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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Harewood        12    2   14     Gk Alberto  Rodríguez      7    2    9
Sw Pedro Muñoz            15    2   17     Sw Sean Moore             17    2   19
Df Reidar Myklebust       13    1   14     Df Marius Hagen           13    2   15
Df Peter Lee              10    2   12     Df Aaron Sutherland        6    2    8
Df Jannis Schäfer          9    1   10     Df Emile Wright            3    2    5
Mf Kyle McAdam            13    2   15     Mf Jayden Campbell        10    2   12
Mf Rhys Knight            10    2   12     Mf Erling Holm             6    2    8
Fw Freddie Bunyan         16    2   18     Fw Rafael Souza           14    2   16
Fw Santiago Romero        12    0   12     Fw Mark Scott             10    2   12
Fw Luca Schmid            10    2   12     Fw Jared Brown            10    2   12
Fw Francis Wood            6    2    8     Fw Damien Gautier          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 17 36 27 50        ROSTER TOTALS       9 19 28 20 48    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 17 36 27 59         T O T A L S        9 19 28 20 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 68.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 23.42 (no red card)

Sw Pedro Muñoz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 35.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 26.76 (no red card)

Df Reidar Myklebust: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 89.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 69.17 (no red card)

Df Peter Lee: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 39.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 44.98 (no red card)

Df Jannis Schäfer: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 63.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 20.13 (no red card)

Mf Kyle McAdam: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 61.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 80.12 (no red card)

Mf Rhys Knight: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 44.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 89.6 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 31.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 63.32 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 60.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 27.32 (no red card)

Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 41.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 45.94 (no red card)

Fw Francis Wood: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 54.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 90.11 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Alberto  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.32 (no red card)

Sw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.75 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Sean Moore new match skill level =  9
      Sean Moore new match total level =  11

Df Marius Hagen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.44 (no red card)

Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.34 (no red card)

Df Emile Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.58 (no red card)

Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.59 (no red card)

Mf Erling Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.49 (no red card)

Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.78 (no red card)

Fw Mark Scott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.48 (no red card)

Fw Jared Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.74 (no red card)

Fw Damien Gautier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.74 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 0.11 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Archie Harewood is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Archie Harewood new match skill level =  6
      Archie Harewood new match total level =  8
Sw Pedro Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 54.73 (no injury) 
Df Reidar Myklebust: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.18 (no injury) 
Df Peter Lee: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.25 (no injury) 
Df Jannis Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.09 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle McAdam: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.05 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys Knight: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.87 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 6.36 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Romero: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.52 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.53 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Wood: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.47 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Alberto  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 98.02 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 32.45 (no injury) 
Df Marius Hagen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.77 (no injury) 
Df Aaron Sutherland: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.72 (no injury) 
Df Emile Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.2 (no injury) 
Mf Jayden Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.72 (no injury) 
Mf Erling Holm: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.72 (no injury) 
Fw Rafael Souza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.93 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Scott: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Mark Scott is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mark Scott new match skill level =  5
      Mark Scott new match total level =  7
Fw Jared Brown: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.13 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Gautier: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.63 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Freddie Bunyan SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alberto  Rodríguez SL 7

     intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Rafael Souza SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Archie Harewood SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          9  17  36  27  59
  Preston North End FC     9  11  28  20  43

Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 31 (59 - 28); result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 4 ((27 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 35

1: Attack for Mf Rhys Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Rhys Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 31.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Rhys Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 62.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Rhys Knight
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 35.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 37.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 74.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 20.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 38.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 24.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 22.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Luca Schmid
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 33.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
32: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Freddie Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 36.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Santiago Romero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 52.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     9  11  28  20  43
  Tranmere Rovers          9  17  36  27  59

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 7 (43 - 36); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 2.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 30.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 89.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 83.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Jared Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Rafael Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 2  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 2
 
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