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Brighton & Hove Albion
Mike Mcleod
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Felix Blucher           8    0    8     Gk Harrison Holland       11    2   13
Sw Nicolas  Pérez          4   -1    3     Sw Tim Baumann             6    2    8
Df David Kahn              8   -1    7     Df Thomas Charlton        12    0   12
Df Louie Peters            5   -2    3     Df Fernando  Rojas        10    1   11
Df Lukas Schmidt           5    2    7     Df Ignacio Gomez           6    2    8
Df Harry Lennon            3    2    5     Mf Martin Hunt            13    0   13
Mf Robin Schaffer          7   -2    5     Mf Gaëtan Adam            11    0   11
Mf Kai Mitchell            6    1    7     Mf Jacob Clark             6    2    8
Mf Patrick Roberts         4    2    6     Fw Victor Jensen          16    0   16
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde    8    2   10     Fw Fernando Neves         14    1   15
Fw Zachary Pilkington      8    2   10     Fw Noel Ivarsson           6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  3 22 18 20        ROSTER TOTALS      13  8 31 32 39    
       0  2  1  1  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  4  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8  5 26 21 24         T O T A L S       13 12 31 32 44    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.33 (no red card)

Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 89.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 59.21 (no red card)

Df David Kahn: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 50.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 86.94 (no red card)

Df Louie Peters: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 91.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 9.52 (no red card)

Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 46.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 3.97 (no red card)

Df Harry Lennon: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 5.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 57.7 (no second yellow)

Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 98.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 23.05 (no red card)

Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 93.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 76.75 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 53.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 49.31 (no red card)

Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 85.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 3.0% | Random number = 19.99 (no red card)

Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 8.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 96.84 (no second yellow)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.44 (no red card)

Sw Tim Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.93 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.79 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.0 (no red card)

Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.53 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.67 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.64 (no red card)

Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.42 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.11 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.69 (no second yellow)

Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.54 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 6
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Felix Blucher: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 41.72 (no injury) 
Sw Nicolas  Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.16 (no injury) 
Df David Kahn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.67 (no injury) 
Df Louie Peters: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.03 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.62 (no injury) 
Df Harry Lennon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.2 (no injury) 
Mf Robin Schaffer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.37 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Mitchell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.63 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Kai Mitchell is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Patrick Roberts: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.07 (no injury) 
Fw Concepci?n  Valverde: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.78 (no injury) 
Fw Zachary Pilkington: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.07 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.18 (no injury) 
Sw Tim Baumann: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 72.63 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 44.56 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 1.73 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Fernando  Rojas is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Fernando  Rojas new match skill level =  5
      Fernando  Rojas new match total level =  6
Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 55.65 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 82.42 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 79.1 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 38.03 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 11.76 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 27.34 (no injury) 
Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 7.1 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: David Kahn SL 8
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Holland SL 11

     intRndPk = 97
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Victor Jensen SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Felix Blucher SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   8   5  26  21  24
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  12  26  32  44

Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 26)
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 0


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       13  12  26  32  44
  Brighton & Hove Albion   8   5  26  21  24

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 18 (44 - 26); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((32 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 1 ((26 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Df Thomas Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 20.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 75.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jacob Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 10.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 41 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 30.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 50.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 46 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 45 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 97.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 76.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 54.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 73.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 84.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 5
 
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