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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luke Marshall          14    0   14     Gk Carlton Morrissey       5    2    7
Sw Gabriel Martin         13    0   13     Sw Reuven  Moshe          11    1   12
Df Carl Berg              14    0   14     Df Christoffer Dahlberg   10    2   12
Df Harry Gray             12    0   12     Df Harley Rees             5    2    7
Df Fernando  Rojas         8    1    9     Mf Alfie Dowson            7    0    7
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez      10    0   10     Mf Mathias Larsen          5    2    7
Mf Martin Hunt            10    0   10     Mf Reuben Carroll          5    2    7
Mf Jacob Clark             9    0    9     Fw Carlos Rutledge        12    1   13
Fw Victor Jensen          13    0   13     Fw Mason Stewart          11    2   13
Fw Noel Ivarsson          10    0   10     Fw Jamie Jackson           5    2    7
Fw Fernando Neves         10    0   10     Fw Ethan Green             2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 35 29 33        ROSTER TOTALS       7 12 19 21 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  1  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 35 29 43         T O T A L S        7 12 19 21 42    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.52 (no red card)

Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.01 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.54 (no red card)

Df Harry Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.54 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.81 (no red card)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.88 (no red card)

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.41 (no red card)

Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.01 (no red card)

Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.34 (no red card)

Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.47 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.09 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlton Morrissey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.21 (no red card)

Sw Reuven  Moshe: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 79.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 11.15 (no red card)

Df Christoffer Dahlberg: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 44.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 57.32 (no red card)

Df Harley Rees: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 7.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 19.05 (no second yellow)

Mf Alfie Dowson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 34.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 98.1 (no red card)

Mf Mathias Larsen: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 90.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 13.73 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Carroll: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 73.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 34.19 (no red card)

Fw Carlos Rutledge: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 84.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 43.1 (no red card)

Fw Mason Stewart: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 98.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 52.36 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Jackson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 40.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 9.19 (no red card)

Fw Ethan Green: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 62.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 29.81 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Luke Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 48.79 (no injury) 
Sw Gabriel Martin: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 64.53 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 94.53 (no injury) 
Df Harry Gray: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 54.16 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 78.15 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 94.21 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 11.94 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 96.47 (no injury) 
Fw Victor Jensen: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 19.46 (no injury) 
Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 90.25 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 60.8 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 5
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Carlton Morrissey: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 0.2 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Carlton Morrissey is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Reuven  Moshe: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.15 (no injury) 
Df Christoffer Dahlberg: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 14.38 (no injury) 
Df Harley Rees: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 48.83 (no injury) 
Mf Alfie Dowson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 37.46 (no injury) 
Mf Mathias Larsen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 66.02 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.92 (no injury) 
Fw Carlos Rutledge: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.42 (no injury) 
Fw Mason Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 37.06 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 71.07 (no injury) 
Fw Ethan Green: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 39.46 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Carl Berg SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Carlton Morrissey SL 5

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlos Rutledge SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Luke Marshall SL 14

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       14  13  35  29  43
  Northampton Town FC      7  12  19  21  42

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 24 (43 - 19); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((29 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 23.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jacob Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Martin Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 2.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 54.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 43.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 12.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 43.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 23.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Noel Ivarsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Victor Jensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      7  12  19  21  42
  Crewe Alexandra FC       14  13  35  29  43

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 7 (42 - 35); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Jamie Jackson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 30.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Carlos Rutledge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 79.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Mason Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 81.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Ethan Green
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Mason Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Carlos Rutledge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Carlos Rutledge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
We knew Bill would be all guns blazing
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 03/02 - 7:17 PM
How the heck have we won that game 😆
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 03/02 - 7:18 PM
 
 
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