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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Leeds United
Abe Hamdali
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           LEEDS UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Laurence James         12    2   14     Gk Robert O'Neil          16    2   18
Sw Oscar Ford             11    2   13     Sw Jakob Werner            9    2   11
Df Sean Tufnel            12    2   14     Df Stephen King           13    2   15
Df Geoffrey Cross         12    2   14     Df Gabin Michel            9    2   11
Df Brandon McAdam         10    2   12     Df Davide Fontana         12    2   14
Mf William Martin         13    2   15     Mf Semyon Popov           12    2   14
Mf Ben Neuville           15    2   17     Mf Gerardo  Torres         9    2   11
Mf Jonas Neuville          8    2   10     Fw Ryan Cameron           14    2   16
Fw Luis Guerrero          15    2   17     Fw Max Ahmed              14    2   16
Fw Scott Murray           12    2   14     Fw Liam Fleming           10    2   12
Fw Steven Milner           8    2   10     Fw Clifton Hart            9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 13 40 42 41        ROSTER TOTALS      18 11 40 25 55    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  9    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  1    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 49 42 41         T O T A L S       18 11 41 25 65    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Laurence James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.0 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.39 (no second yellow)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.77 (no red card)

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.55 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.71 (no red card)

Df Brandon McAdam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.87 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.96 (no red card)

Mf Ben Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.93 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.62 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 9.97 (no red card)

Fw Scott Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.72 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.34 (no red card)

*******  LEEDS UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 10
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.39 (no red card)

Sw Jakob Werner: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 5.97 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.55 (no second yellow)

Df Stephen King: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 61.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 11.51 (no red card)

Df Gabin Michel: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 77.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 59.8 (no red card)

Df Davide Fontana: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 39.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 95.46 (no red card)

Mf Semyon Popov: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 26.0 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.6 (no second yellow)

Mf Gerardo  Torres: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 88.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 10.49 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Cameron: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 16.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.89 (no second yellow)

Fw Max Ahmed: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 95.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 11.54 (no red card)

Fw Liam Fleming: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 27.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 89.5 (no red card)

Fw Clifton Hart: Chance of booking = 27.0% | Random number = 77.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 4.5% | Random number = 62.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 10
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 5.0%
Gk Laurence James: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 67.56 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 64.8 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 77.36 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Cross: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 64.02 (no injury) 
Df Brandon McAdam: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 88.62 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 46.5 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Neuville: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 63.02 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Neuville: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 71.83 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 96.07 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Murray: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 45.09 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 10.0% | Random number = 2.07 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Steven Milner is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Leeds United Team Hardness = 10
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Robert O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.69 (no injury) 
Sw Jakob Werner: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 57.17 (no injury) 
Df Stephen King: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 41.73 (no injury) 
Df Gabin Michel: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 51.43 (no injury) 
Df Davide Fontana: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 73.04 (no injury) 
Mf Semyon Popov: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 37.39 (no injury) 
Mf Gerardo  Torres: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 88.73 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Cameron: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 72.92 (no injury) 
Fw Max Ahmed: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 61.2 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Fleming: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 90.52 (no injury) 
Fw Clifton Hart: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 17.76 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEEDS UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ben Neuville SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Robert O'Neil SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Cameron SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Laurence James SL 12

     intRndPk = 75
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         14  13  49  42  41
  Leeds United             18  11  41  25  65

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (41 - 41)
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 9 ((42 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jonas Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 94.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 26.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Ben Neuville
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf William Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  LEEDS UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Leeds United             18  11  41  25  65
  Swansea City AFC         14  13  49  42  41

Leeds United Fw Attacks = 16 (65 - 49); result rounded up
Leeds United Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Leeds United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Leeds United Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Ryan Cameron
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Liam Fleming
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Liam Fleming
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 70.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Liam Fleming
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 5.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Liam Fleming
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Max Ahmed
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 31.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Clifton Hart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 18.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Liam Fleming
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 2  -  LEEDS UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
16 attacks vs 9 and 8 shots on goal vs 3. Sw keeper had 7 saves! And we loose. We think we got robbed in match.
Abe (Leeds United) 05/19 - 8:37 PM
 
 
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