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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            BRISTOL CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Rhys Murray            14    1   15     Gk Titouan Raoul           5    2    7
Sw Michael Lampard        13    0   13     Sw Matthew Webster         2    2    4
Df Glen Birks             13    1   14     Df Matteo Maggioni        10    1   11
Df Harry O'Neil           12    0   12     Df Joseph Carpenter        5    2    7
Df Gerardo  Segura        10    0   10     Df Gareth Chapman          2    2    4
Mf Connor Black           11    0   11     Mf Jermaine Hills          9    0    9
Mf Arthur Collins         10    0   10     Mf Rafael  Torres          5    2    7
Mf William Zelic           7    1    8     Mf Jake Griffiths          2    2    4
Mf Abe Bradley             6    2    8     Fw Liang X                7    0    7
Fw Henry Stephens         11    1   12     Fw Mason Singh             5    2    7
Fw Mustapha Tazi          10    0   10     Fw Ben Frings              2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 13 36 37 22        ROSTER TOTALS       7  4 22 20 18    
       2  2  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 39 39 24         T O T A L S        7  4 22 20 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 65.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 88.35 (no red card)

Sw Michael Lampard: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 11.82 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 91.54 (no second yellow)

Df Glen Birks: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 16.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 90.38 (no red card)

Df Harry O'Neil: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 0.5 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 40.94 (no second yellow)

Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 58.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 54.57 (no red card)

Mf Connor Black: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 15.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 18.53 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Collins: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 21.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 97.32 (no red card)

Mf William Zelic: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 79.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 68.76 (no red card)

Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 28.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 30.82 (no red card)

Fw Henry Stephens: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 43.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 19.16 (no red card)

Fw Mustapha Tazi: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 99.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 63.87 (no red card)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.94 (no red card)

Sw Matthew Webster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.79 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.53 (no red card)

Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.08 (no red card)

Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.73 (no red card)

Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.05 (no red card)

Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.12 (no red card)

Mf Jake Griffiths: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.53 (no red card)

Fw Liang X: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.28 (no red card)

Fw Mason Singh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.11 (no red card)

Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teams hardness * .25) + (opponents hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 4
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 76.8 (no injury) 
Sw Michael Lampard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.03 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Michael Lampard is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Michael Lampard new match skill level =  7
      Michael Lampard new match total level =  7
Df Glen Birks: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 10.99 (no injury) 
Df Harry O'Neil: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.55 (no injury) 
Df Gerardo  Segura: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.58 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Black: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.48 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Collins: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.93 (no injury) 
Mf William Zelic: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.02 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Bradley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.0 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Stephens: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.69 (no injury) 
Fw Mustapha Tazi: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 1.59 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Mustapha Tazi is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mustapha Tazi new match skill level =  5
      Mustapha Tazi new match total level =  5

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Titouan Raoul: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.57 (no injury) 
Sw Matthew Webster: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 66.44 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 8.87 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Carpenter: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 32.72 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Chapman: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 87.36 (no injury) 
Mf Jermaine Hills: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 96.78 (no injury) 
Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 75.45 (no injury) 
Mf Jake Griffiths: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 3.61 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Jake Griffiths is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jake Griffiths new match skill level =  1
      Jake Griffiths new match total level =  3
Fw Liang X: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 18.28 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Singh: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 68.49 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 94.52 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Glen Birks SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Titouan Raoul SL 5

     intRndPk = 85
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Matteo Maggioni SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Rhys Murray SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17   9  39  39  19
  Bristol City FC          7   4  22  19  18

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 22)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((39 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 7 ((39 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 45.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Harry O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 6.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Glen Birks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 44 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Glen Birks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Gerardo  Segura
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Harry O'Neil
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Glen Birks
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Arthur Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 40 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 8.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf William Zelic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 75.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf William Zelic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Abe Bradley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 9.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Connor Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 31.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Connor Black
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Abe Bradley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf William Zelic
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 65.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Mf Arthur Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Arthur Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          7   4  22  19  18
  Chesterfield FC          17   9  39  39  19

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 39)
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((22 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Matteo Maggioni
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 2  -  BRISTOL CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
Unfortunately, Chesterfield are too strong at home. but we will give it a shot.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 08/05 - 12:08 PM
A half hearted shot, but still a shot.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 08/12 - 10:30 AM
Thanks for the injury.
Ellis (Bristol City FC) 08/13 - 3:45 AM
 
 
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