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Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
 
Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWANSEA CITY AFC                           SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hugo Martins           13    2   15     Gk Harrison Bennett       12    2   14
Sw Oscar Ford              8    2   10     Sw Noe Morice             13    2   15
Df Sean Tufnel            13    1   14     Df Geoffrey Jackson       12    2   14
Df Fabian Schmitz         11    2   13     Df Reis  Golan            10    2   12
Df George Mason            7    2    9     Df Benjamin Brown         10    2   12
Mf William Martin         13    2   15     Mf Dennis Cox             11    2   13
Mf Shay  Lindsay           8    2   10     Mf Giorgio Valentini       9    1   10
Mf Patrick Butcher         7    2    9     Mf Dominic Knight         11    2   13
Fw Steven Milner          13    2   15     Fw Oren Yosef             14    2   16
Fw Luis Guerrero          15    2   17     Fw Finlay Neville          8    2   10
Fw Jamie Collins           9    2   11     Fw Filippo Costa           8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 10 36 34 43        ROSTER TOTALS      14 15 38 36 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          4  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 10 36 34 52         T O T A L S       18 16 38 36 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.59 (no red card)

Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.62 (no red card)

Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.07 (no red card)

Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.92 (no red card)

Df George Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.27 (no red card)

Mf William Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.62 (no red card)

Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.23 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.36 (no red card)

Fw Steven Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 12.56 (no red card)

Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.11 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.91 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 4

Gk Harrison Bennett: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 82.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.25% | Random number = 97.0 (no red card)

Sw Noe Morice: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 70.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 25.67 (no red card)

Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 25.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 93.02 (no red card)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 72.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 66.25 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Brown: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 6.37 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 9.31 (no second yellow)

Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 64.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 59.91 (no red card)

Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 95.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 19.51 (no red card)

Mf Dominic Knight: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 78.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 76.01 (no red card)

Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 29.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 17.93 (no red card)

Fw Finlay Neville: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 9.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 83.24 (no second yellow)

Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 53.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 99.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Hugo Martins: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 26.2 (no injury) 
Sw Oscar Ford: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 59.06 (no injury) 
Df Sean Tufnel: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 54.67 (no injury) 
Df Fabian Schmitz: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 42.09 (no injury) 
Df George Mason: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 9.43 (no injury) 
Mf William Martin: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 38.75 (no injury) 
Mf Shay  Lindsay: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 47.43 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Butcher: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 35.33 (no injury) 
Fw Steven Milner: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 76.51 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Guerrero: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 79.84 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Collins: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 23.61 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Harrison Bennett: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 53.52 (no injury) 
Sw Noe Morice: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 96.12 (no injury) 
Df Geoffrey Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 91.63 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 6.79 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Brown: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.04 (no injury) 
Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 61.46 (no injury) 
Mf Giorgio Valentini: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 1.7 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Giorgio Valentini is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Giorgio Valentini new match skill level =  5
      Giorgio Valentini new match total level =  6
Mf Dominic Knight: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 18.38 (no injury) 
Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 92.75 (no injury) 
Fw Finlay Neville: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 43.77 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Costa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 42.49 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Luis Guerrero SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Harrison Bennett SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oren Yosef SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Hugo Martins SL 13

     intRndPk = 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swansea City AFC         15  10  36  34  52
  Southend United          18  16  38  32  36

Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 14 (52 - 38); result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((34 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Shay  Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jamie Collins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 82.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Luis Guerrero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Steven Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          18  16  38  32  36
  Swansea City AFC         15  10  36  34  52

Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 36)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWANSEA CITY AFC 2  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
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