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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Harrison Holland       10    1   11     Gk Francis Carter         11    2   13
Sw Gabriel Martin         14    1   15     Df Gabriel Bateman         3    2    5
Df Thomas Charlton        12   -1   11     Sw Jimmy Park             11    1   12
Df Fernando  Rojas        10    0   10     Df Connor East            10    2   12
Df Carl Berg              10   -1    9     Df Owen Thompson           9    0    9
Mf Martin Hunt            13   -1   12     Mf Douglas Araújo         10    2   12
Mf Gaëtan Adam            11   -1   10     Mf Pedro Rodrigues         6    2    8
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez      10   -1    9     Mf çngel Gabriel García    5   -1    4
Fw Victor Jensen          15   -1   14     Fw Alexander Burns        10    2   12
Fw Fernando Neves         13    1   14     Fw Jake McBrayne           6    2    8
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez         7    1    8     Fw Gregg St.Hubbins        6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11 15 30 31 36        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 26 24 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 15 30 31 45         T O T A L S       13 12 26 24 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.01 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.13 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.99 (no second yellow)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.45 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.04 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.42 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.5 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 45.78 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.78 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.27 (no red card)

Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.22 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.81 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.5 (no red card)

Sw Jimmy Park: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.71 (no red card)

Df Connor East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.01 (no red card)

Df Owen Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.21 (no red card)

Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.2 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.06 (no red card)

Mf çngel Gabriel García: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.77 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.29 (no red card)

Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.46 (no red card)

Fw Gregg St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 30.93 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.28 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.58 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.12 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.25 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.64 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Adam: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.03 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.49 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.22 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.52 (no injury) 
Fw Luis  Gutiérrez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.84 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 72.78 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Bateman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.95 (no injury) 
Sw Jimmy Park: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.95 (no injury) 
Df Connor East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.32 (no injury) 
Df Owen Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.19 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.25 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.71 (no injury) 
Mf çngel Gabriel García: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.45 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.64 (no injury) 
Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.6 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.91 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Victor Jensen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Francis Carter SL 11

     intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Connor East SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Holland SL 10

     intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  15  30  31  45
  Derby County             13  12  26  24  28

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 19 (45 - 26); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((31 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Df Carl Berg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gaëtan Adam
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 8.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Luis  Gutiérrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 29.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             13  12  26  24  28
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  15  30  31  45

Derby County Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 30)
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
 
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