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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Hereford United FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Noah Godart            16    1   17     Gk Nigel Cole             13    2   15
Sw Jaron  Biton           13    2   15     Sw Alexander Moore         7    2    9
Df Oliver Hills           13    0   13     Df Erlend Andresen        13    1   14
Df Paul Brides            12    0   12     Df Glenn Tufnel            7   -2    5
Df Matteo Maggioni        10    2   12     Df Richard Morales         3    2    5
Df Joseph Carpenter        6    2    8     Mf Taylor Cook            13   -2   11
Mf Joe Hopkins            13    0   13     Mf Rolando  Hernández     10    2   12
Mf Alistair Barnes        11    2   13     Mf Thomás Futre            7    2    9
Mf Carrington Kennedy     10    2   12     Mf Doron  Avraham          3    2    5
Fw Lennon Stewart         15    1   16     Fw Henry Elliott           7    2    9
Fw Aaron Allan            11    2   13     Fw Kieran Harewood         3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 45 38 29        ROSTER TOTALS      15  9 24 37 14    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 45 47 29         T O T A L S       15  9 24 37 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Godart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.26 (no red card)

Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.14 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.38 (no red card)

Df Paul Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.61 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.96 (no red card)

Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.26 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.89 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.33 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.14 (no second yellow)

Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.14 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.68 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.6 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.63 (no red card)

Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.51 (no red card)

Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.87 (no red card)

Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.16 (no red card)

Df Richard Morales: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.54 (no red card)

Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.29 (no red card)

Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.03 (no red card)

Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.65 (no red card)

Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.84 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.12 (no second yellow)

Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.04 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Godart: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 7.54 (no injury) 
Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.8 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.33 (no injury) 
Df Paul Brides: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.26 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.26 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.99 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.95 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.54 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.18 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.65 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.51 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Cole: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.09 (no injury) 
Sw Alexander Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.79 (no injury) 
Df Erlend Andresen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.97 (no injury) 
Df Glenn Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.41 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Glenn Tufnel is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Glenn Tufnel new match skill level =  4
      Glenn Tufnel new match total level =  2
Df Richard Morales: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.8 (no injury) 
Mf Taylor Cook: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.97 (no injury) 
Mf Rolando  Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.79 (no injury) 
Mf Thomás Futre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.58 (no injury) 
Mf Doron  Avraham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.96 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Elliott: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.1 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lennon Stewart SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Cole SL 13

     intRndPk = 46
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Erlend Andresen SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Noah Godart SL 16

     intRndPk = 51
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          17  15  45  47  29
  Hereford United FC       15   9  21  37  14

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 8 (29 - 21); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((47 - 37) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 11 ((45 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Oliver Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Oliver Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 41.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Matteo Maggioni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Joseph Carpenter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 54.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 97.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df Oliver Hills
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Matteo Maggioni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Paul Brides
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 41.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Df Joseph Carpenter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Alistair Barnes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 75.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       15   9  21  37  14
  Bristol City FC          17  15  45  47  29

Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 45)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 2  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 0
 
Match Notes
Here we go again, with Hereford seeking to build on their good start, and us trying to catch up.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 08/19 - 5:09 AM
Very easy. Well played Ellis.
Mike (Hereford United FC) 08/25 - 6:36 PM
A win against the Hereford Youth Team!
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 08/26 - 5:42 AM
 
 
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