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Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

QUEENS PARK RANGERS                        SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Warre Michiels         16    2   18     Gk Harrison Bennett       13    2   15
Sw Kwan  Jeon             15    0   15     Sw Noe Morice             13    2   15
Df William Michaud        15    2   17     Df Geoffrey Jackson       12    2   14
Df Gregg Bunyan           13    2   15     Df Eduardo  Vargas        11    2   13
Mf Leon Ludley            14    2   16     Df Reis  Golan            11    2   13
Mf Theo Fisher            11    2   13     Mf Dennis Cox             12    2   14
Fw Carlton Mitchell       15    2   17     Mf Giorgio Valentini       9   -1    8
Fw Peter Cruz             15    2   17     Fw Simon Forsberg         14    2   16
Fw Louie Owen             11    2   13     Fw Fionn Johnston         12    2   14
Fw Harvey Shepherd        13    1   14     Fw David Campbell         10    2   12
Fw Aarron Bunyan           5    2    7     Fw Finlay Neville          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 32 29 68        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 40 22 53    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          5  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  5  2  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 15 32 29 77         T O T A L S       20 20 42 22 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.68 (no red card)

Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.18 (no red card)

Df William Michaud: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.65 (no red card)

Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.94 (no red card)

Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.11 (no red card)

Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 13.69 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.51 (no red card)

Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.16 (no red card)

Fw Louie Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.09 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.6 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Bunyan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.9 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 5

Gk Harrison Bennett: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 50.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.625% | Random number = 34.72 (no red card)

Sw Noe Morice: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 31.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 94.9 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 50.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 56.98 (no red card)

Df Eduardo  Vargas: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 44.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 13.76 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 49.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 84.15 (no red card)

Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 53.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 24.74 (no red card)

Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 84.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 76.15 (no red card)

Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 49.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 36.63 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 17.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 16.83 (no red card)

Fw David Campbell: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 77.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 44.16 (no red card)

Fw Finlay Neville: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 60.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 59.63 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 60.96 (no injury) 
Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 88.01 (no injury) 
Df William Michaud: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 82.63 (no injury) 
Df Gregg Bunyan: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 40.9 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 1.98 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Leon Ludley is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Leon Ludley new match skill level =  7
      Leon Ludley new match total level =  9
Mf Theo Fisher: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 20.44 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 2.61 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Carlton Mitchell is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Carlton Mitchell new match skill level =  8
      Carlton Mitchell new match total level =  10
Fw Peter Cruz: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 25.48 (no injury) 
Fw Louie Owen: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 28.59 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 42.45 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Bunyan: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 44.46 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Harrison Bennett: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 66.89 (no injury) 
Sw Noe Morice: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 63.99 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 63.29 (no injury) 
Df Eduardo  Vargas: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 13.53 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 80.61 (no injury) 
Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 40.5 (no injury) 
Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 83.64 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 91.04 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 51.58 (no injury) 
Fw David Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 54.61 (no injury) 
Fw Finlay Neville: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 95.33 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: William Michaud SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Bennett SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 18 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 65 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Forsberg SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Warre Michiels SL 16

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      21  15  32  22  70
  Southend United          20  20  42  22  53

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 28 (70 - 42); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 33.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Louie Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 52.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Louie Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Louie Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 5.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 51.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 16.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 52.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Louie Owen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Peter Cruz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Aarron Bunyan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Harvey Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          20  20  42  22  53
  Queens Park Rangers      21  15  32  22  70

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 11 (53 - 32) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 70) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Fionn Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Fionn Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Fionn Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 7.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw David Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 12.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
QUEENS PARK RANGERS 2  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
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