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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Leicester City FC
Hazel Hawker
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         LEICESTER CITY FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Nigel Brides           15   -1   14     Gk Billy Smith            14    1   15
Sw Patrick Maguire        12    0   12     Sw Ivan Pascual            9    2   11
Df Henry Baker            15    2   17     Df Cooper White           14    0   14
Df Ben Kahn                9    1   10     Df Kenneth Murphy         10    2   12
Df Arran Brown             5    2    7     Df Tobias Kaiser           5    2    7
Mf Mark Jankel            15    0   15     Mf Billy Bryant           14    2   16
Mf Simon Schmidt           5    2    7     Mf William Rowbotham      10    2   12
Fw Jack Thompson          15    2   17     Mf Nico Walter             5    0    5
Fw Freddie Akhtar         14    2   16     Fw Leon Dury              15    0   15
Fw Connor Brakspear       16    1   17     Fw Hassan Cherkaoui       10    2   12
Fw Thomas Hutchinson      12    2   14     Fw Nikolai Andresen        5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 34 22 64        ROSTER TOTALS      15 11 33 33 34    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 12 34 24 71         T O T A L S       15 11 33 33 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.7 (no red card)

Sw Patrick Maguire: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.54 (no red card)

Df Henry Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.58 (no red card)

Df Ben Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.08 (no red card)

Df Arran Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.68 (no red card)

Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.77 (no red card)

Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.99 (no red card)

Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.86 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.46 (no red card)

Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.47 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.77 (no red card)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.15 (no red card)

Sw Ivan Pascual: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.03 (no red card)

Df Cooper White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 94.46 (no red card)

Df Kenneth Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.31 (no red card)

Df Tobias Kaiser: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.64 (no red card)

Mf Billy Bryant: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.1 (no red card)

Mf William Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.48 (no red card)

Mf Nico Walter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.54 (no red card)

Fw Leon Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.01 (no red card)

Fw Hassan Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.29 (no red card)

Fw Nikolai Andresen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.4 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 48.44 (no injury) 
Sw Patrick Maguire: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.41 (no injury) 
Df Henry Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.84 (no injury) 
Df Ben Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.79 (no injury) 
Df Arran Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.33 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.55 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.62 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.43 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.3 (no injury) 
Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.29 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.02 (no injury) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leicester City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Billy Smith: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 39.82 (no injury) 
Sw Ivan Pascual: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.09 (no injury) 
Df Cooper White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.91 (no injury) 
Df Kenneth Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.19 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Kaiser: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.9 (no injury) 
Mf Billy Bryant: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.34 (no injury) 
Mf William Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.81 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Walter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.49 (no injury) 
Fw Leon Dury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.78 (no injury) 
Fw Hassan Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.88 (no injury) 
Fw Nikolai Andresen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Connor Brakspear SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Billy Smith SL 14

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leon Dury SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 15

     intRndPk = 64
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       14  12  34  24  71
  Leicester City FC        15  11  33  33  34

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 38 (71 - 33); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 34) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 38

1: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 65.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.35 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 0.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Freddie Akhtar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
33: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Jack Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
36: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
37: Attack for Fw Thomas Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 77.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
38: Attack for Fw Connor Brakspear
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  LEICESTER CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leicester City FC        15  11  33  33  34
  Plymouth Argyle FC       14  12  34  24  71

Leicester City FC Fw Attacks = 0 (34 - 34)
Leicester City FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((33 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Leicester City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 71) / 3;  rounded up)
Leicester City FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf William Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 67.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Billy Bryant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 25.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Billy Bryant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Nico Walter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf William Rowbotham
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 3  -  LEICESTER CITY FC 0
 
Match Notes
2nd of 2 home matches this session. We'll need all those extra HA points we can get.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/27 - 3:14 PM
PHEW. After the Brentford match, this was needed.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/27 - 6:21 PM
 
 
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