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Sheffield United
Christer Kallin
 
Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEFFIELD UNITED                           BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Billy Robson            8    1    9     Gk Titouan Raoul           6    2    8
Sw Ryan Davidson          10    2   12     Sw Jaron  Biton           12    2   14
Df Harvey Barrett         15    1   16     Df Matteo Maggioni        10    2   12
Df Sam Burns              12    1   13     Df Joseph Carpenter        6    2    8
Df John Campbell           7    2    9     Df Gareth Chapman          3    2    5
Df Gabriel Barros          6    2    8     Mf Carrington Kennedy     10    1   11
Mf Bailey Cockham         12    1   13     Mf Jermaine Hills          9    0    9
Mf Simon Fischer          10    1   11     Mf Rafael  Torres          6    2    8
Fw Hector  Valverde       13    0   13     Fw Liang X                7    0    7
Fw Peter Brakspear        11    0   11     Fw Mason Singh             6    2    8
Fw Callum Palmer           6    2    8     Fw Ben Frings              3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       9 12 46 24 32        ROSTER TOTALS       8 14 25 28 20    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 12 46 24 39         T O T A L S        8 19 27 28 20    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Robson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.47 (no red card)

Sw Ryan Davidson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.41 (no red card)

Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.89 (no red card)

Df Sam Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.76 (no red card)

Df John Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.4 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Barros: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.77 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.26 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.34 (no red card)

Fw Hector  Valverde: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.79 (no second yellow)

Fw Peter Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.71 (no red card)

Fw Callum Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.07 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.17 (no red card)

Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.11 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.97 (no red card)

Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.45 (no red card)

Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.22 (no red card)

Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.7 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.37 (no red card)

Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.03 (no red card)

Fw Liang X: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.89 (no red card)

Fw Mason Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.8 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teams hardness * .25) + (opponents hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Billy Robson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 33.11 (no injury) 
Sw Ryan Davidson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.59 (no injury) 
Df Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.98 (no injury) 
Df Sam Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.97 (no injury) 
Df John Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.14 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Barros: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.72 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Cockham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.93 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.78 (no injury) 
Fw Hector  Valverde: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.56 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.45 (no injury) 
Fw Callum Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.58 (no injury) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.84 (no injury) 
Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.56 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.73 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.85 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.35 (no injury) 
Mf Carrington Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.33 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.55 (no injury) 
Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.96 (no injury) 
Fw Liang X: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.04 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Singh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.09 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Barrett SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 6

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matteo Maggioni SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Billy Robson SL 8

     intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         11  12  46  24  39
  Bristol City FC          8  19  27  28  20

Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 12 (39 - 27); result rounded up
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 9 ((46 - 20) / 3); result rounded up
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df John Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Sam Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Gabriel Barros
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df John Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Harvey Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 70.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df John Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Sam Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Peter Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Callum Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Peter Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Peter Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Peter Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Callum Palmer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Peter Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 65 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Hector  Valverde
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          8  19  27  28  20
  Sheffield United         11  12  46  24  39

Bristol City FC is Playing For A Draw!
Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 46)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 24) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEFFIELD UNITED 1  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
This session's challenge: can we manufacture one result from our two away games?
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 08/13 - 4:12 AM
No. Nearly, but would have been undeserved.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 08/19 - 3:32 AM
 
 
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