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Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Paul Cockayne
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Francis Carter         12    2   14     Gk Felix Blucher           8    0    8
Df Gabriel Bateman         4    2    6     Sw Nicolas  Pérez          4   -1    3
Sw Jimmy Park             11    1   12     Df David Kahn              8   -1    7
Df Rhys Robinson          12    2   14     Df Louie Peters            5   -2    3
Fw Wayne Mitchell         16    2   18     Df Lukas Schmidt           5    2    7
Mf Harrison Dixon         13    2   15     Df Harry Lennon            3    2    5
Mf Pedro Rodrigues         7    2    9     Mf Robin Schaffer          7   -2    5
Fw Reece McGregor         12    2   14     Mf Kai Mitchell            6    1    7
Fw Jake McBrayne           7    2    9     Mf Patrick Roberts         4    2    6
Fw Gregg St.Hubbins        7    2    9     Fw Concepci?n  Valverde    8    2   10
Fw Joseph Cockayne         3    2    5     Fw Zachary Pilkington      8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 20 24 55        ROSTER TOTALS       8  3 22 18 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  1  2  0  0    
       0  0  1  0  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 12 21 24 63         T O T A L S        8  4 24 18 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.35 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.4 (no red card)

Sw Jimmy Park: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.74 (no red card)

Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.38 (no red card)

Fw Wayne Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.42 (no red card)

Mf Harrison Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.65 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.18 (no red card)

Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.52 (no red card)

Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.36 (no second yellow)

Fw Gregg St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.24 (no red card)

Fw Joseph Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.79 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 25.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 39.84 (no red card)

Df David Kahn: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 52.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 19.14 (no red card)

Df Louie Peters: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 71.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 77.93 (no red card)

Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 52.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 99.43 (no red card)

Df Harry Lennon: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 90.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 41.6 (no red card)

Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 77.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 38.53 (no red card)

Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 58.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 61.74 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 96.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 46.48 (no red card)

Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 51.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 86.94 (no red card)

Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 46.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.87% | Random number = 60.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 65.9 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Bateman: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 21.85 (no injury) 
Sw Jimmy Park: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 17.25 (no injury) 
Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 74.61 (no injury) 
Fw Wayne Mitchell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.22 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison Dixon: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 42.06 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 46.6 (no injury) 
Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 65.61 (no injury) 
Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 44.61 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 40.59 (no injury) 
Fw Joseph Cockayne: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.58 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 66.86 (no injury) 
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.83 (no injury) 
Df David Kahn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.63 (no injury) 
Df Louie Peters: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.75 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 11.61 (no injury) 
Df Harry Lennon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.53 (no injury) 
Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.51 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.67 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.86 (no injury) 
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.32 (no injury) 
Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.27 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Wayne Mitchell SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: David Kahn SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Francis Carter SL 12

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             19  12  21  24  63
  Brighton & Hove Albion   8   4  24  18  20

Derby County Fw Attacks = 39 (63 - 24); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 3 ((24 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 1 ((21 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Derby County Total Attacks = 43

1: Attack for Df Rhys Robinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Pedro Rodrigues
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Harrison Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Pedro Rodrigues
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 56.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 58.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 12.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 59.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 69.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 60.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 14.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 94.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 23.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 67.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 87.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
36: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 39.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
38: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Gregg St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 25.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
40: Attack for Fw Joseph Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target) 
41: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
42: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 
43: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   8   4  24  18  20
  Derby County             19  12  21  24  63

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 21)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 7  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
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