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Crewe Alexandra FC
Bill Ramsay
 
Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Harrison Holland        9    2   11     Gk Warre Michiels         16    2   18
Sw Tim Baumann             5    2    7     Sw Kwan  Jeon             15    0   15
Df Thomas Charlton        14    1   15     Df William Michaud        14    2   16
Df Carl Berg               9    1   10     Df Diego Mazza             9    2   11
Df Fernando  Rojas         9    0    9     Mf Leon Ludley            14    2   16
Df Ignacio Gomez           5    2    7     Mf Matheo Lemaitre         9    2   11
Mf Martin Hunt            14    2   16     Mf Jonas Maier             5    2    7
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez       9    1   10     Fw Carlton Mitchell       14    2   16
Mf Jacob Clark             5    2    7     Fw Harvey Shepherd        13    1   14
Fw Fernando Neves         18    1   19     Fw Dewei Zhou              9    2   11
Fw Noel Ivarsson           5    2    7     Fw Alfie Marshall          9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  7 41 33 26        ROSTER TOTALS      18 15 27 34 52    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  5  0  0  0  0    
       0  5  2  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11 12 52 33 26         T O T A L S       23 15 27 34 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.22 (no red card)

Sw Tim Baumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.84 (no red card)

Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.04 (no red card)

Df Carl Berg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.98 (no red card)

Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.84 (no red card)

Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.36 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ignacio Gomez new match skill level =  3
      Ignacio Gomez new match total level =  5

Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.93 (no second yellow)

Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.16 (no red card)

Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.89 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.12 (no red card)

Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.86 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.15 (no red card)

Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.84 (no red card)

Df William Michaud: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.08 (no red card)

Df Diego Mazza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.84 (no red card)

Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.93 (no red card)

Mf Matheo Lemaitre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.23 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Maier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.15 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.1 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.34 (no red card)

Fw Dewei Zhou: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.15 (no red card)

Fw Alfie Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.29 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Harrison Holland: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.18 (no injury) 
Sw Tim Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.35 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.55 (no injury) 
Df Carl Berg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.33 (no injury) 
Df Fernando  Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.49 (no injury) 
Df Ignacio Gomez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.3 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Hunt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.67 (no injury) 
Mf Alvaro  Rodríguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.75 (no injury) 
Mf Jacob Clark: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.71 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Neves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.23 (no injury) 
Fw Noel Ivarsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.82 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Warre Michiels: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 70.92 (no injury) 
Sw Kwan  Jeon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.15 (no injury) 
Df William Michaud: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.43 (no injury) 
Df Diego Mazza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.94 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.63 (no injury) 
Mf Matheo Lemaitre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.92 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Maier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.97 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.34 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Shepherd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.87 (no injury) 
Fw Dewei Zhou: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.65 (no injury) 
Fw Alfie Marshall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Neves SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Warre Michiels SL 16

     intRndPk = 48
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: William Michaud SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Holland SL 9

     intRndPk = 35
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  12  50  33  26
  Queens Park Rangers      23  15  27  34  52

Crewe Alexandra FC is Playing For A Draw!
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 27)
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 0


*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      23  15  27  34  52
  Crewe Alexandra FC       11  12  50  33  26

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 2 (52 - 50); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 1 ((34 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 1 ((27 - 26) / 3); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Df Diego Mazza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 6.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Leon Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Carlton Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 0  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
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