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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Dorchester Town
Fran Morillo
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         DORCHESTER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Henry Stone            16    1   17     Gk Mark Patel             16    2   18
Sw Mohamed Gil            15    1   16     Df Alfredo  Mora          16    2   18
Df William Gascoigne      13    2   15     Mf Aarron Sansom          14    2   16
Df Nigel Clarke           12    2   14     Mf Ben Moore              13    2   15
Df Jacob Harewood          9    2   11     Df Jason Ward             10    2   12
Df Thomas Charlton         9    2   11     Mf Moritz Schmitt          9    2   11
Mf Stewart Lennon         12    2   14     Fw Lee Daugherty          15    2   17
Mf Marco Vedder            9   -2    7     Fw Gordon Lowe            17    2   19
Mf GaŽtan Adam             9    1   10     Fw Nathan McGregor        13    2   15
Fw Erling Hauge           13    2   15     Fw Sean Richman            9    2   11
Fw Fernando Neves          9    2   11     Fw Evan White              9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 51 31 26        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 30 42 73    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 51 31 35         T O T A L S       20  0 30 42 73    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Henry Stone: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.89 (no red card)

Sw Mohamed Gil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.16 (no red card)

Df William Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.3 (no red card)

Df Nigel Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.23 (no red card)

Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.18 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.68 (no red card)

Mf Stewart Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.56 (no red card)

Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.26 (no red card)

Mf GaŽtan Adam: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.96 (no red card)

Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.57 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.94 (no red card)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Mark Patel: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 73.2 (no second yellow)

Df Alfredo  Mora: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 74.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 61.77 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Sansom: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 22.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 6.62 (no red card)

Mf Ben Moore: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 82.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 61.62 (no red card)

Df Jason Ward: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 68.01 (no red card)

Mf Moritz Schmitt: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 12.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 7.4 (no red card)

Fw Lee Daugherty: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 54.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 47.37 (no red card)

Fw Gordon Lowe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 78.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 60.46 (no red card)

Fw Nathan McGregor: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 4.74 (no red card)

Fw Sean Richman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 94.48 (no red card)

Fw Evan White: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 29.74 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Henry Stone: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 52.22 (no injury) 
Sw Mohamed Gil: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 60.02 (no injury) 
Df William Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.47 (no injury) 
Df Nigel Clarke: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.48 (no injury) 
Df Jacob Harewood: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.15 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.56 (no injury) 
Mf Stewart Lennon: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.03 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Vedder: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.41 (no injury) 
Mf GaŽtan Adam: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.43 (no injury) 
Fw Erling Hauge: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.33 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.4 (no injury) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Mark Patel: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 89.26 (no injury) 
Df Alfredo  Mora: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 60.92 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.94 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.3 (no injury) 
Df Jason Ward: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.28 (no injury) 
Mf Moritz Schmitt: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 64.97 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Daugherty: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.73 (no injury) 
Fw Gordon Lowe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.32 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan McGregor: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 32.27 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Richman: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.21 (no injury) 
Fw Evan White: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 6.14 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: William Gascoigne SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Mark Patel SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gordon Lowe SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Henry Stone SL 16

     intRndPk = 25
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  16  51  31  35
  Dorchester Town          20   0  30  42  73

Dorchester Town is using Offside Trap!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 3 (35 - 30) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 73) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 17.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Fernando Neves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Dorchester Town
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          20   0  30  42  73
  Crewe Alexandra FC       17  16  51  31  35

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 22 (73 - 51); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 6 ((42 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Aarron Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Moritz Schmitt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Ben Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ben Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Ben Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Aarron Sansom
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Gordon Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Nathan McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gordon Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gordon Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Nathan McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gordon Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sean Richman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 37.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Nathan McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Gordon Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Evan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Gordon Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 17.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Gordon Lowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Evan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Lee Daugherty
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Nathan McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  DORCHESTER TOWN 1
 
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