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Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finn Dunn               5    2    7     Gk Harrison Holland       11    0   11
Sw Alistair Saunders      12    2   14     Sw Gabriel Martin         13    0   13
Df Dave Ruiz              11    1   12     Df Jacob Harewood          6    2    8
Df Gabriele Esposito      10    1   11     Df Patrick King            5    2    7
Df Ralph Thomas            3   -1    2     Df Douglass Sims           3    2    5
Mf Graham West             6    2    8     Df Gustavo Almeida         3    2    5
Mf Jonas Schmidt           3    2    5     Mf Percy Ruddle            6    1    7
Fw Finlay Neville         12    1   13     Mf Marco Vedder            5    1    6
Fw Filippo Costa          12    1   13     Mf Francisco Duarte        3    2    5
Fw Geoffrey Charlton      11    1   12     Fw Andrew Kerr             6    0    6
Fw Simon Forsberg          8    2   10     Fw Algenon Shaw            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7 14 25 13 48        ROSTER TOTALS      11 13 25 18 11    
       0  0  0  5  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7 14 25 19 57         T O T A L S       11 18 27 18 11    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finn Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.61 (no red card)

Sw Alistair Saunders: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 54.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 3.22 (no red card)

Df Dave Ruiz: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 50.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 55.34 (no red card)

Df Gabriele Esposito: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 46.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 24.07 (no red card)

Df Ralph Thomas: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 97.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 91.0 (no red card)

Mf Graham West: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 9.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 26.09 (no second yellow)

Mf Jonas Schmidt: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 89.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 30.47 (no red card)

Fw Finlay Neville: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 18.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 77.52 (no red card)

Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 27.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 52.31 (no red card)

Fw Geoffrey Charlton: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 10.4 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 37.29 (no second yellow)

Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 68.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 48.92 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.66 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.67 (no red card)

Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.24 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.41 (no second yellow)

Df Patrick King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.24 (no second yellow)

Df Douglass Sims: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.35 (no red card)

Df Gustavo Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.72 (no red card)

Mf Percy Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.87 (no red card)

Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.13 (no red card)

Mf Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.29 (no red card)

Fw Andrew Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.21 (no red card)

Fw Algenon Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.83 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Finn Dunn: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 21.16 (no injury) 
Sw Alistair Saunders: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 15.77 (no injury) 
Df Dave Ruiz: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 54.91 (no injury) 
Df Gabriele Esposito: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 86.65 (no injury) 
Df Ralph Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 34.4 (no injury) 
Mf Graham West: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 93.79 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 65.43 (no injury) 
Fw Finlay Neville: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 97.45 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 68.23 (no injury) 
Fw Geoffrey Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 85.74 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 24.72 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 42.17 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 47.21 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 9.72 (no injury) 
Df Patrick King: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 31.35 (no injury) 
Df Douglass Sims: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 23.88 (no injury) 
Df Gustavo Almeida: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 35.24 (no injury) 
Mf Percy Ruddle: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 15.64 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 54.07 (no injury) 
Mf Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 82.5 (no injury) 
Fw Andrew Kerr: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 51.49 (no injury) 
Fw Algenon Shaw: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 54.94 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Finlay Neville SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Holland SL 11

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jacob Harewood SL 6
   - Defending Gk: Finn Dunn SL 5

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          7  14  25  19  57
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  18  27  18  11

Southend United Fw Attacks = 30 (57 - 27); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((19 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 5 ((25 - 11) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 36

1: Attack for Df Dave Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 41.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Gabriele Esposito
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Dave Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 93.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Gabriele Esposito
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Dave Ruiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Graham West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 83.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Geoffrey Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Geoffrey Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 82.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 10.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 14.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Geoffrey Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Geoffrey Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Geoffrey Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 11.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Geoffrey Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Geoffrey Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Geoffrey Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
26: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 86.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
33: Attack for Fw Filippo Costa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 68.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
34: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
35: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
36: Attack for Fw Finlay Neville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  18  27  18  11
  Southend United          7  14  25  19  57

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 25)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 5  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
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