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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            CREWE ALEXANDRA FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rhys Murray            15    2   17     Sw Tim Baumann             6    2    8
Df Gerardo  Segura        13    0   13     Df Carl Berg              10    0   10
Df Glen Birks             13    0   13     Df Patrick King           10    0   10
Mf Connor Black           13    1   14     Df Ignacio Gomez           6    2    8
Mf Abe Bradley            11    0   11     Df Nigel Clarke            5    0    5
Mf John Stewart            6    2    8     Mf Percy Ruddle           10    0   10
Fw Christopher Aitken     13    0   13     Mf Marco Vedder            9    0    9
Fw Young Ja  Kim          13    0   13     Mf Jacob Clark             6    2    8
Fw Laurence Johnston      11    1   12     Fw Luis  Gutiérrez         7    1    8
Fw Mustapha Tazi          11    0   11     Fw Noel Ivarsson           5    2    7
Fw Jacob Rooney            6    2    8     Gk Michael O'Donnell       0    2    0

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 26 33 57        ROSTER TOTALS       0  8 33 27 15    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 26 42 57         T O T A L S        0 13 35 27 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.47 (no red card)

Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.1 (no red card)

Df Glen Birks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.66 (no red card)

Mf Connor Black: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.09 (no red card)

Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.49 (no red card)

Mf John Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.85 (no red card)

Fw Christopher Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.96 (no red card)

Fw Young Ja  Kim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.05 (no second yellow)

Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.51 (no red card)

Fw Mustapha Tazi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.44 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.44 (no red card)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Sw Tim Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.52 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.36 (no red card)

Df Patrick King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.89 (no red card)

Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.85 (no red card)

Df Nigel Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.03 (no red card)

Mf Percy Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.39 (no red card)

Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.5 (no red card)

Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.73 (no red card)

Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.8 (no red card)

Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.83 (no red card)

Gk Michael O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.51 (no injury) 
Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.54 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Gerardo  Segura is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Gerardo  Segura new match skill level =  7
      Gerardo  Segura new match total level =  7
Df Glen Birks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.97 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Black: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.42 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.64 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Abe Bradley is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Abe Bradley new match skill level =  6
      Abe Bradley new match total level =  6
Mf John Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.34 (no injury) 
Fw Christopher Aitken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.64 (no injury) 
Fw Young Ja  Kim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.46 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Johnston: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.6 (no injury) 
Fw Mustapha Tazi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.55 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.58 (no injury) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Sw Tim Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.32 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.52 (no injury) 
Df Patrick King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.32 (no injury) 
Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.72 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.77 (no injury) 
Mf Percy Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.27 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.1 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.49 (no injury) 
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.85 (no injury) 
Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.21 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Noel Ivarsson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Gk Michael O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 98.47 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Glen Birks SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Michael O'Donnell SL 0

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carl Berg SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Rhys Murray SL 15

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17   0  20  37  57
  Crewe Alexandra FC       0  13  35  27  15

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 22 (57 - 35); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((37 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 1 ((20 - 15) / 5); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Connor Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Connor Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 40.0% | Random number = 87.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf John Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 40.0% | Random number = 12.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Connor Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 40.0% | Random number = 46.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Connor Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Mustapha Tazi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mustapha Tazi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 40.0% | Random number = 68.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Jacob Rooney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Mustapha Tazi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Young Ja  Kim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 40.0% | Random number = 6.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Laurence Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Young Ja  Kim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Young Ja  Kim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Young Ja  Kim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Laurence Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 40.0% | Random number = 30.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Laurence Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 40.0% | Random number = 75.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Young Ja  Kim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 40.0% | Random number = 35.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Mustapha Tazi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Mustapha Tazi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Jacob Rooney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Young Ja  Kim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Jacob Rooney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 40.0% | Random number = 17.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Mustapha Tazi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Laurence Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Young Ja  Kim
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       0  13  35  27  15
  Chesterfield FC          17   0  20  37  57

Chesterfield FC is using Offside Trap!
Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 20)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 4  -  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0
 
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