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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matías Abreu           16    2   18     Gk Nigel Brides           15   -1   14
Sw Zachary Johnson        15    1   16     Df Henry Baker            15    2   17
Df Saburo Fukuda          14    2   16     Df Glenn Heskey           13    1   14
Df Percy Clapinson        12    2   14     Df Ben Kahn                9    1   10
Mf Lee Hú                 14    2   16     Mf Mark Jankel            15    0   15
Mf Rhys Davidson           9   -1    8     Mf Daniel Milner          13    0   13
Fw Ashton Matthews        15    0   15     Mf Gianluca Boga          12    1   13
Fw Ben Gordon             15    1   16     Mf Ryan Wright            10    2   12
Fw Bradley Woods          13    1   14     Mf Colm Hays              10    1   11
Fw Giles Fisher           13    1   14     Fw Jack Thompson          15    2   17
Fw Love Sundström          5    2    7     Fw Connor Brakspear       16    1   17

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 30 24 66        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 41 64 34    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 16 30 25 75         T O T A L S       14  0 41 64 34    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Matías Abreu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.42 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.72 (no second yellow)

Sw Zachary Johnson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 78.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 64.08 (no red card)

Df Saburo Fukuda: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 79.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 63.36 (no red card)

Df Percy Clapinson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 31.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 29.07 (no red card)

Mf Lee Hú: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 54.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 97.43 (no red card)

Mf Rhys Davidson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 86.0 (no red card)

Fw Ashton Matthews: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 23.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.2 (no red card)

Fw Ben Gordon: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 24.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 85.86 (no red card)

Fw Bradley Woods: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 1.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 82.32 (no second yellow)

Fw Giles Fisher: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 55.94 (no red card)

Fw Love Sundström: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 59.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 4.62 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.94 (no red card)

Df Henry Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.71 (no red card)

Df Glenn Heskey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.34 (no red card)

Df Ben Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.76 (no red card)

Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.58 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.18 (no red card)

Mf Gianluca Boga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.3 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 38.24 (no red card)

Mf Colm Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.51 (no red card)

Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.68 (no red card)

Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Matías Abreu: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 79.03 (no injury) 
Sw Zachary Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.69 (no injury) 
Df Saburo Fukuda: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.36 (no injury) 
Df Percy Clapinson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.55 (no injury) 
Mf Lee Hú: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.94 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys Davidson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.27 (no injury) 
Fw Ashton Matthews: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.29 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Gordon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.11 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Ben Gordon is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Ben Gordon new match skill level =  8
      Ben Gordon new match total level =  9
Fw Bradley Woods: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.21 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 63.85 (no injury) 
Fw Love Sundström: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 86.74 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.79 (no injury) 
Df Henry Baker: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.82 (no injury) 
Df Glenn Heskey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.64 (no injury) 
Df Ben Kahn: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.28 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.65 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Milner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 92.02 (no injury) 
Mf Gianluca Boga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.13 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.54 (no injury) 
Mf Colm Hays: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.66 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.19 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Jack Thompson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jack Thompson new match skill level =  8
      Jack Thompson new match total level =  10
Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Connor Brakspear is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ashton Matthews SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 15

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Connor Brakspear SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Matías Abreu SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             18  16  30  25  68
  Plymouth Argyle FC       14   0  41  64  27

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 14 (68 - 41) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 64) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Df Percy Clapinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 75.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Giles Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Ben Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 66.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Love Sundström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Giles Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 70.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Giles Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 94.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 50.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Ben Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Ben Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 83.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Ben Gordon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Ashton Matthews
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 81.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Giles Fisher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Bradley Woods
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       14   0  41  64  27
  Brentford FC             18  16  30  25  68

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 30)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 20 ((64 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 68) / 5;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 47.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 27.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 34.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Colm Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 72.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 10.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Colm Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Gianluca Boga
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Colm Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Colm Hays
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 4  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Finish the season against a huge rival. LET'S DO IT!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/27 - 3:14 PM
Rigged!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 01/27 - 6:14 PM
 
 
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