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Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
Brighton & Hove Albion
Mike Mcleod
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Francis Carter          6    2    8     Gk Felix Blucher           8    1    9
Sw William Russell         6    2    8     Sw Nicolas  Pérez          8    1    9
Df Owen Thompson           6    2    8     Df David Kahn              5    2    7
Df Connor East             6    2    8     Df Nigel Russel            4    2    6
Df Noah Craig              6    2    8     Df Lukas Schmidt           3    2    5
Mf Wayne Mitchell         17    2   19     Mf Robin Schaffer          5    2    7
Mf Douglas Araújo          6    2    8     Mf Jakob Schmid            3    2    5
Mf Pedro Rodrigues         3    2    5     Fw Concepci?n  Valverde    8    0    8
Fw Reece McGregor         14    2   16     Fw Nathan Tissot           5    0    5
Fw Alexander Burns         6    2    8     Fw Victor Bayle            5    2    7
Fw Gregg St.Hubbins        3    2    5     Fw Graham McAdam           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  8 24 32 29        ROSTER TOTALS       9  9 18 12 25    
       5  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13  8 24 32 38         T O T A L S        9  9 18 12 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 82.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.625% | Random number = 65.41 (no red card)

Sw William Russell: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 3.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 21.11 (no second yellow)

Df Owen Thompson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 4.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 0.22 (SECOND YELLOW CARD - SENT OFF!!!)
      Owen Thompson new match skill level =  3
      Owen Thompson new match total level =  5

Df Connor East: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 23.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 15.78 (no red card)

Df Noah Craig: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 3.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 22.6 (no second yellow)

Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 44.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 94.56 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 70.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 68.01 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 58.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 80.83 (no red card)

Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 3.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 71.26 (no second yellow)

Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 41.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 58.75 (no red card)

Fw Gregg St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 36.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 95.36 (no red card)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.51 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.72 (no red card)

Df David Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.42 (no red card)

Df Nigel Russel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.68 (no red card)

Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.88 (no red card)

Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.57 (no red card)

Mf Jakob Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.48 (no red card)

Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.26 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.05 (no second yellow)

Fw Nathan Tissot: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.32 (no red card)

Fw Victor Bayle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.94 (no red card)

Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.39 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 5
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 19.53 (no injury) 
Sw William Russell: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 92.88 (no injury) 
Df Owen Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 42.05 (no injury) 
Df Connor East: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 69.28 (no injury) 
Df Noah Craig: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.65 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 48.55 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 23.57 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 92.03 (no injury) 
Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 8.69 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 76.83 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 52.82 (no injury) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 53.69 (no injury) 
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 74.99 (no injury) 
Df David Kahn: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 47.19 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Russel: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 71.92 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 57.34 (no injury) 
Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 2.5 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Robin Schaffer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Robin Schaffer new match skill level =  3
      Robin Schaffer new match total level =  5
Mf Jakob Schmid: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 28.28 (no injury) 
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 78.35 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Tissot: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 72.49 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Bayle: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 56.88 (no injury) 
Fw Graham McAdam: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 75.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wayne Mitchell SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 8

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Concepci?n  Valverde SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Francis Carter SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             13   8  21  32  38
  Brighton & Hove Albion   9   9  18  10  25

Derby County Fw Attacks = 20 (38 - 18); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 11 ((32 - 10) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 25) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Mf Douglas Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 90.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 32.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Pedro Rodrigues
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 39.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Pedro Rodrigues
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Douglas Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 69.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 76.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 33.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 17.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 90.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 46.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   9   9  18  10  25
  Derby County             13   8  21  32  38

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 4 (25 - 21); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((10 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Victor Bayle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Nathan Tissot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Victor Bayle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Nathan Tissot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 4  -  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
 
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