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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Wycombe Wanderers
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         WYCOMBE WANDERERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Harrison Holland       10    2   12     Gk Mark Richardson         8    0    8
Sw Gabriel Martin         14    1   15     Sw Diego Souza             8    0    8
Df Kian Ferguson          11    0   11     Df Aaron O'Donnell        10   -1    9
Df Fernando  Rojas        10    1   11     Df Patrick Hays            9    0    9
Df Ignacio Gomez           6    2    8     Df Steven James            8   -1    7
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez      10    0   10     Mf Luca Brakspear          9    0    9
Mf Percy Ruddle           10    0   10     Mf Dave Fields             8    0    8
Fw Victor Jensen          16   -1   15     Mf James Quinn             7    0    7
Fw Fernando Neves         13    1   14     Fw Ollie Butcher          11   -1   10
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez         7    1    8     Fw Sam Peverell            9   -1    8
Fw Michael O'Donnell       4    2    6     Fw Mario Orlando          11   -1   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 15 30 20 43        ROSTER TOTALS       8  8 25 24 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 15 30 20 52         T O T A L S        8  8 25 24 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.31 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.93 (no red card)

Df Kian Ferguson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.94 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.86 (no red card)

Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.58 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.09 (no red card)

Mf Percy Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.01 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.26 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.07 (no red card)

Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.26 (no red card)

Fw Michael O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.84 (no red card)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Richardson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 35.11 (no red card)

Sw Diego Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.7 (no red card)

Df Aaron O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.4 (no red card)

Df Patrick Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.27 (no red card)

Df Steven James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.52 (no red card)

Mf Luca Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.71 (no red card)

Mf Dave Fields: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.85 (no red card)

Mf James Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.36 (no red card)

Fw Ollie Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.66 (no red card)

Fw Sam Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.48 (no red card)

Fw Mario Orlando: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.63 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.37 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.48 (no injury) 
Df Kian Ferguson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.38 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.15 (no injury) 
Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.65 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.44 (no injury) 
Mf Percy Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.85 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.63 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.94 (no injury) 
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.0 (no injury) 
Fw Michael O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.98 (no injury) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mark Richardson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 53.74 (no injury) 
Sw Diego Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.3 (no injury) 
Df Aaron O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.56 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Hays: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.19 (no injury) 
Df Steven James: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.27 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Steven James is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Luca Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.52 (no injury) 
Mf Dave Fields: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.23 (no injury) 
Mf James Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.54 (no injury) 
Fw Ollie Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.67 (no injury) 
Fw Sam Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.85 (no injury) 
Fw Mario Orlando: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Victor Jensen SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mark Richardson SL 8

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ollie Butcher SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Holland SL 10

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  15  30  20  52
  Wycombe Wanderers        8   8  25  24  28

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 27 (52 - 25); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Kian Ferguson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 42.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 84.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Michael O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 4.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 25.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 97.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 0.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Michael O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 53.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 47.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Michael O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 16.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 30.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Wycombe Wanderers        8   8  25  24  28
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  15  30  20  52

Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 30)
Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf James Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf James Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2  -  WYCOMBE WANDERERS 0
 
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