        ROSTER TOTALS       8 10 32 24 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  4  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 31 32 52         T O T A L S        8 10 32 31 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.11 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.67 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.07 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.76 (no red card)

Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.61 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.52 (no red card)

Mf GaŽtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.26 (no red card)

Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.52 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.46 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.15 (no red card)

Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.35 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kapolcs Simon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.67 (no red card)

Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.65 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.42 (no second yellow)

Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.44 (no red card)

Df Adam Neville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.13 (no red card)

Df Richard Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.7 (no red card)

Df Ryan Simpson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.93 (no red card)

Mf Rolando  HernŠndez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.82 (no red card)

Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.33 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Jackson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.88 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.81 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.92 (no second yellow)

Fw Sebastian Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.88 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 9.05 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.54 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.59 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.0 (no injury) 
Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.09 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.04 (no injury) 
Mf GaŽtan Adam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.44 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.6 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.84 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.41 (no injury) 
Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.96 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kapolcs Simon: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 73.03 (no injury) 
Sw Peter Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.82 (no injury) 
Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.14 (no injury) 
Df Adam Neville: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.81 (no injury) 
Df Richard Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.94 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Simpson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.41 (no injury) 
Mf Rolando  HernŠndez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.77 (no injury) 
Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.32 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.38 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.42 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Victor Jensen SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kapolcs Simon SL 6

     intRndPk = 40
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rolando  HernŠndez SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Holland SL 11

     intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  15  31  32  52
  Hereford United FC       8  10  32  31  13

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 20 (52 - 32); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((32 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 6 ((31 - 13) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df Ignacio Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Thomas Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Ignacio Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Ignacio Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 28.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Ignacio Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 80.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Thomas Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 70.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 8.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 13.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 60.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 15.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 40.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 4.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 17.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 30.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       8  10  32  31  13
  Crewe Alexandra FC       15  15  31  32  52

Hereford United FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 31)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 3  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 0
 
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