MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2 TMBL MSWL The Manager
Wednesday, May 23rd, 2018 - 12:25:08 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① - Landing
 
Home Auctions Blog Forum History Login Rules Scores Stats Tables Teams
 
Coaches Directory Donate Guest Rankings Schedule Updates Waitlist Wall
 

Join
MSWL
UNITED!
(H)
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Southend United
Dave Dowson
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Nigel Brides           16    2   18     Gk Calum Hughes           13    2   15
Df Ben Kahn               15    1   16     Sw John Dunn              11    2   13
Df Henry Baker            13    0   13     Df Edward Sansom          11    2   13
Df Rory Smith             12    0   12     Df Riccardo Lombardi       9    2   11
Mf Ryan Wright            15    2   17     Df Reis  Golan             8    2   10
Mf Mark Jankel            13    0   13     Mf Dominic Knight         11    2   13
Mf Daniel Milner          10    0   10     Mf Dennis Cox              9    2   11
Mf Simon Schmidt           9    2   11     Fw Simon Forsberg         14    2   16
Mf Abe Blazel              9    2   11     Fw Oren Yosef             14    2   16
Fw Freddie Akhtar         14    0   14     Fw Nuri  Peretz           15    1   16
Fw Connor Brakspear        9    2   11     Fw Fionn Johnston         11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 41 62 25        ROSTER TOTALS      15 13 34 24 61    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  5    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 41 71 25         T O T A L S       15 13 34 24 66    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.93 (no red card)

Df Ben Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.65 (no red card)

Df Henry Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.36 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.6 (no second yellow)

Df Rory Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.51 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 37.13 (no red card)

Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.24 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.22 (no red card)

Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.75 (no red card)

Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.05 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.32 (no red card)

Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 0.6 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Connor Brakspear new match skill level =  5
      Connor Brakspear new match total level =  7

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.92 (no red card)

Sw John Dunn: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 24.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 79.95 (no red card)

Df Edward Sansom: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 84.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 2.27 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Edward Sansom new match skill level =  6
      Edward Sansom new match total level =  8

Df Riccardo Lombardi: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 6.61 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 70.15 (no second yellow)

Df Reis  Golan: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 15.15 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 90.75 (no second yellow)

Mf Dominic Knight: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 77.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 66.55 (no red card)

Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 16.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 37.88 (no red card)

Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 73.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 25.07 (no red card)

Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 79.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 95.95 (no red card)

Fw Nuri  Peretz: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 3.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 65.24 (no second yellow)

Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 41.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 25.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 75.02 (no injury) 
Df Ben Kahn: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 81.61 (no injury) 
Df Henry Baker: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 30.35 (no injury) 
Df Rory Smith: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 22.57 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 72.24 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 56.96 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Milner: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 92.87 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 76.18 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 61.65 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Akhtar: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 34.07 (no injury) 
Fw Connor Brakspear: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 98.15 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 5
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Calum Hughes: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 89.11 (no injury) 
Sw John Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.62 (no injury) 
Df Edward Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 83.7 (no injury) 
Df Riccardo Lombardi: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 65.47 (no injury) 
Df Reis  Golan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 7.77 (no injury) 
Mf Dominic Knight: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 67.01 (no injury) 
Mf Dennis Cox: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 16.84 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Forsberg: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 55.81 (no injury) 
Fw Oren Yosef: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 33.21 (no injury) 
Fw Nuri  Peretz: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 64.75 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Johnston: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 91.66 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ben Kahn SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Calum Hughes SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 84% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 34 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nuri  Peretz SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 16

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18   0  41  71  21
  Southend United          15  13  29  24  66

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 29)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 24 ((71 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 66) / 5;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 24

1: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Abe Blazel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 49.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Abe Blazel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Daniel Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          15  13  29  24  66
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18   0  41  71  21

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 13 (66 - 41) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 71) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 3 ((29 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Reis  Golan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Riccardo Lombardi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Riccardo Lombardi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Oren Yosef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 45.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 57.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Fionn Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Fionn Johnston
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Simon Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Oren Yosef
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Nuri  Peretz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 1
 
Match Notes
Dancin' Dave Budvar Dowson done in by using too much hardness.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 05/21 - 2:56 PM
 
 
Terms and Conditions