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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kian Trickelbank        6    2    8     Gk Matty Ruby              5    1    6
Df Harley Stephenson      13    0   13     Df Brandon Pagett          8   -1    7
Df Michele Testa           6    2    8     Df Jimmy Park              4    2    6
Df Harrison Porter         2    2    4     Mf Gonzalo Arias           7   -1    6
Mf Owen Marsh             14    1   15     Mf James King              5   -1    4
Mf Mika Baumann           10    2   12     Fw Reece McGregor          9   -1    8
Mf Carleton Thomas         6    2    8     Mf Glenn Anderson          4    1    5
Mf Algernon Pike           2    2    4     Fw Christian Doyle         6    1    7
Fw Rodrigo Alves          12    0   12     Fw Kieran Beckham          6   -1    5
Fw Sebastian Clarke        6    2    8     Fw Ryan Martin             5    1    6
Fw Jake Shrimpton          2    2    4     Fw Lorenzo Riva            5    1    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  0 25 39 24        ROSTER TOTALS       6  0 13 15 32    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          5  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  5  4  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  5  2  0    
=======================================================================
       9  0 30 43 24         T O T A L S       11  0 18 17 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 25.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 25.34 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 47.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 16.78 (no red card)

Df Michele Testa: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 65.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 72.79 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 29.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 9.4 (no red card)

Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 76.69 (no red card)

Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 55.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 21.19 (no red card)

Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 3.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 5.91 (no second yellow)

Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 45.08 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Alves: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 2.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 13.73 (no second yellow)

Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 49.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 77.0 (no red card)

Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 11.62 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Matty Ruby: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 0.9 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.625% | Random number = 15.22 (no second yellow)

Df Brandon Pagett: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 29.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 30.37 (no red card)

Df Jimmy Park: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 53.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 15.29 (no red card)

Mf Gonzalo Arias: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 28.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 33.24 (no red card)

Mf James King: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 80.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 73.36 (no red card)

Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 39.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 51.33 (no red card)

Mf Glenn Anderson: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 52.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 0.03 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Glenn Anderson new match skill level =  2
      Glenn Anderson new match total level =  3

Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 24.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.3 (no second yellow)

Fw Kieran Beckham: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 60.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 63.34 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Martin: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 39.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 52.49 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Riva: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 20.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.36 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 80.21 (no injury) 
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 51.25 (no injury) 
Df Michele Testa: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 55.14 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 82.64 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Marsh: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 28.87 (no injury) 
Mf Mika Baumann: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 62.31 (no injury) 
Mf Carleton Thomas: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 54.24 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 45.1 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Alves: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 30.4 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Clarke: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 23.63 (no injury) 
Fw Jake Shrimpton: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 81.96 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 10
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Matty Ruby: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 52.15 (no injury) 
Df Brandon Pagett: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 34.71 (no injury) 
Df Jimmy Park: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 71.23 (no injury) 
Mf Gonzalo Arias: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 76.1 (no injury) 
Mf James King: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 51.01 (no injury) 
Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 77.36 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Anderson: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 65.94 (no injury) 
Fw Christian Doyle: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 83.44 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Beckham: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 45.73 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Martin: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 39.72 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Riva: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 47.5 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Owen Marsh SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Matty Ruby SL 5

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 75 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Reece McGregor SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    9   0  30  43  24
  Derby County             11   0  18  15  37

Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 3 (24 - 18) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 28 ((43 - 15) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 37) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 20.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 1.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 23.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 1.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 72.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 96.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 56.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 45.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 18.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 76.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 0.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 63.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 46 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 77.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Mf Mika Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 16.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 27.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 97.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Mf Carleton Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 37.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Mf Owen Marsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Rodrigo Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Jake Shrimpton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Sebastian Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 64.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             11   0  18  15  37
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    9   0  30  43  24

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Derby County is Playing For A Draw!
Derby County Fw Attacks = 2 (37 - 30) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 24) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Riva
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 83.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Christian Doyle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 61.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 6  -  DERBY COUNTY 2
 
Match Notes
Be nice to get our League campaign off to a good start!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/31 - 5:22 PM
Glad to see the previous referee was sacked and replaced by one not on the Derby payroll.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 04/01 - 8:57 PM
 
 
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