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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Wycombe Wanderers
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            WYCOMBE WANDERERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Noah Godart            15    1   16     Gk Rayan Baudin           11    0   11
Sw Jaron  Biton           12    2   14     Sw Leonid Bogdanov        12    0   12
Df Oliver Hills           13    0   13     Df Shay  Akhtar           11    0   11
Df Paul Brides            12    0   12     Df Steven James           11   -1   10
Mf Joe Hopkins            13    0   13     Df Stephen King           11    0   11
Mf Alistair Barnes        11    2   13     Mf Luca Brakspear         10   -1    9
Fw Carrington Kennedy      8    1    9     Mf James Quinn             9    0    9
Fw Lennon Stewart         15    1   16     Mf Christopher McGee       9    0    9
Fw Aaron Allan            10    2   12     Fw Mario Orlando          11   -1   10
Fw Greg Mason             10    1   11     Fw Sam Peverell            9    0    9
Fw Daniel Yitzchak        10    0   10     Fw Luis Herrmann          10    0   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 25 26 58        ROSTER TOTALS      11 12 32 27 29    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 25 35 58         T O T A L S       11 12 32 27 29    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Godart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.17 (no red card)

Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.27 (no red card)

Df Oliver Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.55 (no red card)

Df Paul Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.6 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.95 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.33 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Kennedy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.35 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.07 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.54 (no red card)

Fw Greg Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.84 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.59 (no red card)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rayan Baudin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.63 (no red card)

Sw Leonid Bogdanov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.36 (no red card)

Df Shay  Akhtar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.88 (no red card)

Df Steven James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.98 (no red card)

Df Stephen King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.45 (no red card)

Mf Luca Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.08 (no second yellow)

Mf James Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.53 (no red card)

Mf Christopher McGee: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.54 (no red card)

Fw Mario Orlando: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.98 (no red card)

Fw Sam Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.33 (no red card)

Fw Luis Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.96 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Godart: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 8.68 (no injury) 
Sw Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.04 (no injury) 
Df Oliver Hills: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.28 (no injury) 
Df Paul Brides: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.0 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.22 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.5 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Kennedy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.87 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.37 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.68 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.39 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Yitzchak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.31 (no injury) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rayan Baudin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 29.36 (no injury) 
Sw Leonid Bogdanov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.15 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Akhtar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.91 (no injury) 
Df Steven James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.95 (no injury) 
Df Stephen King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.85 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.35 (no injury) 
Mf James Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.65 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher McGee: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.04 (no injury) 
Fw Mario Orlando: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.38 (no injury) 
Fw Sam Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.41 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.7 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lennon Stewart SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Rayan Baudin SL 11

     intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 49 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Shay  Akhtar SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Noah Godart SL 15

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          16  14  25  35  58
  Wycombe Wanderers        11  12  32  27  29

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 26 (58 - 32); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((35 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 29) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 30

1: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 7.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 54.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 47.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 77.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 58.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 42.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 59.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 46.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Carrington Kennedy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Daniel Yitzchak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 24.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        11  12  32  27  29
  Bristol City FC          16  14  25  35  58

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 4 (29 - 25); result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Sam Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Mario Orlando
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Luis Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 6.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Sam Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 2  -  WYCOMBE WANDERERS 0
 
Match Notes
Wycombe's squad is a little under powered. We should win. But, as always, that means nothing.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 08/13 - 4:14 AM
That penalty made the result look half decent. Olmec toying with us.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 08/19 - 3:34 AM
 
 
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