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Bristol City FC
Ellis Simpson
 
Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRISTOL CITY FC                            CHESTERFIELD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Noah Godart            15    2   17     Gk Rhys Murray            15    2   17
Sw Alejandro  Segura      14    1   15     Sw Michael Lampard        15    2   17
Df Jaron  Biton            7    2    9     Df Harry O'Neil           14    2   16
Df Paul Brides            14    1   15     Df Glen Birks             13    2   15
Df Matteo Maggioni         9    2   11     Mf Arthur Collins         12    2   14
Mf Joe Hopkins            14    2   16     Mf William Zelic          11    1   12
Mf Alistair Barnes         9    2   11     Mf Connor Black            9    1   10
Mf Rafael  Torres          5    2    7     Fw Henry Stephens         13    2   15
Fw Lennon Stewart         15    2   17     Fw Christopher Collins    17    2   19
Fw Greg Mason             15    1   16     Fw Vincenzo Lombardo      10    2   12
Fw Aaron Allan             9    2   11     Fw Christopher Aitken      9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 15 35 34 44        ROSTER TOTALS      17 17 31 36 57    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 15 35 43 44         T O T A L S       17 17 31 36 57    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Noah Godart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.13 (no red card)

Sw Alejandro  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.3 (no red card)

Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.23 (no red card)

Df Paul Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.7 (no red card)

Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.1 (no red card)

Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.27 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.43 (no red card)

Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.56 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.6 (no red card)

Fw Greg Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.64 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.85 (no red card)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.02 (no red card)

Sw Michael Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 65.9 (no red card)

Df Harry O'Neil: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.65 (no second yellow)

Df Glen Birks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.73 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.92 (no red card)

Mf William Zelic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.3 (no red card)

Mf Connor Black: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.72 (no red card)

Fw Henry Stephens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.46 (no red card)

Fw Christopher Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.58 (no red card)

Fw Vincenzo Lombardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.85 (no red card)

Fw Christopher Aitken: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.88 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Noah Godart: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 36.2 (no injury) 
Sw Alejandro  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.07 (no injury) 
Df Jaron  Biton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.89 (no injury) 
Df Paul Brides: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.09 (no injury) 
Df Matteo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.66 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Hopkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.51 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.23 (no injury) 
Mf Rafael  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.45 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.49 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Mason: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.81 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.29 (no injury) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Rhys Murray: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 50.89 (no injury) 
Sw Michael Lampard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.99 (no injury) 
Df Harry O'Neil: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.45 (no injury) 
Df Glen Birks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.93 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.03 (no injury) 
Mf William Zelic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.01 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Black: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.02 (no injury) 
Fw Henry Stephens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.72 (no injury) 
Fw Christopher Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.02 (no injury) 
Fw Vincenzo Lombardo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.71 (no injury) 
Fw Christopher Aitken: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.46 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lennon Stewart SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Rhys Murray SL 15

     intRndPk = 19
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Christopher Collins SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Noah Godart SL 15

     intRndPk = 86
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bristol City FC          17  15  35  43  44
  Chesterfield FC          17  17  31  36  57

Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 13 (44 - 31); result rounded up
Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((43 - 36) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 14.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Joe Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 84.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Greg Mason
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Aaron Allan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Lennon Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17  17  31  36  57
  Bristol City FC          17  15  35  43  44

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 22 (57 - 35); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 44) / 3;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Christopher Aitken
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 67.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Henry Stephens
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 66.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Christopher Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Vincenzo Lombardo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 64.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRISTOL CITY FC 1  -  CHESTERFIELD FC 2
 
Match Notes
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Ellis (Bristol City FC) 05/22 - 5:15 AM
 
 
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